Threadbare-Household — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$102

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$4.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 05-15 14:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

69% — —

Politics

30% 0% $-102

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	8	$1.1K	1,109	1,109	+0	open	—	02-27 14:14
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$373	662	662	+0	open	—	03-19 14:26
will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	7	$340	294	294	+0	open	—	03-03 13:43
will russia capture bilytske by march 31 2026	8	$339	455	455	+0	open	—	03-03 17:09
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	2	$308	208	208	+0	open	—	02-28 08:29
will russia capture all of rodynske by april 30	3	$277	405	405	+0	open	—	03-13 15:41
will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	4	$222	160	160	+0	open	—	02-14 13:51
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	2	$216	159	159	+0	open	—	03-13 11:23
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	2	$204	149	149	+0	open	—	02-14 14:30
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	4	$135	206	206	+0	open	—	02-14 22:02
will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	4	$130	124	124	+0	open	—	02-14 16:40
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$125	100	100	+0	open	—	03-14 18:07
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$109	74	74	+0	open	—	03-31 18:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$100	167	0	+167	Yes	$-100	03-12 19:29
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$96	85	85	+0	open	—	03-25 16:37
ucl bog1 spo1 2026 03 11 spo1	2	$89	395	395	+0	open	—	03-11 20:45
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$89	273	273	+0	open	—	02-27 07:06
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	4	$88	64	64	+0	open	—	02-14 20:41
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$86	97	97	+0	open	—	02-27 14:10
will russia enter bilytske by february 28	3	$80	61	61	+0	open	—	02-10 18:50
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$65	231	231	+0	open	—	02-09 13:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$58	120	120	+0	Yes	$-2	02-09 13:32
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	3	$54	89	89	+0	open	—	02-10 18:49
will russia enter havrylivka by march 31 2026	3	$53	114	114	+0	open	—	02-27 14:22
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$48	37	37	+0	open	—	05-15 14:13
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	2	$45	38	38	+0	open	—	02-13 21:00
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 draw	2	$30	444	0	+444	open	—	03-17 19:06
us downs another iranian drone by february 28	2	$27	91	91	+0	open	—	02-27 07:06
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	2	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	02-09 20:27
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$15	238	238	+0	open	—	03-12 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 14:13:06	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	37	76¢	$28	0x3f701b…
05-14 15:32:58	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x19614b…
05-14 15:23:40	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x8f7266…
03-31 18:44:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	74	80¢	$59	0x181358…
03-27 16:47:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xac7e07…
03-25 16:37:07	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	85	54¢	$46	0x2b7d3e…
03-19 14:26:15	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	172	24¢	$41	0xea47c2…
03-18 14:32:33	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x9d9243…
03-18 14:29:27	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x8dff1e…
03-17 19:06:59	ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 draw	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xa11101…
03-17 17:00:51	ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 draw	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x0e2866…
03-14 18:07:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x361cd1…
03-13 15:41:25	will russia capture all of rodynske by april 30	No	SELL	405	31¢	$127	0x8ce818…
03-13 11:23:05	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	159	73¢	$116	0xe9256b…
03-12 19:29:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xed57ed…
03-12 16:53:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	489	27¢	$132	0xa0619c…
03-12 16:49:59	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	238	4¢	$10	0xa3a539…
03-11 20:45:45	ucl bog1 spo1 2026 03 11 spo1	Yes	SELL	395	10¢	$39	0x77b5b1…
03-11 20:38:39	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0x8dbc00…
03-11 20:32:43	ucl bog1 spo1 2026 03 11 spo1	Yes	BUY	395	13¢	$50	0x59caf6…
03-11 20:13:07	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x2e79d8…
03-11 20:01:37	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x96e4a6…
03-11 19:51:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x3c5270…
03-11 19:47:23	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x827e6a…
03-11 19:35:09	will russia capture all of rodynske by april 30	No	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xd12af4…
03-11 19:32:59	will russia capture all of rodynske by april 30	No	BUY	273	37¢	$100	0x4f0395…
03-11 18:59:33	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xa1e5d6…
03-03 17:09:51	will russia capture bilytske by march 31 2026	No	SELL	71	86¢	$61	0x461964…
03-03 13:43:57	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	Yes	SELL	227	77¢	$175	0xac4f34…
03-02 23:06:37	will russia capture bilytske by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	322	19¢	$60	0xd188ed…
02-28 08:29:29	US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0x561e24…
02-27 22:19:09	US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x436c5d…
02-27 14:26:57	will russia capture bilytske by march 31 2026	No	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0x5317dd…
02-27 14:22:37	will russia capture bilytske by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	174	17¢	$30	0x1320ba…
02-27 14:22:01	will russia enter havrylivka by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	114	11¢	$13	0xb77341…
