Distant-Manifestation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$633

lifetime

Avg / trade

$127

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-17 05:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

41% 100% +$0

Crypto

39% 100% +$1

Politics

21% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	1	$131	131	0	+131	No	+$0	05-07 06:33
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$131	0	131	-131	open	—	05-06 03:49
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$127	127	0	+127	No	+$0	05-06 04:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	1	$123	124	0	+124	Yes	+$1	05-13 04:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	05-17 05:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 05:54:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xcfac83…
05-13 04:16:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x381e66…
05-07 06:33:33	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x230962…
05-06 04:19:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x23aec9…
05-06 03:49:44	Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0xd67d6d…