Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
17
lifetime
Volume
$157
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$86
8 positions
First seen
2026-10-15
last 10-20 18:34
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
78% — —
Other
13% — —
Tech
10% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 94¢ $20 $0 10-15 17:39
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +19 $15 90¢ $17 +$2 10-17 11:30
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 10-15 17:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +12 $10 84¢ $10 +$0 10-15 15:36
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 10-15 17:29
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 10-15 17:30
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026? Yes +834 $10 1¢ $5 -$5 10-20 13:50
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +14 $10 29¢ $4 -$6 10-15 15:40