Pure-Disappointment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.95K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

179

Trades

1,914

lifetime

Volume

$18.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 17:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

91% 88% +$1,866

Politics

8% 81% +$72

Sports

1% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	18	$1.5K	1,485	1,082	+403	No	+$763	10-28 11:32
Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	37	$1.0K	811	559	+252	Yes	+$191	10-28 09:30
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	96	$704	2,527	2,263	+264	No	+$27	05-16 18:33
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	18	$661	450	450	+0	open	—	10-28 17:33
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	33	$570	662	587	+74	No	+$68	05-11 22:30
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	19	$429	355	348	+7	No	+$16	05-08 17:47
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	51	$418	453	453	+0	Yes	+$66	05-08 12:40
Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$400	404	0	+404	Yes	+$4	10-26 22:58
Will Mykhailo Drapatyi be appointed as the next Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2026?	9	$388	223	223	+0	Yes	+$17	07-21 21:16
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	29	$354	222	222	-0	Yes	+$26	03-22 20:24
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	8	$346	231	207	+25	Yes	+$10	05-07 21:14
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	13	$312	503	308	+195	No	-$85	05-16 18:30
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	20	$297	491	491	-0	Yes	+$43	05-12 22:45
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	6	$286	260	200	+60	Yes	+$38	05-10 01:37
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	16	$284	285	285	+0	No	+$46	05-12 22:18
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	15	$280	414	414	+0	No	+$25	05-16 18:29
Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?	8	$270	199	112	+87	Yes	+$9	10-28 09:24
Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$265	133	133	+0	No	+$1	10-26 17:43
will akylas win sing for greece 2026	4	$257	129	129	-0	Yes	+$1	02-15 22:56
will marseaux win sing for greece 2026	2	$248	124	124	+0	No	+$0	02-15 22:56
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	27	$245	315	271	+44	No	+$31	04-11 20:02
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	27	$232	265	265	+0	Yes	+$40	05-10 11:28
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	8	$232	265	265	+0	No	+$13	05-09 10:02
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$228	157	157	+0	Yes	-$2	10-26 22:25
Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	12	$225	161	161	+0	open	—	10-28 17:51
Will Armenia win Junior Eurovision 2026?	3	$221	243	0	+243	Yes	+$22	10-24 21:28
will kazakhstan record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 135	2	$210	111	111	+0	Yes	+$10	02-14 11:15
will agnesse win supernova 2026	3	$207	143	68	+75	No	+$4	02-03 11:35
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	19	$197	184	184	+0	Yes	+$17	04-05 12:33
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	15	$191	399	399	+0	Yes	+$43	05-14 15:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:51:35	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	96	96¢	$92	0x716a90…
10-28 17:33:10	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	291	96¢	$280	0x354d59…
10-28 11:32:10	Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xde78d6…
10-28 09:44:01	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4f0ee9…
10-28 09:39:17	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x602faa…
10-28 09:30:28	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xee06af…
10-28 09:30:05	Will Ireland participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x71c570…
10-28 09:29:17	Will Kazakhstan participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x201346…
10-28 09:29:11	Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcdb785…
10-28 09:29:04	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x78142a…
10-28 09:28:26	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x6a46a0…
10-28 09:28:13	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x365a11…
10-28 09:28:05	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x656759…
10-28 09:27:56	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x11cc62…
10-28 09:27:35	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x9b9346…
10-28 09:26:20	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x502741…
10-28 09:25:56	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x5fca19…
10-28 09:25:46	Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xeefedc…
10-28 09:25:08	Will Germany participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2ec397…
10-28 09:25:05	Will Germany participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc51a5c…
10-28 09:24:05	Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x9d27c6…
10-28 09:22:55	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf26ae2…
10-28 09:22:44	Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa52d0e…
10-28 09:22:35	Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x3a8fba…
10-28 09:20:01	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x4c49b7…
10-28 09:19:56	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7db15f…
10-28 09:16:40	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	47	92¢	$43	0xfb0467…
10-28 09:16:37	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x35b6d7…
10-28 09:16:16	Will Iceland participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x4a2abd…
10-28 09:15:17	Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xf8392a…
10-28 09:14:56	Will Kazakhstan participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf52773…
10-28 09:14:53	Will Kazakhstan participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x789bbe…
