Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

494

lifetime

Volume

$8.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$30

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-04 13:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-0

Politics

20% — —

Sports

19% 0% $-1

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by June 30?	No		+30	$29	98¢	$30	+$1	06-03 05:17
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes		+30	$1	2¢	$0	$-1	06-03 05:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	32	$633	1,300	40	+1,260	open	—	04-13 12:20
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	37	$600	1,221	40	+1,181	No	$-1	04-16 20:41
netanyahu out by march 31 854	18	$526	880	60	+820	open	—	03-19 00:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	28	$524	1,030	110	+920	open	—	04-03 01:14
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	16	$418	750	30	+720	open	—	03-19 02:02
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	14	$360	720	0	+720	open	—	03-18 22:02
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	16	$322	480	120	+360	open	—	03-26 21:23
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$292	150	150	+0	open	—	03-15 23:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	30	$271	500	33	+467	open	—	04-06 13:05
nba uta okc 2026 04 05	30	$228	420	29	+391	open	—	04-05 17:56
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	16	$226	510	70	+440	open	—	03-31 04:00
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	8	$190	380	0	+380	open	—	03-14 19:29
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	6	$180	360	0	+360	open	—	03-15 03:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$170	340	0	+340	open	—	04-10 06:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$170	340	0	+340	open	—	03-28 06:43
GTA VI released before June 2026?	8	$160	180	180	+0	open	—	03-17 00:21
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	12	$141	270	30	+240	open	—	03-26 14:34
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	4	$137	130	50	+80	open	—	03-19 01:00
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$135	70	70	+0	open	—	03-13 10:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	8	$134	300	40	+260	open	—	03-28 16:54
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	4	$120	240	0	+240	open	—	03-17 16:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$116	60	60	+0	open	—	03-19 06:34
will trump visit china by march 31	4	$110	220	0	+220	open	—	03-18 12:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$110	220	0	+220	open	—	04-06 02:35
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	04-09 09:16
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	03-13 12:08
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	6	$97	170	10	+160	open	—	03-20 15:43
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$93	230	50	+180	open	—	03-28 10:18
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	6	$92	220	40	+180	open	—	03-30 19:02
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$90	180	0	+180	open	—	03-29 21:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 13:21:12	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xa83c7f…
06-04 13:21:06	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xd3fae8…
06-04 11:45:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x61573d…
06-04 11:45:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x7157a8…
06-04 01:01:33	bitcoin above 66k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x7952cb…
06-04 01:01:31	bitcoin above 66k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xe5fefe…
06-04 01:01:31	bitcoin above 66k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x8df105…
06-04 01:01:30	bitcoin above 66k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x9ef5ba…
06-03 22:56:01	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x7b277f…
06-03 22:55:49	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xe47518…
06-03 18:22:54	Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x859c8f…
06-03 18:22:52	Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9dd08c…
06-03 18:22:52	Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x4fd392…
06-03 05:17:30	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x70b553…
06-03 05:17:30	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x3c98a7…
06-02 23:44:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x0375fd…
06-02 23:44:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x182066…
06-02 16:26:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xdb02fe…
06-02 16:26:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x7319a8…
06-02 11:53:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x84bae2…
06-02 11:53:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xe41e0d…
06-01 11:48:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0xfaee77…
06-01 11:48:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x4c5958…
05-31 23:36:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xae759a…
05-31 23:35:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xee2735…
05-31 23:35:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x6db1b2…
05-10 22:07:39	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x2dfcf5…
05-10 22:07:18	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0xc7dcdc…
05-10 22:07:13	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xa973eb…
04-28 07:01:08	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xfcdcd3…
04-28 07:01:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x904d53…
04-27 19:07:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x9f720d…
04-27 19:06:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x2d97a5…
04-27 16:15:34	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xebd2f1…
04-27 16:15:24	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x5e7259…
04-26 17:02:14	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xeb3c35…
04-26 17:01:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	36	4¢	$2	0x69518c…
04-26 17:01:50	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xba5d11…
04-24 05:35:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xfee859…
04-24 05:35:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x960df9…
04-24 05:35:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$3	0xbe29bf…
04-24 01:40:34	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x8813d8…
04-24 01:40:20	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x2f2005…
04-23 02:49:38	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0x8028ac…
04-23 02:49:38	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	29¢	$11	0x6ea1de…
04-23 02:49:38	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	9	71¢	$7	0x026d2c…
04-23 00:42:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x1f6be4…
04-23 00:42:22	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x20a03b…
04-22 20:08:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xa7fc81…
04-22 20:08:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x88e0f1…
04-21 18:08:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0x4cae67…
04-21 18:08:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x7727a3…
04-21 02:15:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0x0f3e24…
04-21 02:15:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x146831…
04-19 20:15:26	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x1fffe7…
04-19 20:15:18	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xf3e267…
04-19 13:06:24	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xe3010c…
04-19 13:06:16	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x8b095f…
04-19 09:18:54	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xfa0c7c…
04-19 09:18:46	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xc191c2…
04-17 23:31:52	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	40	26¢	$11	0xc2f6c9…
04-17 23:31:52	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	40	74¢	$29	0x79cd54…
04-17 21:13:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xaeb5a3…
04-17 21:13:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x752892…
04-17 18:01:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x754f5d…
04-17 18:01:46	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xb4add9…
04-17 07:05:18	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xa4f49c…
04-17 07:05:14	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x9154bb…
04-16 20:41:14	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xcf383e…
04-16 20:41:00	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xdbdae1…
04-16 20:37:34	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xfb6a82…
04-16 20:35:06	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x7d6ef5…
04-16 20:33:04	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x5c5af1…
04-15 02:05:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	30	28¢	$9	0xeba15d…
04-15 02:04:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x2dd6e4…
04-13 18:23:11	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xdfb169…
04-13 18:22:49	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x712b3d…
04-13 18:22:45	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xa5030f…
04-13 12:20:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xffa9a8…
04-13 12:19:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x3dd64b…
04-10 07:50:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xe5bc9e…
04-10 07:50:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x803ed9…
04-10 06:32:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf35d0c…
04-10 06:32:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3f1f61…
04-10 03:42:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xc09b83…
04-10 03:42:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x552428…
04-10 01:55:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xb4c44e…
04-10 01:55:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x041770…
04-09 23:41:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xe72880…
04-09 23:41:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x6bc071…
04-09 13:46:57	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xdce6be…
04-09 13:46:57	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xbfbf3e…
04-09 11:25:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xed55ce…
04-09 11:25:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0x42cb0f…
04-09 09:16:23	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x128080…
04-09 09:16:23	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x023899…
04-09 06:44:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xe0bf54…
04-09 06:44:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x6ed123…
04-08 16:09:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0xb74b8e…
04-08 16:09:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0x1e86a4…