Big-Record — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

Trades

321

lifetime

Volume

$1.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-29 16:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

60% — —

Politics

29% 33% +$11

Other

6% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+13	$-1	0¢	$0	+$1	06-12 23:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	23	$139	55,421	0	+55,421	open	—	04-08 05:06
btc updown 15m 1775605500	11	$67	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 23:56
btc updown 5m 1775622000	2	$47	45	43	+3	open	—	04-08 04:25
btc updown 5m 1775624400	7	$45	91	50	+41	open	—	04-08 05:05
btc updown 5m 1775709000	4	$44	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 04:32
nhl edm utah 2026 04 07	8	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	04-08 04:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	8	$40	47	34	+13	open	—	04-14 19:34
btc updown 5m 1775631000	13	$37	50	50	+0	open	—	04-08 06:54
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	7	$36	37	26	+10	open	—	04-07 22:54
btc updown 5m 1775657400	11	$35	1,150	0	+1,150	open	—	04-08 14:13
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	4	$35	200	74	+126	open	—	04-08 17:07
btc updown 5m 1775628900	2	$31	42	42	+0	open	—	04-08 06:19
btc updown 15m 1775664000	6	$30	50	50	+0	open	—	04-08 16:09
btc updown 15m 1776893400	13	$25	101	54	+47	open	—	04-22 21:38
btc updown 5m 1775708700	10	$25	102	16	+87	open	—	04-09 04:30
btc updown 5m 1775629200	6	$24	49	49	+0	open	—	04-08 06:24
btc updown 5m 1775708400	20	$23	340	0	+340	open	—	04-09 04:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	14	$21	970	20	+950	open	—	04-08 04:09
btc updown 15m 1775622600	2	$21	19	18	+1	open	—	04-08 04:40
btc updown 5m 1775601300	21	$18	348	85	+263	open	—	04-07 22:38
btc updown 5m 1775621700	2	$16	31	29	+2	open	—	04-08 04:19
btc updown 15m 1775621700	3	$16	229	0	+229	open	—	04-08 04:28
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$15	25	5	+20	open	—	04-21 20:32
btc updown 5m 1775624700	3	$12	42	25	+17	open	—	04-08 05:09
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$12	26	0	+26	Yes	+$14	04-28 10:30
btc updown 5m 1775631600	10	$12	89	0	+89	open	—	04-08 07:03
btc updown 5m 1775624100	3	$11	45	21	+24	open	—	04-08 04:58
btc updown 5m 1775625000	12	$10	73	0	+73	open	—	04-08 05:13
btc updown 5m 1775631300	3	$9	62	62	+0	open	—	04-08 06:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	2	$9	30	0	+30	open	—	04-15 16:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 16:26:17	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x81092c…
06-22 15:33:07	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x16ab3e…
06-19 15:55:17	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xdb8f58…
06-19 15:38:01	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xf73e43…
06-18 14:12:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x86268f…
06-12 23:01:43	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0xf2e300…
06-11 10:03:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4fd145…
06-09 19:27:31	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb0ad04…
06-09 19:22:46	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xef2869…
06-09 01:14:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x25a31d…
06-09 01:07:27	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x40691d…
06-09 00:08:43	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xd89b1a…
06-08 23:21:45	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x70672d…
06-08 23:16:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xb6eaee…
06-08 23:13:31	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xa776f9…
05-29 14:38:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xc9ebc2…
05-29 07:29:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x74d3ed…
05-29 00:55:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xef6db4…
05-05 22:44:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x94c22c…
05-05 15:37:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x00479e…
05-04 10:14:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x6e7edc…
05-04 09:29:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xccf91a…
05-04 06:03:42	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb853d3…
05-04 05:45:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x762296…
04-28 10:30:46	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x811ccb…
04-28 06:24:14	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x55bf41…
04-28 06:19:40	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0xe72029…
04-24 11:29:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x523c5a…
04-22 21:38:54	btc updown 15m 1776893400	Down	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0x8fee5b…
04-22 21:38:54	btc updown 15m 1776893400	Down	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x55d96b…
04-22 21:38:54	btc updown 15m 1776893400	Down	SELL	34	22¢	$7	0x10b816…
04-22 21:37:26	btc updown 15m 1776893400	Down	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x06c95c…
04-22 21:37:02	btc updown 15m 1776893400	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xf723f5…
04-22 21:35:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1b42ea…
04-22 21:35:06	btc updown 15m 1776893400	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x4eab97…
04-22 21:34:44	btc updown 15m 1776893400	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x79bcea…
04-22 21:34:42	btc updown 15m 1776893400	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xa4d36e…
