Muted-Garage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$203

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-17 17:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

38% — —

Politics

28% 0% $-21

Other

27% 100% +$7

Tech

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$28	31	0	+31	open	—	03-31 19:55
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	03-31 19:50
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	1	$25	29	0	+29	open	—	04-16 08:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$21	22	0	+22	Yes	$-21	05-05 19:20
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	06-17 17:04
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-21 20:04
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	04-21 20:05
Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-14 10:40
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-16 08:57
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$10	17	0	+17	No	+$7	05-02 23:04
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$8	22	0	+22	open	—	05-14 10:39
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-29 22:04
Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	03-31 19:52
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals gael kakuta gte1	1	$3	19	0	+19	open	—	06-17 16:59
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	1	$3	18	0	+18	open	—	01-08 15:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 17:04:34	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Croatia	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x1d23fe…
06-17 16:59:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals gael kakuta gte1	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x84cf9d…
05-14 10:40:15	Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x44316c…
05-14 10:39:56	Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x64cbaa…
05-05 19:20:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0xee0804…
05-02 23:04:28	Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x13fb07…
04-21 20:05:58	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x7695b5…
04-21 20:04:04	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xdd317c…
04-16 08:57:36	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xaaad57…
04-16 08:57:24	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf5f4ea…
03-31 19:55:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5f8a92…
03-31 19:54:39	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x79aa98…
03-31 19:52:33	Mezo FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa87dbf…
03-31 19:50:25	EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x9a9973…
03-29 22:25:46	EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0xe082ce…
03-29 22:05:20	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x48db7c…
03-29 22:04:24	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x7d56b6…
01-08 15:12:16	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2b7a69…
01-08 15:12:00	Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	150k	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x858380…