10-28 09:14:50	Will Kazakhstan participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xe8a11e…
10-28 09:14:32	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xc79bba…
10-27 16:48:45	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x2a8c42…
10-27 13:52:35	Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xce5097…
10-27 13:18:20	Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x18dd22…
10-27 11:56:30	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xf48db6…
10-27 11:56:15	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9b03e1…
10-27 09:27:29	Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	326	91¢	$297	0x7169eb…
10-27 09:22:00	Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	90	89¢	$80	0x82eb0d…
10-27 09:21:12	Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	500	87¢	$434	0xf1adcb…
10-27 09:03:32	Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	23	32¢	$7	0x85fbd6…
10-27 09:02:11	Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	764	52¢	$400	0x8c915d…
10-27 09:01:17	Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	456	7¢	$30	0x90b644…
10-26 23:02:38	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x90ee3f…
10-26 23:00:59	Will Rodri finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7b4d30…
10-26 22:58:59	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lionel Messi to finish higher?	Mbappé	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5052d0…
10-26 22:58:09	Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0x37d919…
10-26 22:25:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	108	72¢	$77	0xe745d9…
10-26 22:25:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	49	72¢	$35	0x8b2e8e…
10-26 22:17:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	142	73¢	$104	0x679ef3…
10-26 22:17:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xc1e639…
10-26 18:20:32	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2296e8…
10-26 17:43:47	Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xeedd73…
10-26 17:40:41	Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa67ef4…
10-26 17:39:27	Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x559421…
10-26 17:39:23	Will Marc Cucurella finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x9366bb…
10-24 21:28:12	Will Armenia win Junior Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0xaa2c25…
10-24 21:22:18	Will Armenia win Junior Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe147f1…
10-24 21:21:59	Will Armenia win Junior Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	221	91¢	$200	0xf96f9b…
10-24 21:20:21	Will Spain win Junior Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xace45f…
10-24 21:20:17	Will Spain win Junior Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xdd2055…
10-24 21:16:57	Will Ukraine win Junior Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0x331be5…
10-24 10:16:38	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x508631…
10-23 19:57:09	Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x6f3e35…
10-21 21:23:29	Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	107	89¢	$95	0x51efe8…
10-21 20:58:29	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0xd1571d…
10-21 20:58:15	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	88¢	$16	0x36b519…
10-21 20:58:12	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	89¢	$53	0xe05003…
10-21 15:57:20	Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	107	83¢	$89	0xe44213…
10-21 09:00:47	Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xebc2e4…
10-19 21:52:16	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xad6fa3…
10-19 21:33:00	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	191	89¢	$170	0xabcae3…
10-19 19:51:24	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0xc8d64e…
10-19 19:33:30	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x10a311…
10-19 14:56:56	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x6c2d9a…
10-19 07:32:48	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x9d661b…
10-19 07:32:48	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	35	89¢	$31	0x42d296…
10-19 07:32:48	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x0ba9c2…
10-13 15:21:22	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x02079b…
10-10 10:36:58	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x642645…
10-10 09:45:16	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x497af4…
10-10 09:43:55	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x63e054…
10-10 09:41:25	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x98733b…
10-10 09:21:45	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0xa85c29…
10-04 09:16:10	Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe06c62…
10-02 09:52:50	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x9258eb…
10-02 09:39:36	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x38c2f9…
10-02 08:30:12	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x07ebca…
09-30 19:52:56	Will Iceland participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	SELL	51	39¢	$20	0x153003…
09-30 10:59:30	Will North Macedonia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x39ab8d…
09-28 09:25:17	Will North Macedonia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x51b275…
09-28 09:25:02	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x683eef…
09-28 09:22:56	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0x0af399…
09-28 09:17:35	Will Iceland participate in Eurovision 2027?	No	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x9a4180…
09-28 09:17:08	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x56e247…
09-28 09:11:21	Will North Macedonia participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x35ac01…
09-28 09:11:03	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x0aa1fa…
09-23 13:32:26	Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x252876…