Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$287

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$130

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 04-29 14:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

71% 0% $-302

Other

25% 100% +$15

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	5	$2.0K	1,343	1,343	+0	open	—	04-21 19:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$1.1K	1,129	553	+576	Yes	$-302	04-29 14:31
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	4	$784	882	882	+0	open	—	04-11 12:37
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	7	$692	1,409	1,600	-191	open	—	04-09 08:16
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	5	$615	572	572	+0	Yes	+$15	04-14 08:06
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$489	290	290	+0	open	—	04-12 19:17
James Comey arrested by May 15?	2	$365	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	04-29 14:31
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$318	568	568	+0	open	—	04-16 07:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	2	$313	1,164	1,126	+39	open	—	04-14 16:42
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$239	121	121	+0	open	—	03-26 15:14
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$191	397	0	+397	open	—	03-28 09:59
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$165	720	720	+0	open	—	04-10 18:25
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$124	168	168	+0	open	—	04-09 15:28
highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 16corhigher	2	$70	266	255	+11	open	—	04-01 07:49
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	11	$69	337	0	+337	open	—	04-09 16:54
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	6	$40	125	125	+0	open	—	04-02 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-29 14:31:56	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	SELL	1,111	6¢	$65	0x792125…
04-29 14:31:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	553	72¢	$398	0xe5de34…
04-29 10:27:30	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	1,111	27¢	$300	0x6edb9c…
04-21 19:59:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	449	81¢	$363	0x6f3506…
04-21 19:58:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0xd5fc48…
04-21 19:58:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	80	81¢	$65	0x39506c…
04-21 19:58:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	790	81¢	$640	0x72250b…
04-20 10:07:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,343	67¢	$900	0xf3d3ba…
04-16 07:58:36	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	568	28¢	$159	0x6bd7e5…
04-14 16:42:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	1,126	10¢	$113	0x580f53…
04-14 08:06:07	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	235	52¢	$122	0x2abebe…
04-12 19:17:35	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	290	100¢	$289	0xc4be01…
04-11 21:40:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	1,164	17¢	$200	0xee49fd…
04-11 12:37:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	282	71¢	$200	0x964c88…
04-10 18:25:51	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	720	6¢	$43	0x50ecde…
04-09 16:54:43	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x33e42b…
04-09 16:54:17	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0xc847ad…
04-09 16:54:03	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0xb97236…
04-09 16:53:47	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x636f02…
04-09 16:53:31	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0xe2943b…
04-09 16:53:27	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	73	21¢	$15	0x767143…
04-09 16:24:49	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0xbeb92b…
04-09 16:24:33	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x581fb4…
04-09 16:24:19	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x081563…
04-09 16:24:17	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	57	21¢	$12	0xa23105…
04-09 16:13:51	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0x660978…
04-09 16:13:35	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	600	29¢	$174	0xd37b8c…
04-09 16:08:01	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x671525…
04-09 15:28:53	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	168	37¢	$63	0x9e6be2…
04-09 14:50:07	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	235	52¢	$122	0x098ebf…
04-09 14:47:17	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	82	69¢	$57	0x210dfb…
04-09 14:39:15	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x87243b…
04-09 12:06:17	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	145	37¢	$53	0x94999b…
04-09 08:16:03	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	800	14¢	$115	0x5cab74…
04-09 07:54:41	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0xd90deb…
04-08 16:46:07	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	600	35¢	$210	0xe801da…
04-08 15:01:19	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	800	46¢	$366	0x13c284…
04-08 14:25:53	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,391	15¢	$209	0x1e5cc0…
04-08 14:24:15	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x81be46…
04-08 14:23:31	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x3de949…
04-08 14:23:07	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x5544bf…
04-08 14:16:57	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x117ede…
04-02 16:14:59	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	SELL	125	12¢	$15	0x8c02ce…
04-02 15:14:49	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0x3b6750…
04-02 15:14:07	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	572	52¢	$300	0x4d6354…
04-01 16:30:39	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	34	20¢	$7	0x6b08e4…
04-01 16:30:37	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	70	20¢	$14	0xee4ae4…
04-01 16:30:37	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x96688c…
04-01 16:30:37	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x6ae543…
04-01 16:30:37	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x5a3fe0…
04-01 07:49:41	highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 16corhigher	Yes	SELL	255	0¢	$0	0x6196f5…
03-31 21:45:39	highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 16corhigher	Yes	BUY	266	26¢	$70	0x4bb1ac…
03-28 09:59:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	397	48¢	$191	0x054040…
03-26 15:16:13	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	720	17¢	$122	0xe9eb8c…
03-26 15:14:43	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0x554c87…
03-19 11:29:59	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	568	28¢	$159	0x7587f3…
03-16 11:05:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,129	62¢	$700	0x9295e8…
03-10 16:46:41	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	121	98¢	$118	0xdc9796…