Pure-Disappointment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$930

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.7%

Resolved

170

Trades

1,869

lifetime

Volume

$16.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 23:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

90% 87% +$857

Politics

9% 80% +$63

Sports

1% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	32	$834	599	559	+40	open	—	10-21 20:58
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	96	$704	2,527	2,263	+264	No	+$27	05-16 18:33
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	33	$570	662	587	+74	No	+$68	05-11 22:30
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	19	$429	355	348	+7	No	+$16	05-08 17:47
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	51	$418	453	453	+0	Yes	+$66	05-08 12:40
Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$400	404	0	+404	Yes	+$4	10-26 22:58
Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?	9	$388	223	223	+0	Yes	+$17	07-21 21:16
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	29	$354	222	222	-0	Yes	+$26	03-22 20:24
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	8	$346	231	207	+25	Yes	+$10	05-07 21:14
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	13	$312	503	308	+195	No	-$85	05-16 18:30
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	20	$297	491	491	-0	Yes	+$43	05-12 22:45
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	6	$286	260	200	+60	Yes	+$38	05-10 01:37
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	16	$284	285	285	+0	No	+$46	05-12 22:18
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	15	$280	414	414	+0	No	+$25	05-16 18:29
Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$265	133	133	+0	No	+$1	10-26 17:43
will akylas win sing for greece 2026	4	$257	129	129	-0	Yes	+$1	02-15 22:56
will marseaux win sing for greece 2026	2	$248	124	124	+0	No	+$0	02-15 22:56
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	27	$245	315	271	+44	No	+$31	04-11 20:02
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	27	$232	265	265	+0	Yes	+$40	05-10 11:28
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	8	$232	265	265	+0	No	+$13	05-09 10:02
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$228	157	157	+0	Yes	-$2	10-26 22:25
Will Armenia win Junior Eurovision 2026?	3	$221	243	0	+243	Yes	+$22	10-24 21:28
will kazakhstan record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 135	2	$210	111	111	+0	Yes	+$10	02-14 11:15
will agnesse win supernova 2026	3	$207	143	68	+75	No	+$4	02-03 11:35
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	19	$197	184	184	+0	Yes	+$17	04-05 12:33
Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	8	$192	166	166	+0	open	—	09-23 13:30
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	15	$191	399	399	+0	Yes	+$43	05-14 15:42
Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?	4	$184	112	112	+0	open	—	10-21 21:23
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	23	$184	242	216	+26	No	+$4	05-09 21:29
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	5	$169	101	101	+0	No	+$3	05-06 17:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:02:38	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x90ee3f…
10-26 23:00:59	Will Rodri finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7b4d30…
10-26 22:58:59	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Mbappé	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5052d0…
10-26 22:58:09	Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0x37d919…
10-26 22:25:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	108	72¢	$77	0xe745d9…
10-26 22:25:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	49	72¢	$35	0x8b2e8e…
10-26 22:17:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	142	73¢	$104	0x679ef3…
10-26 22:17:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xc1e639…
10-26 18:20:32	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2296e8…
10-26 17:43:47	Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xeedd73…
10-26 17:40:41	Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa67ef4…
10-26 17:39:27	Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x559421…
10-26 17:39:23	Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x9366bb…
10-24 21:28:12	Will Armenia win Junior Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0xaa2c25…
10-24 21:22:18	Will Armenia win Junior Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe147f1…
10-24 21:21:59	Will Armenia win Junior Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	221	91¢	$200	0xf96f9b…
10-24 21:20:21	Will Spain win Junior Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xace45f…
10-24 21:20:17	Will Spain win Junior Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xdd2055…
10-24 21:16:57	Will Ukraine win Junior Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0x331be5…
10-24 10:16:38	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x508631…
10-23 19:57:09	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x6f3e35…
10-21 21:23:29	Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	107	89¢	$95	0x51efe8…
10-21 20:58:29	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0xd1571d…
10-21 20:58:15	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	88¢	$16	0x36b519…
10-21 20:58:12	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	89¢	$53	0xe05003…
10-21 15:57:20	Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	107	83¢	$89	0xe44213…
10-21 09:00:47	Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xebc2e4…
10-19 21:52:16	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xad6fa3…
10-19 21:33:00	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	191	89¢	$170	0xabcae3…
10-19 19:51:24	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0xc8d64e…
10-19 19:33:30	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x10a311…
10-19 14:56:56	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x6c2d9a…
10-19 07:32:48	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x9d661b…
