Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
12
lifetime
Volume
$1.08K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$748
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-13 22:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
61% 100% +$3
Other
39%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No +219 $215 98¢ $214 $-1 05-13 09:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No +117 $113 99¢ $116 +$3 05-11 12:18
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? No +116 $114 98¢ $114 +$0 05-07 00:27
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +105 $103 98¢ $103 +$0 05-10 10:40
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No +108 $101 93¢ $101 $-0 05-13 22:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? No +96 $90 97¢ $93 +$3 05-11 05:03
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? Yes +233 $4 $4 $-1 05-12 21:06
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? Yes +51 $3 $3 +$0 05-13 22:32