Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$385

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$98.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.20K

Open exposure

$2.47K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-14

last 10-26 03:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Politics

48% 100% +$202

Other

42% 100% +$146

Tech

5% 100% +$12

Crypto

5% 100% +$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+2,628	$2,470	94¢	$2.5K	+$0	10-26 03:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$2.5K	2,628	+2,628	open	—	10-26 03:40
Trump out as President by September 30?	5	$2.4K	2,459	+2,459	No	+$12	09-22 04:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2.4K	2,457	+2,457	No	+$12	09-11 10:43
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	1	$2.4K	2,446	+2,446	No	+$7	08-12 07:00
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	1	$2.4K	2,438	+2,438	No	+$7	08-04 19:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$2.4K	2,431	+2,431	No	+$15	07-25 13:58
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	2	$2.4K	2,416	+2,416	Yes	+$7	07-21 04:08
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	1	$2.4K	2,409	+2,409	No	+$12	07-14 04:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$2.4K	2,398	+2,398	No	+$4	07-05 21:36
kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	1	$2.4K	2,385	+2,385	No	+$5	06-21 19:57
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	1	$2.4K	2,380	+2,380	No	+$5	06-18 20:10
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	2	$2.4K	2,375	+2,375	Yes	+$5	06-17 22:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$2.4K	2,370	+2,370	Yes	+$12	06-14 23:17
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	1	$2.4K	2,358	+2,358	No	+$2	06-12 19:41
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	1	$2.3K	2,356	+2,356	Yes	+$9	06-10 16:22
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	2	$2.3K	2,347	+2,347	Yes	+$7	06-05 19:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$2.3K	2,339	+2,339	No	+$23	06-02 22:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$2.3K	2,317	+2,317	No	+$2	06-01 19:37
Trump out as President by May 31?	1	$2.3K	2,314	+2,314	No	+$7	05-23 22:17
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$2.3K	2,307	+2,307	No	+$2	05-21 22:14
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	2	$2.3K	2,299	+2,299	Yes	+$2	05-17 11:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$2.3K	2,297	+2,297	No	+$7	05-15 03:14
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?	1	$2.3K	2,290	+2,290	No	+$2	05-14 19:56
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$2.3K	2,287	+2,287	No	+$5	05-11 08:02
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$2.3K	2,282	+2,282	Yes	+$11	05-01 23:38
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$2.3K	2,271	+2,271	No	+$7	04-29 21:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$2.3K	2,264	+2,264	Yes	+$5	04-29 10:50
Will Trump dance today?	1	$2.3K	2,260	+2,260	Yes	+$5	04-27 18:23
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	1	$2.3K	2,256	+2,256	No	+$2	04-26 12:03
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$2.2K	2,254	+2,254	Yes	+$9	04-21 18:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 03:40:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,628	94¢	$2,470	0xe62438…
09-22 04:43:19	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	1,050	100¢	$1,045	0x13c13d…
09-22 04:05:13	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0d2097…
09-22 02:09:18	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	675	100¢	$672	0xb74a37…
09-22 01:52:42	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	388	100¢	$386	0x9a16c9…
09-22 01:44:21	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	331	100¢	$329	0xaf160e…
09-18 17:56:43	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8e11e7…
09-11 10:43:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,457	100¢	$2,445	0x22cb3a…
08-12 07:00:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	2,446	100¢	$2,438	0x6f697a…
08-04 19:33:56	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	2,438	100¢	$2,431	0xb02f2f…
07-25 13:58:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,431	99¢	$2,416	0x79761e…
07-21 04:08:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2,083	100¢	$2,076	0x03ddc5…
07-21 04:07:48	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x4b60b1…
07-14 04:44:29	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	2,409	100¢	$2,397	0x8cd8d6…
07-05 21:36:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,771	100¢	$1,769	0x30d1ad…
07-02 21:44:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	627	100¢	$625	0x8acaa0…
06-25 20:11:16	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	BUY	803	100¢	$801	0xee9cbe…
06-25 20:10:56	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	BUY	966	100¢	$961	0xe2b526…
06-25 20:08:56	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf27dee…
06-25 20:08:28	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9d046a…
06-25 20:07:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	587	100¢	$585	0xefa2d6…
06-21 19:57:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	BUY	2,385	100¢	$2,380	0x29e76c…
06-18 20:10:34	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	2,380	100¢	$2,375	0xf5c5fc…
