Well-Informed-Bank — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.4%

Resolved

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 05-18 22:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% — —

Politics

40% 25% +$2

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	11	$851	583	582	+1	open	—	04-12 18:22
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	10	$792	406	406	+0	open	—	04-06 22:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	6	$568	407	407	+0	No	$-1	05-10 08:10
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	6	$562	291	291	+0	open	—	04-05 18:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	5	$536	273	273	+0	No	$-0	05-08 23:51
Iran leadership change by April 30?	7	$530	277	277	+0	open	—	04-25 23:50
will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$297	151	151	+0	open	—	04-09 10:19
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	2	$294	150	150	+0	open	—	04-16 19:54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	4	$294	152	152	+0	open	—	05-11 13:17
will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	2	$293	148	148	+0	open	—	04-14 05:34
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	4	$293	538	538	+0	open	—	04-26 07:35
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	8	$282	443	443	+0	open	—	04-28 02:04
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	5	$281	151	151	+0	open	—	04-11 07:53
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	3	$273	138	138	+0	open	—	03-31 19:37
will solana dip to 70 in march 2026	4	$271	144	144	+0	open	—	03-26 12:38
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$271	139	139	+0	open	—	03-28 11:59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	5	$269	179	179	+0	open	—	05-12 12:23
will anish giri win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	4	$269	138	138	+0	open	—	04-10 00:26
will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$269	136	136	+0	open	—	04-07 11:01
will min woo lee win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$265	136	136	+0	open	—	04-09 14:55
will russia join the board of peace	3	$263	133	133	+0	open	—	03-24 12:53
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 380 399	3	$261	135	135	+0	open	—	03-26 08:48
new stranger things episode released by april 30	2	$260	132	132	+0	open	—	03-20 00:59
will patrick reed win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$255	130	130	+0	open	—	04-07 01:45
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	4	$250	128	128	+0	open	—	04-10 19:07
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	2	$241	129	129	+0	open	—	03-31 14:07
will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	4	$237	120	120	+0	open	—	03-19 08:30
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 380 399	4	$236	120	120	+0	open	—	03-19 17:35
will adam scott win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$214	108	108	+0	open	—	04-04 05:25
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 260 279	3	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	03-20 14:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 22:25:15	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xa3cfce…
05-18 22:25:15	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x4da726…
05-13 06:37:54	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	72	91¢	$66	0x39a420…
05-13 06:12:12	Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	9¢	$3	0x87f7dc…
05-13 06:12:12	Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x07f0f1…
05-13 06:12:12	Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x0066a3…
05-13 03:26:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xd7892a…
05-13 03:26:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	349	1¢	$5	0xd24132…
05-13 03:26:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x87f4fb…
05-13 02:10:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	360	1¢	$5	0x07296e…
05-12 12:23:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0xbff817…
05-12 09:30:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x115909…
05-11 13:17:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0xcbcd4f…
05-11 13:17:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xc78fe9…
05-11 13:17:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	79	97¢	$76	0x311ad9…
05-11 11:18:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	152	97¢	$147	0x15d2ab…
05-11 05:59:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	95	94¢	$89	0xbf36d7…
05-11 05:59:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0x2468f5…
05-11 02:10:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	142	94¢	$133	0x157d1c…
05-10 08:10:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	117	3¢	$4	0x6d8249…
05-10 05:17:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	4¢	$5	0xa603d6…
05-09 20:49:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	152	97¢	$147	0x070094…
05-09 19:00:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	152	97¢	$147	0xee9862…
05-09 13:30:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	138	96¢	$133	0xfa6363…
05-09 08:03:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	138	96¢	$133	0xf98a68…
05-09 03:59:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x44997b…
05-09 03:48:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xb06215…
05-09 03:48:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	65	2¢	$1	0xeea11f…
05-09 03:48:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	98	2¢	$2	0x4727b9…
05-09 01:39:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0x91e829…
05-08 23:51:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	149	99¢	$148	0xc2aac4…
05-08 22:22:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	149	99¢	$148	0x6e6828…
