Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$269

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-30 10:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

74% — —

Politics

25% 50% +$6

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	9	$72	7,432	6,432	+1,000	open	—	02-26 13:17
nothing ever happens us strike edition	6	$37	50	33	+17	open	—	01-29 10:15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	4	$20	44	44	+0	open	—	04-14 08:52
spx opens up or down on january 29 2026	2	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	01-29 10:08
Will the US strike Somalia next?	2	$13	14	14	+0	open	—	01-10 17:37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$10	27	27	+0	open	—	04-14 08:52
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	01-10 17:54
Will the US strike Iran next?	1	$10	78	0	+78	open	—	01-10 13:48
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	01-13 10:05
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	01-14 15:34
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	2	$10	8	8	+0	Yes	$-0	01-18 06:05
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	3	$5	1,567	0	+1,567	open	—	04-14 16:11
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	1	$5	109	0	+109	open	—	02-07 15:22
nothing ever happens february 452	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	02-04 07:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$5	11	0	+11	Yes	+$6	01-29 09:49
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	2	$5	17	17	+0	open	—	01-31 17:16
will trump talk to maria corina machado in february	1	$4	14	0	+14	open	—	01-31 17:27
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	06-24 06:59
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	1	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	06-24 06:58
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	01-29 10:21
us strike on somalia by january 31 563	2	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	01-29 10:20
will trump say khamenei this week march 22	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	03-20 19:48
Will the US strike Iran next?	1	$1	59	0	+59	open	—	02-28 12:58
will trump say crypto bitcoin during pennsylvania events 20260619211746769	1	$1	27	0	+27	open	—	06-24 07:00
will trump say harvard in august 20260728181450072	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	07-30 10:34
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	03-13 14:46
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	06-24 06:58
Iran leadership change by March 13?	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	03-11 10:01
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	1	$1	24	0	+24	open	—	03-03 17:28
will trumps remarks not air 837	1	$1	23	0	+23	open	—	04-14 16:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 10:34:59	will trump say harvard in august 20260728181450072	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xaefd13…
06-24 07:03:38	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x268fa6…
06-24 07:03:07	will starmer say mrpt speaker 30 times during the next pmq 20260610160650628	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7be08d…
06-24 07:00:58	will trump say crypto bitcoin during pennsylvania events 20260619211746769	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x349ac4…
06-24 06:59:25	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x4f11bd…
06-24 06:58:38	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xfd3e21…
06-24 06:58:26	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbfcab1…
04-14 16:17:49	will trumps remarks not air 837	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x13fb91…
04-14 16:11:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf0ed51…
04-14 08:52:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0xca42b3…
04-14 08:52:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0x5f345b…
04-08 18:20:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x35cb1b…
03-20 19:48:35	will trump say khamenei this week march 22	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4e963d…
03-13 14:46:25	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc57dfb…
03-11 10:01:23	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x323743…
03-03 17:28:59	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x9ba6ff…
02-28 12:58:57	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xc4ef3e…
02-28 12:55:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x5d60a6…
02-26 13:17:20	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x323a5e…
02-16 12:02:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	SELL	959	1¢	$10	0xe298c3…
02-14 08:04:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	BUY	959	1¢	$6	0x588b5d…
02-11 18:13:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	Yes	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0x570a25…
02-07 15:22:13	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0x63932c…
02-04 07:50:42	nothing ever happens february 452	Something	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xfbf136…
02-02 18:17:08	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	SELL	2,306	1¢	$18	0x337d21…
01-31 17:27:56	will trump talk to maria corina machado in february	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x539a90…
01-31 17:16:12	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0xd41cdc…
01-30 16:49:10	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	BUY	2,306	0¢	$10	0x0885ec…
01-29 10:22:44	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xf68f21…
01-29 10:21:28	Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xbb6886…
01-29 10:20:46	us strike on somalia by january 31 563	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xabc5f5…
01-29 10:20:34	us strike on somalia by january 31 563	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc3606f…
01-29 10:15:42	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xaa3867…
01-29 10:15:14	nothing ever happens us strike edition	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xe174b5…
01-29 10:14:56	nothing ever happens us strike edition	Yes	SELL	31	41¢	$13	0x6c6865…
01-29 10:08:58	spx opens up or down on january 29 2026	Up	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x1a7f51…
01-29 10:07:36	spx opens up or down on january 29 2026	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xca3ced…
01-29 09:49:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd52b23…
01-29 09:15:04	nothing ever happens us strike edition	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x9f438e…
01-29 08:53:56	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	SELL	2,667	0¢	$10	0x3c63fc…
01-29 08:51:18	nothing ever happens us strike edition	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xb9dd4a…
01-18 06:05:54	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0xa5f024…
01-16 10:09:38	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x397606…
01-16 10:06:40	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x2ec881…
01-16 10:03:58	nothing ever happens us strike edition	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x59bd45…
01-15 11:53:08	nothing ever happens us strike edition	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xfe9664…
01-14 15:34:34	us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	Yes	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x1c4c17…
01-13 17:52:13	us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd6e7a0…
01-13 10:05:25	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x0971b2…
01-13 10:02:41	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x16f810…
01-11 18:15:56	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3f5600…
01-10 17:54:00	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x07a743…
01-10 17:37:46	Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	SELL	14	56¢	$8	0xb9c47c…
01-10 13:48:04	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x6c8c92…
01-10 13:46:34	Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x50539a…
01-10 13:43:22	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe0ea77…
01-10 09:40:50	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x93fab5…
01-10 09:40:14	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x8cf2ec…