Wry-Beating — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

14 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$458

$458 lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-05 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 27% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$114	0	138	-138	Down	$-23	05-05 20:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$100	0	241	-241	Up	+$100	05-05 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$97	0	99	-99	Up	$-2	05-05 20:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$51	125	109	+16	Up	+$11	05-05 18:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$24	0	26	-26	Up	$-2	05-05 19:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$20	57	0	+57	Up	$-20	05-05 20:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$14	45	45	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 17:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$13	0	29	-29	Down	$-16	05-05 17:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$10	32	0	+32	Down	$-10	05-05 20:08
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	1	$10	167	0	+167	No	$-10	05-05 18:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$5	28	0	+28	Down	$-5	05-05 18:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 20:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	241	42¢	$100	0x1f26ff…
05-05 20:54:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	138	83¢	$114	0x8e12e6…
05-05 20:24:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	99	98¢	$97	0xf84986…
05-05 20:08:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x7c99df…
05-05 20:01:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x8b29e7…
05-05 20:01:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x61615d…
05-05 19:57:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0x154bee…
05-05 18:28:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	109	29¢	$31	0x93c120…
05-05 18:26:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x812ea3…
05-05 18:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xfe6ff1…
05-05 18:21:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x2de125…
05-05 17:52:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	29	45¢	$13	0x008f9e…
05-05 17:27:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	45	19¢	$9	0x678160…
05-05 17:27:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x11298c…