02-27 14:14:09	will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	No	SELL	150	52¢	$78	0x032065…
02-27 14:13:31	will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	Yes	SELL	731	45¢	$326	0x645d0d…
02-27 14:10:17	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	97	58¢	$56	0xfbf168…
02-27 07:06:25	us downs another iranian drone by february 28	Yes	SELL	91	8¢	$7	0x73d5bc…
02-27 07:06:11	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	167	6¢	$10	0x456bd7…
02-23 19:49:18	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x4a797a…
02-23 19:48:50	will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0x2dcc47…
02-23 19:45:20	will the us next strike iran on march 7 2026 et	Yes	SELL	296	3¢	$8	0x68032f…
02-20 21:01:14	will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$4	0x3db180…
02-18 11:16:26	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0x93516a…
02-18 11:15:34	will russia enter havrylivka by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xc16ff7…
02-17 21:22:57	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x234959…
02-17 21:19:23	will russia capture bilytske by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x8ff56d…
02-17 21:18:49	will russia enter havrylivka by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x693df9…
02-17 21:06:29	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0xda1ae7…
02-17 21:05:57	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x507e45…
02-17 21:04:45	us downs another iranian drone by february 28	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x5a278c…
02-17 21:03:49	will the us next strike iran on march 7 2026 et	Yes	BUY	296	2¢	$5	0x630835…
02-17 21:00:55	will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x7cc28b…
02-17 18:13:03	will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	Yes	BUY	488	41¢	$200	0xc5b3b5…
02-17 18:00:37	will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x10f749…
02-17 18:00:27	will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	No	SELL	228	59¢	$135	0x1e23e0…
02-16 11:03:19	will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xee69d3…
02-15 21:48:29	will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xdc5505…
02-15 13:41:19	will russia capture bilytske by march 31 2026	No	SELL	63	84¢	$53	0xb82bb6…
02-14 22:02:35	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	27	74¢	$20	0xe63808…
02-14 22:02:25	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	179	25¢	$45	0x4b4224…
02-14 20:41:33	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	SELL	64	76¢	$49	0x9369fa…
02-14 16:40:11	will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	No	SELL	124	54¢	$67	0x306f84…
02-14 16:40:01	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x14361d…
02-14 14:30:05	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	SELL	149	70¢	$104	0xcd694f…
02-14 13:51:53	will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	No	SELL	160	76¢	$122	0x8d820e…
02-13 22:39:15	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xf41a15…
02-13 22:20:37	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xfeb68c…
02-13 21:00:17	will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	No	SELL	38	65¢	$25	0xcd27c4…
02-13 12:29:41	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xd61c3f…
02-13 10:46:01	will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xdf86ac…
02-13 10:45:41	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	No	SELL	67	66¢	$44	0x2884aa…
02-10 18:51:55	will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xad8fff…
02-10 18:51:19	will russia capture bilytske by march 31 2026	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x790889…
02-10 18:50:37	will russia enter bilytske by february 28	No	SELL	61	65¢	$40	0x9aeef0…
02-10 18:50:25	will russia capture bilytske by march 31 2026	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x590795…
02-10 18:49:23	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	No	SELL	89	31¢	$27	0xf73db3…
02-10 18:49:09	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	106	21¢	$22	0x0fb044…
02-10 06:46:21	will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	No	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0x98f1a1…
02-10 06:34:05	will russia enter bilytske by february 28	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x13d348…
02-10 06:33:39	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xe85bef…
02-10 06:33:03	will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x39378b…
02-09 22:10:15	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x933cfa…
02-09 22:09:19	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x41b722…
02-09 22:08:13	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	No	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xc06d34…
02-09 22:04:45	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xd75de4…
02-09 22:00:39	will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x6c9b8d…
02-09 21:55:27	will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x1b4681…
02-09 21:49:27	will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	No	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xabf4d0…
02-09 20:54:23	will russia enter bilytske by february 28	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xa9ee51…
02-09 20:27:31	will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	No	SELL	17	71¢	$12	0x3ffef7…
02-09 15:10:37	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0x0dcd47…
02-09 13:34:37	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	SELL	231	15¢	$35	0x183dd7…
02-09 13:32:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	23¢	$28	0xbae515…
02-09 13:16:51	will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x05a4f3…
02-09 13:14:31	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	No	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0xa3dd50…
02-09 13:05:19	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x441476…
02-09 06:56:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x7352b6…
02-09 06:48:45	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0xb74387…