10-19 07:32:48	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	35	89¢	$31	0x42d296…
10-19 07:32:48	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x0ba9c2…
10-13 15:21:22	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x02079b…
10-10 10:36:58	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x642645…
10-10 09:45:16	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x497af4…
10-10 09:43:55	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x63e054…
10-10 09:41:25	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x98733b…
10-10 09:21:45	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0xa85c29…
10-04 09:16:10	Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe06c62…
10-02 09:52:50	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x9258eb…
10-02 09:39:36	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x38c2f9…
10-02 08:30:12	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x07ebca…
09-30 19:52:56	Will Iceland participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	51	39¢	$20	0x153003…
09-30 10:59:30	Will North Macedonia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x39ab8d…
09-28 09:25:17	Will North Macedonia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x51b275…
09-28 09:25:02	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x683eef…
09-28 09:22:56	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0x0af399…
09-28 09:17:35	Will Iceland participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x9a4180…
09-28 09:17:08	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x56e247…
09-28 09:11:21	Will North Macedonia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x35ac01…
09-28 09:11:03	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x0aa1fa…
09-23 13:32:26	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x252876…
09-23 13:31:52	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	109	3¢	$3	0xa61fe3…
09-23 13:31:22	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x4ca246…
09-23 13:31:10	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	81	66¢	$54	0xd1df60…
09-23 13:30:55	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	97	66¢	$64	0xf31159…
09-23 13:30:50	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x7427a3…
09-23 13:30:46	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xffb783…
09-23 13:30:41	Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	118	88¢	$104	0xbf5fc7…
09-23 11:47:10	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	120	31¢	$37	0xbfbb71…
09-22 21:19:18	Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb8563d…
09-22 20:44:53	Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xbb98e5…
09-22 20:40:03	Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	86	47¢	$41	0xd446af…
09-21 17:34:16	Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	38	48¢	$18	0xb84b8d…
09-18 12:08:09	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	74¢	$44	0xc012c9…
09-16 21:48:58	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xb5705e…
09-16 20:58:46	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	54	25¢	$14	0xc56167…
09-16 18:10:30	Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x641e70…
09-16 08:27:54	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x0dde8e…
08-25 23:10:37	Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6bf389…
08-25 23:09:49	Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0x85b53c…
08-25 09:30:22	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0x791493…
08-25 09:27:28	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	45	89¢	$40	0xc11fa9…
07-30 22:59:03	Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xc92114…
07-30 11:51:30	Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x35c506…
07-30 11:11:00	Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	79	76¢	$60	0x0fa3dc…
07-30 10:56:54	Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	75¢	$12	0x57be91…
07-28 23:59:47	Will Canada participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x7d174c…
07-27 13:32:21	will spain participate in eurovision 2027	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xa19e8f…
07-23 16:15:25	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by august 31 2026 20260722051644333	Yes	SELL	134	20¢	$27	0x001cea…
07-23 16:11:42	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by august 31 2026 20260722051644333	Yes	SELL	36	20¢	$7	0x710434…
07-23 15:45:58	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by august 31 2026 20260722051644333	Yes	SELL	23	20¢	$5	0x52e335…
07-23 11:52:54	Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	21¢	$4	0x2ccbff…
07-22 19:17:15	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by august 31 2026 20260722051644333	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x05dbf7…
07-22 11:09:45	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by august 31 2026 20260722051644333	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xa8fab7…
07-22 10:33:28	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by august 31 2026 20260722051644333	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x15fc21…
07-21 21:16:46	Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xff7b23…
07-21 19:46:33	Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xad186d…
07-21 19:44:36	Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	100¢	$79	0xbc7d96…
07-21 19:43:25	Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x793986…
07-21 19:39:33	Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x642b3e…
07-21 19:38:51	Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x99fc99…
07-21 19:34:57	Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	90¢	$65	0x56bd3d…
07-21 19:09:33	Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x3dde18…
07-21 19:08:00	Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xcb8954…
06-01 12:35:45	will spain participate in eurovision 2027	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7617d6…
06-01 12:34:40	will spain participate in eurovision 2027	No	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0x342192…