Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
68.3%
Resolved
77
Trades
230
lifetime
Volume
$948
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$8
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 10-26 20:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Crypto
88% 52% -$4
Other
6% 21% -$8
Politics
5% 56% -$3
Sports
1% 50% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? Yes +4 $1 26¢ $1 $0 10-25 19:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 36¢ $1 $0 10-25 19:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +8 $1 12¢ $1 $0 10-25 19:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +2 $1 48¢ $1 $0 10-25 19:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +3 $1 34¢ $1 $0 10-25 19:48
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 26¢ $1 $0 10-25 19:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +12 $1 6¢ $1 $0 10-26 20:22
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +3 $1 26¢ $1 $0 07-19 16:28
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +5 $1 11¢ $1 $0 10-25 19:47