Serious-Chandelier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$21

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-09 06:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

86% 67% $-1

Other

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	05-04 17:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-04 17:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$2	48	48	+0	open	—	05-04 17:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-07 21:07
Google reports Gemini monthly active users above 1B in Q1?	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	04-30 16:03
Will Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-01 16:23
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at The Villages on May 1?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-01 16:22
Trump approval Up or Down this week?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-09 06:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	$-1	04-30 15:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-03 01:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 06:16:25	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8c7fd5…
05-07 21:07:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9cbd59…
05-04 17:36:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x720b38…
05-04 17:36:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x416dd7…
05-04 17:26:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x0aa554…
05-04 17:18:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xcd0d93…
05-03 01:00:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc784ed…
05-01 16:23:18	Will Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3ff6f9…
05-01 16:22:44	Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5b789e…
04-30 16:03:12	Google reports Gemini monthly active users above 1B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4b927b…
04-30 15:57:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x9cf6ac…
04-30 15:55:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9391c0…
04-30 15:51:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x210c15…