Unlucky-Simplicity — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved (90d)

270

Trades (90d)

280

2,231 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.67K

$21.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-25 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 216 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% +$8

Sports

16% 100% +$4

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	07-09 15:28
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-25 02:08
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-30 04:48
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
wta masarov osuigwe 2026 02 25 set handicap home 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Masarova	+$0	03-19 05:17
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:54
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	4	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:36
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-30 04:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:09
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-25 15:23
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-01 01:33
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:53
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:30:57	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf9ea9c…
10-24 13:22:20	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7e47bc…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x807d50…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x794a7e…
10-21 17:04:05	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd663f7…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa40981…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe90a01…
10-15 20:32:39	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x643eb6…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e6503…
10-14 20:56:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe717b9…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2b537…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5208e5…
10-13 14:15:23	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70f53a…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x632dd2…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb03f82…
10-11 20:16:12	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2f511…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xaad1a4…
10-11 10:26:14	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5dda95…
10-11 05:01:27	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8bc427…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d6bd5…
10-10 10:21:46	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x263aa4…
10-09 02:09:57	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x45e1d9…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc0e6dc…
10-07 13:54:32	Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfi	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd586f6…
10-07 13:54:19	Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfi	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x051c9f…
10-07 10:16:26	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa1c8d6…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfaa070…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6262c6…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04b28d…
10-06 07:28:03	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd2ad9…
10-04 23:23:08	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fb2e6…
10-04 20:22:58	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x999f2a…
10-04 20:17:43	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd26179…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xff989d…
10-03 14:50:30	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x926266…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe8cb7b…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xadd8e8…
10-02 14:15:32	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb2c79f…
10-02 14:12:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x040e7e…
10-01 20:54:36	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x39a1ce…
10-01 20:46:21	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a646c…
10-01 20:36:06	Will Malta win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec70fd…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xde6c45…
10-01 16:12:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16ecde…
10-01 12:07:32	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x855e66…
10-01 11:43:51	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x79450c…
10-01 06:03:12	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x400946…
10-01 04:48:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9b1e2…
09-30 23:54:42	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x368e01…
09-30 01:58:18	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07aa9c…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3653b2…
09-29 13:15:59	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x530695…
09-29 04:38:29	China Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Yexin Ma	Harriet Dart	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfc5403…
09-29 04:35:57	wta dart ma 2026 09 28	Harriet Dart	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc910b1…
09-29 00:54:11	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa117ba…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fecc2…
09-28 17:00:08	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01cc3d…
09-28 10:07:54	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5c4bb…
09-27 20:24:48	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x31d032…
09-27 20:13:41	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08a8c7…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c93fa…
09-27 13:31:18	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb95946…
09-27 12:11:59	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9071f…
09-27 01:58:20	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe70aad…
09-27 00:21:29	atp legout marcond 2026 09 26	Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc327fe…
09-26 23:23:48	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe53786…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x762187…
09-26 19:53:26	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1d2ed…
09-26 19:42:20	Virginia Tech vs. Boston College	Virginia Tech	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3afbe8…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdca344…
09-25 23:33:48	Army vs. Temple	Army	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x326c38…
09-25 22:56:50	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc5a5b3…
09-25 10:12:41	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfff140…
09-24 20:45:09	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x26eac4…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0109f…
09-23 16:22:07	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e6fce…
09-23 04:45:05	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa614a0…
09-21 19:09:01	will msft dip to 495 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb084cc…
09-21 18:44:34	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8bb711…
09-21 08:37:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a7378…
09-21 02:19:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa397dc…
09-20 22:25:38	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf4a304…
09-20 21:48:07	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0fe8e9…
09-20 02:59:36	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd385d…
09-20 01:26:40	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf72225…
09-19 20:39:11	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb180c1…
09-19 03:59:36	Will AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86c0fe…
09-17 17:27:07	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66ff01…
09-17 16:02:37	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6b00d…
09-17 14:00:57	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcaf6b3…
09-17 12:51:36	itf lagarr1 khazim1 2026 09 17	Florent Lagarrigue	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1fcad…
09-17 00:30:40	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf79d5…
09-16 21:19:13	Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5cd298…
09-16 16:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe70c5e…
09-16 12:05:15	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a800a…
09-15 18:32:06	crint ind afg 2026 09 15	India	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x059bce…
09-15 17:50:42	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06f132…
09-15 16:15:00	cs2 wraith morrow 2026 09 15	MORROW	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x116d24…
09-15 12:58:34	Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Eva Vedder	Jennifer Ruggeri	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5efe6…
09-15 09:42:01	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x946594…