05-08 13:08:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	162	4¢	$6	0x0c639b…
05-08 10:17:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	162	3¢	$6	0x672d0b…
05-08 05:18:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	155	3¢	$5	0x8f5466…
05-08 02:52:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0xd74151…
05-08 02:52:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x9cc0b3…
05-08 02:52:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xfe621f…
05-07 22:54:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	93	97¢	$90	0x5d2619…
05-07 22:54:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x1eb20a…
05-07 19:37:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	124	97¢	$121	0xd170bb…
05-07 09:47:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0x687558…
05-07 06:36:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xc789ed…
05-06 22:20:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0x9cdfcc…
05-06 22:18:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	6¢	$6	0x516620…
05-06 21:09:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0xbf8283…
05-06 21:09:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x782c65…
05-06 07:45:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	121	3¢	$3	0x399b58…
05-06 07:45:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	3¢	$3	0x8c0208…
05-06 04:58:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	213	3¢	$6	0xf72758…
04-28 02:04:24	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x23990f…
04-26 15:10:08	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	96	98¢	$94	0x1e5b31…
04-26 12:00:32	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	96	98¢	$94	0x8b0132…
04-26 07:35:40	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	397	2¢	$9	0x214468…
04-26 05:40:14	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	397	2¢	$9	0x31379d…
04-25 23:50:12	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0xc1d8c3…
04-25 23:50:12	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	71	95¢	$67	0x637537…
04-25 23:50:12	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x451a69…
04-25 20:56:32	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	98	96¢	$94	0xffa6a7…
04-25 20:56:32	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xba4772…
04-25 19:01:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$2	0x3e9041…
04-25 19:01:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	2¢	$3	0x2adbe9…
04-25 15:30:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	206	4¢	$9	0xa3faef…
04-25 09:18:22	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xe1c38d…
04-25 09:18:20	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0xc9494d…
04-25 05:30:54	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xd3af71…
04-25 05:30:54	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0xbd16cf…
04-25 03:55:16	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x30bb7b…
04-25 03:54:38	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	294	1¢	$3	0xd159a3…
04-25 00:43:10	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	304	1¢	$3	0x454100…
04-24 13:05:08	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	2¢	$2	0xe8b0af…
04-24 13:05:08	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	2¢	$2	0xcde038…
04-24 13:05:08	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	2¢	$2	0xca0858…
04-24 13:05:08	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x771a15…
04-24 13:05:08	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	2¢	$2	0x5431e0…
04-24 08:27:44	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	430	2¢	$9	0xba3850…
04-24 01:58:44	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	141	98¢	$137	0x8df995…
04-24 00:23:34	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	141	98¢	$137	0x1b7be1…
04-23 20:26:50	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	179	2¢	$4	0x4dc674…
04-23 20:26:50	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x3524b0…
04-23 20:26:50	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	2¢	$1	0x2e8f88…
04-23 18:39:54	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	288	2¢	$6	0x1ff181…
04-23 15:15:00	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	232	2¢	$5	0xceba93…
04-23 15:15:00	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	78	2¢	$2	0xb598f0…
04-23 10:43:36	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	310	2¢	$6	0x8a9cc3…
04-22 18:50:30	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	232	3¢	$8	0xfb011e…
04-22 17:15:40	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	232	2¢	$4	0x03246e…
04-22 14:19:04	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0x4b75ac…
04-22 14:19:04	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	2¢	$2	0x1cf2d0…
04-22 12:33:40	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	2¢	$3	0x849552…
04-21 20:29:40	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	219	2¢	$4	0xceef94…
04-21 20:29:40	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	141	2¢	$3	0x0a8155…
04-21 16:20:16	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	360	2¢	$7	0x4b85a2…
04-20 20:18:20	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	139	96¢	$133	0x10d8a3…
04-20 18:09:10	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	139	96¢	$133	0x560831…
04-20 16:26:14	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	216	1¢	$3	0xb79209…
04-20 16:26:14	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x07eb45…
04-20 11:18:08	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	249	1¢	$3	0x903c42…
04-20 03:35:56	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	7¢	$7	0xe09168…
04-20 01:59:06	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	7¢	$7	0x1f3348…