Remorseful-Twister — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$406

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-30 06:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% 100% +$6

Politics

14% — —

Crypto

11% 100% +$5

Sports

8% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$153	83	83	+0	open	—	05-04 18:03
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	1	$51	0	51	-51	open	—	06-16 14:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$27	100	100	+0	open	—	07-03 07:40
Valorant: Joblife vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs	2	$23	25	25	+0	Joblife	+$3	05-04 18:13
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	06-04 09:04
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total home 0pt5	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	06-16 14:45
btc updown 5m 1785348900	2	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	07-29 18:17
Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs	3	$14	10	10	+0	WIP Esports	+$2	05-05 19:17
Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports - Map 4 Winner	2	$12	9	9	+0	WIP Esports	+$2	05-05 19:35
btc updown 5m 1785392100	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	07-30 06:19
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	06-20 07:04
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	06-19 18:05
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	06-20 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-05 18:33
btc updown 5m 1781989500	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	06-20 21:07
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	07-24 06:23
btc updown 5m 1785342600	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	07-29 16:33
btc updown 5m 1781938200	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-20 06:54
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	1	$4	54	0	+54	open	—	07-29 16:32
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	07-23 16:01
fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte1	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	06-27 06:59
fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-16 14:47
will warsh say oil during july press conference 20260720204109045	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	07-29 16:28
btc updown 5m 1785392400	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	07-30 06:21
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 0pt5	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-20 21:01
will the announcers say goal 60 times during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901492	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	07-10 06:32
will the announcers say usa during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901500	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-10 06:32
btc updown 5m 1785393000	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	07-30 06:30
will the announcers say qatar or russia during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901506	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	07-10 06:31
will the announcers say trump during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901501	1	$1	14	0	+14	open	—	07-10 06:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 06:30:39	btc updown 5m 1785393000	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3e0f27…
07-30 06:21:50	btc updown 5m 1785392400	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0xc45c9c…
07-30 06:20:29	btc updown 5m 1785392400	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1ac15e…
07-30 06:19:15	btc updown 5m 1785392100	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xb167d7…
07-30 06:18:48	btc updown 5m 1785392100	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf07132…
07-29 18:17:11	btc updown 5m 1785348900	Down	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0x6b2dcb…
07-29 18:15:30	btc updown 5m 1785348900	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x18e435…
07-29 16:33:33	btc updown 5m 1785342600	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc8b9b0…
07-29 16:32:08	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	No	BUY	54	7¢	$4	0x5f35a3…
07-29 16:28:05	will warsh say oil during july press conference 20260720204109045	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x585d88…
07-24 06:23:21	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf7e089…
07-23 16:01:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x082533…
07-10 06:32:35	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901492	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x81d309…
07-10 06:32:07	will the announcers say usa during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901500	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x43cb09…
07-10 06:31:49	will the announcers say trump during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901501	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x93c02d…
07-10 06:31:10	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901506	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6f6484…
07-03 07:40:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x5e0a5b…
06-27 06:59:16	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x37a3ab…
06-20 21:07:31	btc updown 5m 1781989500	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x48449a…
06-20 21:01:22	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4c9c14…
06-20 12:10:04	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x8032fc…
06-20 07:04:38	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xe753e2…
06-20 06:54:29	btc updown 5m 1781938200	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa09e75…
06-19 18:05:01	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xe0ed1c…
06-17 14:35:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb435bc…
06-16 14:47:28	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Tunisia	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x970ef0…
06-16 14:45:58	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xf86c3e…
06-16 14:40:17	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x9a91eb…
06-04 09:04:46	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xe580ee…
05-05 19:35:54	Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports - Map 4 Winner	WIP Esports	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0xa7cf1e…
05-05 19:33:28	Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports - Map 4 Winner	WIP Esports	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xcc3a3f…
05-05 19:17:58	Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs	WIP Esports	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x85cd69…
05-05 19:04:38	Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs	WIP Esports	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7c9abe…
05-05 18:56:10	Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs	WIP Esports	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xff72aa…
05-05 18:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x47a4b0…
05-04 18:13:08	Valorant: Joblife vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs	Mandatory	SELL	25	51¢	$13	0x8c4c76…
05-04 18:06:18	Valorant: Joblife vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs	Mandatory	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x4604d1…
05-04 18:03:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x6ae5ee…
04-12 08:13:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	83	84¢	$70	0x2d79b8…