06-17 22:17:53	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	2,286	100¢	$2,282	0xe8dc28…
06-17 22:17:17	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x681e06…
06-14 23:17:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,518	99¢	$1,511	0xdebace…
06-14 23:17:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	380	100¢	$378	0x286586…
06-14 23:15:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x689214…
06-14 23:13:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	435	99¢	$433	0x0a8e73…
06-12 19:41:13	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	2,358	100¢	$2,356	0xc61cf3…
06-10 16:22:42	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,356	100¢	$2,347	0xe841b2…
06-05 19:45:58	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	569	100¢	$567	0x9ae470…
06-05 19:40:51	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	1,778	100¢	$1,773	0x85e833…
06-02 22:22:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	937	99¢	$928	0xd07574…
06-02 22:22:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3a4b75…
06-02 22:22:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,302	99¢	$1,289	0x3a91e4…
06-01 19:37:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,317	100¢	$2,314	0x3eff2e…
05-23 22:17:43	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	2,314	100¢	$2,307	0xd83ffc…
05-21 22:14:01	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2,307	100¢	$2,305	0xc25bd2…
05-17 11:48:11	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	768	100¢	$767	0xba5372…
05-17 11:43:13	Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	1,531	100¢	$1,530	0x76343e…
05-15 03:14:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,297	100¢	$2,290	0xebb92d…
05-14 19:56:28	Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	2,290	100¢	$2,287	0x5273ac…
05-11 08:02:58	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	2,287	100¢	$2,283	0x924982…
05-01 23:38:40	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	646	99¢	$643	0x60be83…
05-01 21:45:16	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xefba40…
05-01 21:20:50	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1,004	100¢	$999	0x7a3b90…
05-01 21:20:24	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	618	100¢	$615	0x537d48…
04-29 21:46:42	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	2,271	100¢	$2,265	0x070080…
04-29 10:50:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x09ad50…
04-29 10:49:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0xe1a8a6…
04-29 10:48:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,020	100¢	$1,018	0x35c226…
04-29 10:48:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	925	100¢	$923	0x5b5b21…
04-27 18:23:56	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	2,260	100¢	$2,256	0x5ac666…
04-26 12:03:02	bitcoin above 78k on april 24	No	BUY	2,256	100¢	$2,254	0x9c592f…
04-21 18:50:18	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	2,254	100¢	$2,244	0xdf4428…
04-19 15:41:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	2,244	100¢	$2,242	0x06d4ec…
04-15 16:13:22	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	No	BUY	2,242	100¢	$2,238	0xd5cc08…
04-09 17:47:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	2,238	100¢	$2,236	0x48cc85…
04-06 04:00:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,236	100¢	$2,229	0x33ba50…
03-26 04:39:23	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$112	0x0f15b7…
03-26 04:39:09	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0x1ea7e2…
03-26 04:38:59	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0x3559b6…
03-26 04:38:49	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0x25a03b…
03-26 04:38:43	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0x509232…
03-26 04:38:35	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0xb86494…
03-26 04:38:23	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa7f672…
03-26 04:38:19	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x3869fc…
03-22 11:56:41	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	540	98¢	$531	0xe7163f…
03-22 11:56:23	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	689	98¢	$678	0x07afd0…
03-22 11:56:15	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0xecc699…
03-19 16:56:51	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x16ed87…
03-19 16:18:29	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	683	99¢	$679	0x5252eb…
03-18 06:19:09	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,193	100¢	$2,184	0x9415b8…
03-14 06:55:49	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	532	99¢	$528	0x3cc856…
03-14 06:52:27	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xbc0a10…
03-14 06:51:49	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	1,627	99¢	$1,616	0xe76497…
03-12 21:53:39	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	2,169	100¢	$2,166	0x103983…
03-10 05:03:53	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	BUY	2,166	99¢	$2,149	0x94a65f…
03-07 22:08:59	will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	Yes	BUY	383	100¢	$382	0xe8c0d9…
03-07 22:08:33	will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	Yes	BUY	1,766	100¢	$1,761	0xc22af9…
02-14 05:04:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2,143	97¢	$2,080	0xba129d…