Noisy-Wetland — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$135

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 06-04 06:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

64% 67% $-25

Politics

36% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$913	470	470	+0	open	—	05-08 06:29
Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)	1	$469	488	0	+488	Cagliari Calcio	+$19	05-09 04:02
Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	1	$456	470	0	+470	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	+$14	05-08 06:34
lib ros ind1 2026 04 09 spread away 1pt5	1	$252	268	0	+268	open	—	04-09 06:44
lib coq nac 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	1	$242	252	0	+252	open	—	04-08 07:09
lal lev sev 2026 04 23 spread home 2pt5	2	$59	984	0	+984	open	—	04-23 04:45
Spread: CA Boston River (-1.5)	2	$58	960	0	+960	Millonarios FC	$-58	05-07 07:31
tur iba kas 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	2	$57	942	0	+942	open	—	04-24 08:29
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	5	$40	947	947	+0	open	—	04-24 08:25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$15	122	122	+0	open	—	06-04 06:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 06:53:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	6¢	$8	0x7432d7…
06-04 06:49:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	6¢	$8	0x7ec8ee…
05-09 04:02:05	Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)	Cagliari Calcio	BUY	488	96¢	$469	0xcd3cac…
05-08 06:34:07	Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	BUY	470	97¢	$456	0x8d0c55…
05-08 06:29:32	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	470	97¢	$457	0xb05754…
05-08 05:18:17	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	470	97¢	$456	0x641741…
05-07 07:31:41	Spread: CA Boston River (-1.5)	CA Boston River	BUY	477	6¢	$29	0x7d01d7…
05-07 07:31:09	Spread: CA Boston River (-1.5)	CA Boston River	BUY	483	6¢	$29	0x6cb156…
04-24 08:29:40	tur iba kas 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	Kasımpaşa SK	BUY	467	6¢	$28	0xf4f100…
04-24 08:29:30	tur iba kas 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	Kasımpaşa SK	BUY	475	6¢	$28	0x4c0cbe…
04-24 08:25:54	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0xd8739c…
04-24 08:25:38	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	456	2¢	$10	0x3d9bdb…
04-24 08:25:26	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	448	2¢	$9	0x4a30bb…
04-24 08:00:34	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x8e6310…
04-24 08:00:24	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	447	2¢	$9	0x7bbd1f…
04-23 04:45:50	lal lev sev 2026 04 23 spread home 2pt5	Levante UD	BUY	504	6¢	$30	0xec225f…
04-23 04:45:38	lal lev sev 2026 04 23 spread home 2pt5	Levante UD	BUY	480	6¢	$29	0xcd3d1e…
04-09 06:44:09	lib ros ind1 2026 04 09 spread away 1pt5	CA Rosario Central	BUY	268	94¢	$252	0x3a5aee…
04-08 07:09:27	lib coq nac 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	CD Coquimbo Unido	BUY	252	96¢	$242	0x71c378…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Starry-Judgment-Logic 0x12b8…f4be	9	$5.20K	16	06-02 06:43
Corny-Cod 0xf3bc…1406	8	$3.78K	14	06-08 04:37
Untimely-Substance 0x3c3d…5b7b	8	$2.52K	15	06-08 03:10
Menacing-Anorak 0xf9ac…c3e6	8	$2.38K	15	06-08 08:01
Third-Bride 0xbb09…3ae4	7	$4.14K	10	05-09 04:01
Gleaming-Letter 0xbf4e…fb05	7	$3.43K	9	05-08 07:04
(anonymous) 0x943b…adb0	7	$2.28K	13	06-08 07:21
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	6	$18.3K	47	05-09 13:52