04-22 21:33:42	btc updown 15m 1776893400	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xf216fd…
04-22 21:32:56	btc updown 15m 1776893400	Down	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x869275…
04-22 21:32:22	btc updown 15m 1776893400	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf8f27e…
04-22 21:31:04	btc updown 15m 1776893400	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x94ed59…
04-22 21:31:04	btc updown 15m 1776893400	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x81cbb0…
04-22 21:16:08	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xd8fcd1…
04-21 20:43:24	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd8b69d…
04-21 20:32:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x2f8003…
04-21 19:20:18	lol ly fly 2026 04 21	LYON	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x05fe37…
04-21 19:15:56	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3a97ab…
04-21 19:12:24	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	No	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x50621d…
04-21 19:09:32	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xd0675c…
04-21 19:08:18	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8a7729…
04-21 19:06:16	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe18522…
04-21 19:06:02	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x24043e…
04-21 19:06:00	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xa51ed5…
04-21 19:05:58	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xd32bcf…
04-21 19:04:18	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x3abcea…
04-21 19:03:44	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x9dc688…
04-21 18:48:40	btc updown 5m 1776797100	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x516cb6…
04-21 18:47:50	btc updown 5m 1776797100	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x0b6d7f…
04-21 18:36:40	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals	Delhi Capitals	BUY	3,680	0¢	$4	0xb0d8ce…
04-15 16:30:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x5dfddd…
04-15 16:24:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x29b67e…
04-14 19:34:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x963441…
04-09 04:39:09	chess jsinda pr 2026 04 09 r10 black	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x71f87c…
04-09 04:32:59	btc updown 5m 1775709000	Down	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x662b29…
04-09 04:32:53	btc updown 5m 1775709000	Down	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xe159a5…
04-09 04:32:13	btc updown 5m 1775709000	Down	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0xa632f7…
04-09 04:32:13	btc updown 5m 1775709000	Down	BUY	56	11¢	$6	0x1b1f18…
04-09 04:30:09	btc updown 5m 1775708700	Up	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xcabc32…
04-09 04:30:09	btc updown 5m 1775708700	Up	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x420c66…
04-09 04:30:09	btc updown 5m 1775708700	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x143d4a…
04-09 04:30:07	btc updown 5m 1775708700	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xfbb964…
04-09 04:30:07	btc updown 5m 1775708700	Up	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xdc9392…
04-09 04:30:07	btc updown 5m 1775708700	Up	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x3525cd…
04-09 04:30:07	btc updown 5m 1775708700	Up	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x1e9220…
04-09 04:29:33	btc updown 5m 1775708700	Up	SELL	16	84¢	$13	0x2ca521…
04-09 04:26:41	btc updown 5m 1775708700	Up	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x22355d…
04-09 04:25:15	btc updown 5m 1775708700	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdc5619…
04-09 04:23:51	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x43b399…
04-09 04:23:07	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x8edef2…
04-09 04:23:07	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x46b4c6…
04-09 04:23:07	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x1ae16a…
04-09 04:23:05	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xf1bac3…
04-09 04:23:05	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xe1d41f…
04-09 04:23:05	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xd29767…
04-09 04:23:05	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xce8112…
04-09 04:23:05	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xc1a5bc…
04-09 04:23:05	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xa6100d…
04-09 04:23:05	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x99cf98…
04-09 04:23:05	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x834d21…
04-09 04:23:05	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x61ca0d…
04-09 04:23:05	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x586cb5…
04-09 04:23:05	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x294477…
04-09 04:23:05	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x141e78…
04-09 04:23:03	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x817fc4…
04-09 04:21:23	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xd331d2…
04-09 04:21:05	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x830cfe…
04-09 04:21:05	btc updown 5m 1775708400	Up	BUY	92	10¢	$9	0x4cab35…
04-08 18:18:59	btc updown 5m 1775672100	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x1ae2e6…
04-08 18:14:09	btc updown 15m 1775671200	Up	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xfe087c…
04-08 18:13:47	btc updown 15m 1775671200	Up	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x53894b…