Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

34.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$333

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 07-18 16:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

62% 0% $-7

Politics

34% 50% +$2

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	+6	$5	86¢	$5	+$0	07-12 04:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	+21	$5	21¢	$4	$-1	07-18 16:56
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	+6	$2	29¢	$2	+$0	07-16 04:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$10	27	+27	open	—	02-02 21:02
will iran strike safaniya field by march 31	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	03-29 04:17
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	1	$6	7	+7	open	—	03-24 23:59
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-25 22:03
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	03-23 10:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	03-26 08:54
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $715 Week of April 20 2026?	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	04-22 00:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	03-23 02:37
will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-24 03:39
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	04-10 00:05
will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 3pt1b	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	07-10 04:39
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	04-10 08:27
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	04-07 00:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	1	$5	21	+21	open	—	07-18 16:56
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	04-20 08:10
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	04-09 07:10
Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	04-23 01:51
will fidesz kdnp win 40 44 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	04-11 09:52
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	04-08 01:37
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	04-22 17:48
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	04-20 16:30
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on April 24?	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	04-24 10:01
coin up or down on april 13 2026	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	04-12 02:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	04-22 08:55
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	1	$5	9	+9	Yes	+$4	04-27 00:08
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	04-21 00:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	04-14 10:35
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	04-23 17:55
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	04-05 08:50
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	04-06 15:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 16:56:33	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xdb21fe…
07-17 04:51:15	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xcd9bc4…
07-16 16:51:11	israel closes its airspace by august 31	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x8b6255…
07-16 04:51:07	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x878d81…
07-15 16:51:02	spx up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x1870c2…
07-12 04:39:55	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x370842…
07-10 04:39:35	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 3pt1b	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf707d6…
07-09 16:39:32	will bank of america bac q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt5b	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x4024df…
07-08 04:28:47	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x0cba4d…
07-07 04:28:41	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xe90994…
07-06 04:28:22	will mu reach 1050 by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xb5f14c…
06-23 23:16:43	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xb2ce3d…
06-22 02:37:31	will pltr reach 135 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8597a6…
06-16 16:52:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xfa371c…
06-15 19:23:37	will warsh say inflation 50 times during june press conference 20260608181156646	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6fdeda…
06-14 01:04:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	No	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x5a06a6…
06-11 09:36:57	will brian bjelde be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212485	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x8797bc…
05-22 07:40:33	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x9a7717…
05-21 23:33:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x1ae523…
05-21 15:27:42	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 in May?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x186c74…
05-21 07:27:05	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $79 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x0a3f9f…
05-17 03:10:42	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xbf3369…
05-16 19:03:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x43f723…
05-16 11:00:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x6a4682…
05-15 10:53:45	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbf4f68…
05-12 10:29:15	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x49c2f1…
05-12 02:27:01	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $98 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9d7028…
05-11 10:23:51	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $442.50 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x37a149…
04-27 08:30:56	Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x9c64f0…
04-27 00:08:00	Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x449b31…
04-26 00:15:38	Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	11	40¢	$5	0x761290…
04-24 10:01:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on April 24?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5e755c…
04-23 17:55:58	Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd10b4a…
04-23 01:51:50	Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x01092a…
04-22 17:48:44	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc93504…
04-22 08:55:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x87c8d0…
04-22 00:42:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $715 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc8ed27…
04-21 16:33:46	Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x8a1442…
04-21 08:33:14	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xfabdaf…
04-21 00:31:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x22a15e…
04-20 16:30:40	Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe40a2d…
04-20 08:10:58	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xbcd7d3…
04-14 10:35:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb452f8…
04-13 14:42:07	donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 100 119	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x55f712…
04-13 05:07:43	white house of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 140 159	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x9e6281…
04-12 19:32:43	donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 120 139	No	BUY	9	48¢	$5	0x255d49…
04-12 10:46:21	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x25fc50…
04-12 02:06:37	coin up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x25b549…
04-11 18:04:45	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x0217f2…
04-11 09:52:29	will fidesz kdnp win 40 44 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x5a1e9c…
04-11 01:26:13	nflx up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x79085b…
04-10 17:18:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x056d75…
04-10 08:27:57	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xac3ccd…
04-10 00:05:03	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd968f0…
04-09 16:01:13	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xdb9762…
04-09 07:10:33	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x9a3d34…
04-08 22:27:43	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe68708…
04-08 10:39:05	will tisza win 120 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xa021fd…
04-08 01:37:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x6379aa…
04-07 17:09:39	nflx up or down on april 8 2026	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe8b1a4…
04-07 00:58:05	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x337de1…
04-06 15:48:35	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe8f593…
04-06 05:14:25	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1790c1…
04-05 19:52:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xcff1d4…
04-05 08:50:35	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf5f9d7…
04-05 00:49:53	spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x68b6cc…
04-04 15:51:57	will gerb sds win between 60 64 seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3e867b…
03-29 04:17:22	will iran strike safaniya field by march 31	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xe3a674…
03-27 00:37:49	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xa21ce3…
03-26 08:54:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x1124d1…
03-25 22:03:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xcb5c92…
03-25 12:28:29	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xde5f17…
03-24 23:59:23	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x96b55b…
03-24 13:16:53	cag quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt4	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x80056b…
03-24 03:39:35	will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x29f7ce…
03-23 19:22:33	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4ae9e6…
03-23 10:55:15	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x49beb1…
03-23 02:37:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xdea331…
02-02 21:02:22	will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	BUY	27	35¢	$10	0x247ff3…