Gentle-Halibut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$72

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$2.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-03 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

93% 23% +$74

Politics

6% 0% $-2

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes		+53	$10	0¢	$0	$-10	05-16 20:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	8	$388	1,169	0	+1,169	open	—	05-14 20:36
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$292	400	0	+400	Yes	+$108	02-27 19:48
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	7	$94	182	57	+125	Yes	$-10	05-12 20:32
Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	7	$82	479	0	+479	open	—	05-14 19:27
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$60	100	50	+50	open	—	05-14 20:34
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	3	$60	169	0	+169	Yes	+$109	05-12 20:13
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	4	$57	85	30	+55	open	—	05-14 20:34
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	3	$55	400	0	+400	No	$-55	05-12 18:15
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$55	735	0	+735	open	—	05-16 13:01
Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	3	$53	218	0	+218	open	—	05-14 20:33
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$50	97	0	+97	No	+$47	05-12 18:12
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$49	129	63	+66	open	—	05-16 22:50
lol vit lr 2026 02 08	4	$49	120	0	+120	open	—	02-08 15:52
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$43	221	0	+221	open	—	05-14 19:10
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	4	$40	73	12	+61	No	$-3	05-12 18:49
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	6	$38	243	0	+243	Yes	$-38	05-12 18:11
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$35	108	0	+108	open	—	05-16 22:13
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	5	$32	204	0	+204	Yes	$-32	05-12 18:11
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$30	200	0	+200	Yes	$-30	04-04 19:17
lol sk shft 2026 02 08	1	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	02-08 18:07
lol fnc g2 2026 02 08	2	$30	75	0	+75	open	—	02-08 20:12
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$30	172	0	+172	open	—	05-14 08:11
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$30	83	0	+83	open	—	05-16 22:14
lol th kc 2026 02 08	2	$30	116	0	+116	open	—	02-08 19:28
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$30	258	0	+258	open	—	05-16 20:45
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	8	$28	200	0	+200	open	—	05-10 10:15
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$25	6,250	0	+6,250	open	—	06-03 07:27
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	1	$25	380	0	+380	open	—	03-06 19:55
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$22	74	0	+74	open	—	05-14 19:38
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	05-16 22:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 07:27:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xebbdfa…
06-03 07:27:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x282a33…
06-03 06:49:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x280424…
05-25 08:53:15	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	28¢	$15	0x75ec33…
05-25 08:52:49	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	7¢	$15	0xe7b7f0…
05-16 22:52:00	Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x7feca8…
05-16 22:50:37	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	63	15¢	$9	0x68a3f7…
05-16 22:17:43	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x278ebb…
05-16 22:16:46	Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x3d89b2…
05-16 22:14:34	Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x27956f…
05-16 22:13:58	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x05c788…
05-16 21:13:30	Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	38¢	$6	0x45012d…
05-16 20:45:28	Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	14¢	$10	0x618c71…
05-16 20:27:25	Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xa3a580…
05-16 19:59:27	Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0x2c0249…
05-16 19:19:34	Will "Bathroom" be said during Eurovision?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xbdf771…
05-16 13:15:31	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc31fd6…
05-16 13:15:24	Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6f556a…
05-16 13:10:28	Will "Europe" be said 10+ times during Eurovision?	No	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0xa0dbaa…
05-16 13:03:14	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x23272a…
05-16 13:02:43	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	109	18¢	$20	0x7640fe…
05-16 13:01:47	Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	187	11¢	$20	0x1d79d4…
05-16 13:01:33	Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	6¢	$35	0xcf6531…
05-16 13:00:16	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x17f383…
05-14 20:36:57	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0xb03b21…
05-14 20:34:39	Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0xf6c25c…
05-14 20:34:02	Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x93b977…
05-14 20:33:46	Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xb230d8…
05-14 20:32:19	Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0xdd112f…
05-14 20:21:56	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x852ee7…
05-14 19:38:40	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0xf284b9…
05-14 19:38:14	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xa504b0…
05-14 19:36:50	Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x85b0b1…
05-14 19:27:20	Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xe113ec…
05-14 19:27:04	Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x095e3e…
05-14 19:26:01	Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	144	14¢	$20	0x4679cd…
05-14 19:19:03	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x439526…
05-14 19:13:16	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	250	24¢	$60	0xa18454…
05-14 19:10:19	Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x4457e7…
05-14 19:10:11	Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0xf4f4a2…
05-14 08:13:01	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	62	31¢	$19	0xd92d50…
05-14 08:12:39	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	314	28¢	$88	0x722d70…
05-14 08:11:18	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0xb8abb6…
05-13 06:23:13	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x51b6eb…
05-12 20:32:11	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xf1aaa5…
05-12 20:13:45	Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x59ba6c…
05-12 18:49:26	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0x29e605…
05-12 18:45:51	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	101	3¢	$3	0x38ac6f…
05-12 18:45:33	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0xf83581…
05-12 18:28:33	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x04343b…
05-12 18:28:09	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	38	74¢	$28	0x68b82c…
05-12 18:22:20	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0x5fd381…
05-12 18:15:22	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xc38f18…
05-12 18:13:18	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xd63d00…
05-12 18:12:32	Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x0697dc…
05-12 18:11:24	Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x94f47e…
05-12 18:11:01	Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xdfc96e…
05-12 18:07:59	Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xb6ed6e…
05-12 18:07:21	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	337	12¢	$40	0xd4d690…
05-12 18:05:29	Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	140	1¢	$2	0x904432…
05-11 07:34:39	Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	150	22¢	$33	0x81990f…
05-10 10:15:10	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x6d0378…
05-10 10:15:10	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0x697340…
05-10 10:15:10	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x60ff55…
05-10 10:15:10	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x48a7a3…
05-10 10:15:10	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x1a04fd…
05-08 11:17:37	Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	153	14¢	$21	0xc766a7…
04-27 23:05:42	Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb22b01…
04-25 08:53:34	Will Portugal come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0x068868…
04-25 08:27:12	Will Portugal come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x0cf09a…
04-25 08:27:00	Will Portugal come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xce4c0b…
04-25 07:38:50	Will Portugal come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x6aa732…
04-25 07:37:02	Will Portugal come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x7af1ab…
04-25 07:36:52	Will Portugal come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x828b4f…
04-24 20:10:14	Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0x640924…
04-24 18:39:16	Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xbf08d3…
04-24 18:39:16	Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9acb65…
04-24 18:39:16	Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x61f3e7…
04-24 17:46:02	Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xf0db8b…
04-24 17:46:02	Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x2f2d20…
04-24 17:21:00	Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6c5acb…
04-24 17:20:58	Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x0dad30…
04-24 17:20:56	Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf2ce1f…
04-24 16:23:10	Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x0890e6…
04-24 15:35:22	Will Estonia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xeecb55…
04-24 15:35:22	Will Portugal come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd30be3…
04-24 09:32:04	Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x9c4028…
04-24 09:30:52	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x1e6ac8…
04-24 09:30:20	Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x1e6e58…
04-24 09:28:26	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x674cd0…
04-24 09:27:52	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xc763cd…
04-24 09:27:38	Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	14¢	$8	0x3c1b0c…
04-24 09:27:16	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x04e9f8…
04-24 09:26:36	Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xb78504…
04-24 09:26:14	Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	15¢	$20	0x96e1a8…
04-24 09:26:06	Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x986841…
04-24 09:25:48	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe12b18…
04-24 09:25:38	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x4dbc16…
04-24 09:24:58	Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x9fdd80…
04-24 09:24:54	Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x6352a4…