Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,205
$376 in 24h
Trades
60
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$13,164
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-16 23:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $6
vs crowd: 7% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $745 | $745 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $78 | $315 | $238 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $137 | $137 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 5 | $5 | $53 | $48 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $92 | $92 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $762 | $762 |
| unranked | 14 | $73 | $10 | +$63 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Measly-Gelatin 0x28ca…5d19 | No | +840 | $739 | $739 | 1 | 05-14 19:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x58ee…5709 | Yes | +243 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-16 20:32 |
| Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | +150 | $137 | $137 | 30 | 05-15 17:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xd857…6927 | Yes | +120 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-16 22:42 |
| Useful-Rap 0x6994…9631 | Yes | +116 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-16 22:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x36c9…3039 | No | +54 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-15 13:02 |
| Primary-Agent 0x4d1d…01ac | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-16 17:05 |
| Swift-Excursion 0x76dc…17b4 | No | +50 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 05-12 21:16 |
| 0x4ea4059d1495040e11228d2a5b5a9edf22195ef7 0x4ea4…5ef7 | Yes | +50 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-16 22:25 |
| Corny-Adviser 0x25e3…9f8c | Yes | +43 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 05-15 17:09 |
| Prize-Obi 0x2375…691f | No | +27 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-14 16:36 |
| Muted-Garage 0x869b…8d63 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 10:40 |
| Rare-Timetable 0xa712…762e | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 21:15 |
| Giving-Snorer 0xf272…d2f1 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 21:32 |
| All-Architecture 0x588d…099a | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 21:00 |
| Mellow-Lid 0x9087…1d06 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 22:35 |
| Powerless-Bijou 0xf4f8…5bf1 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-16 17:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 23:02:24 | Sparkling-Steamroller 0x6964…3954 | Yes | SELL | 975 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xbde2e0… |
| 05-16 22:59:45 | Respectful-Nut 0xd7b9…109d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x63ab70… |
| 05-16 22:58:33 | Definite-Accident 0x35f3…092f | Yes | SELL | 42 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xddcca9… |
| 05-16 22:56:15 | (anonymous) 0x40a1…9832 | Yes | SELL | 101 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4bffef… |
| 05-16 22:55:28 | goceboce 0x1c91…edd8 | Yes | SELL | 809 | 2¢ | $12 | 0xb07cfc… |
| 05-16 22:54:49 | Mature-Faculty 0xb2db…140a | Yes | SELL | 27 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x776843… |
| 05-16 22:44:42 | Well-Made-Stacking 0x705b…e69b | Yes | SELL | 42 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x062dfe… |
| 05-16 22:42:26 | (anonymous) 0xd857…6927 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 18¢ | $22 | 0x8da7ae… |
| 05-16 22:35:17 | Mellow-Lid 0x9087…1d06 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6541d3… |
| 05-16 22:31:19 | Useful-Rap 0x6994…9631 | Yes | BUY | 116 | 17¢ | $20 | 0x23ea18… |
| 05-16 22:25:29 | 0x4ea4059d1495040e11228d2a5b5a9edf22195ef7 0x4ea4…5ef7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 17¢ | $8 | 0x7bd02e… |
| 05-16 21:32:27 | Giving-Snorer 0xf272…d2f1 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1aab8b… |
| 05-16 21:15:43 | Rare-Timetable 0xa712…762e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x3a6bd5… |
| 05-16 20:32:45 | (anonymous) 0x58ee…5709 | Yes | BUY | 243 | 8¢ | $20 | 0xf5f36c… |
| 05-16 17:05:02 | Primary-Agent 0x4d1d…01ac | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0x3bb271… |
| 05-16 17:02:50 | Powerless-Bijou 0xf4f8…5bf1 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xad5a4b… |
| 05-16 15:49:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xbeb8cc… |
| 05-16 15:49:19 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | SELL | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xeb2cd0… |
| 05-16 15:46:22 | Partial-Apparel 0x186c…11ce | Yes | SELL | 335 | 8¢ | $26 | 0x7ce57a… |
| 05-15 17:16:28 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xd69591… |
| 05-15 17:12:25 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x558bd1… |
| 05-15 17:09:51 | Corny-Adviser 0x25e3…9f8c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x297ad2… |
| 05-15 17:09:48 | Corny-Adviser 0x25e3…9f8c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xcc1086… |
| 05-15 17:09:44 | Corny-Adviser 0x25e3…9f8c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xf9c4bc… |
| 05-15 17:09:39 | Corny-Adviser 0x25e3…9f8c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xd8c5c5… |
| 05-15 17:07:19 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x18102e… |
| 05-15 16:57:10 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xbf1a3b… |
| 05-15 16:12:18 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x49b82c… |
| 05-15 15:57:08 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x4d7714… |
| 05-15 15:56:07 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xae649d… |
| 05-15 15:54:47 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x1d45aa… |
| 05-15 15:36:21 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x77ad76… |
| 05-15 15:31:16 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x6b024d… |
| 05-15 15:22:07 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xf7d45e… |
| 05-15 15:21:12 | Damaged-Cross 0x138a…8197 | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x90f7da… |
| 05-15 13:20:47 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xf554dc… |
| 05-15 13:14:41 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xacd34d… |
| 05-15 13:12:40 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x27fe3a… |
| 05-15 13:11:39 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x716a82… |
| 05-15 13:09:36 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x878aed… |
| 05-15 13:07:34 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x88404f… |
| 05-15 13:02:08 | (anonymous) 0x36c9…3039 | No | BUY | 54 | 92¢ | $50 | 0xc4b3e8… |
| 05-15 12:41:10 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x0c5415… |
| 05-15 12:35:46 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x0f721e… |
| 05-15 12:16:38 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc7cf82… |
| 05-15 12:11:15 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xe2d419… |
| 05-15 11:50:32 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x63589b… |
| 05-15 11:49:31 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x80eab7… |
| 05-15 11:42:24 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x2e39d9… |
| 05-15 11:41:23 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xc9768a… |
| 05-15 11:36:06 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x21d154… |
| 05-15 11:30:40 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x03a62e… |
| 05-15 11:29:37 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x794da4… |
| 05-15 11:20:09 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x511d37… |
| 05-15 11:14:33 | Enchanted-Sty 0x8512…e70e | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xdde343… |
| 05-14 19:54:15 | Measly-Gelatin 0x28ca…5d19 | No | BUY | 840 | 88¢ | $739 | 0xc46b14… |
| 05-14 16:36:54 | Prize-Obi 0x2375…691f | No | BUY | 27 | 86¢ | $23 | 0x7ff1bc… |
| 05-14 10:40:15 | Muted-Garage 0x869b…8d63 | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x44316c… |
| 05-12 21:16:28 | Swift-Excursion 0x76dc…17b4 | No | BUY | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x909def… |
| 05-08 21:00:53 | All-Architecture 0x588d…099a | No | BUY | 8 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x421e4b… |