Safe-Panel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$276

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved

Trades

670

lifetime

Volume

$94.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$140

Open exposure

$158

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-30 19:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% — —

Politics

48% 50% $-276

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No		-185	$-157	86¢	$-158	$-1	05-30 19:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	16	$10.6K	8,699	8,699	+0	Yes	+$34	03-16 10:35
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	48	$10.2K	10,473	6,516	+3,957	open	—	03-29 11:26
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	64	$8.2K	9,634	10,106	-472	open	—	02-25 19:29
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	20	$7.4K	4,065	4,065	+0	open	—	03-31 19:29
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	52	$7.2K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	02-25 14:28
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by january 15	13	$4.4K	1,675	2,979	-1,304	open	—	01-11 13:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	26	$4.3K	14,817	7,408	+7,408	open	—	04-08 19:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	23	$3.8K	4,292	517	+3,774	open	—	04-01 11:18
will russia capture all of prymorske by february 28 2026	10	$3.3K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	02-20 12:27
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	15	$2.9K	2,581	2,631	-50	open	—	05-14 12:32
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by january 31	19	$2.6K	1,846	1,336	+509	open	—	01-31 05:37
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$2.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	03-30 12:11
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	20	$2.4K	1,238	1,238	+0	open	—	04-27 13:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	12	$2.0K	1,909	1,880	+29	open	—	03-24 17:18
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	9	$1.9K	690	1,414	-724	open	—	01-15 23:20
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	5	$1.7K	1,003	1,003	+0	open	—	04-27 11:06
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	18	$1.5K	1,200	1,063	+138	open	—	01-31 23:06
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	19	$1.2K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	02-04 20:28
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	5	$953	499	499	+0	open	—	05-20 07:16
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	8	$948	1,744	931	+813	open	—	01-11 01:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	3	$940	685	342	+342	Yes	$-310	04-29 11:49
will russia capture hryshyne by february 28 2026	5	$935	515	515	+0	open	—	02-27 23:48
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	3	$891	469	469	+0	open	—	03-03 16:58
will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	2	$875	700	700	+0	open	—	03-02 06:54
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	4	$860	512	512	+0	open	—	05-23 17:20
will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	13	$826	613	621	-8	open	—	02-26 18:38
will russia capture all of prymorske by march 31 2026 597	10	$724	359	583	-225	open	—	03-01 00:28
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	61	$695	8,500	9,400	-900	open	—	01-20 14:36
will russia enter kurylivka by february 28	7	$550	400	400	+0	open	—	02-09 07:46
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	14	$532	1,900	0	+1,900	open	—	04-05 15:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 19:46:46	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	185	85¢	$157	0x3baceb…
05-23 17:20:15	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	512	96¢	$491	0xf5ce3d…
05-20 07:16:27	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	249	100¢	$249	0x93c36d…
05-19 16:59:41	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	249	100¢	$248	0x563507…
05-17 00:07:23	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	210	69¢	$145	0x1d413c…
05-16 23:59:45	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	75	69¢	$52	0x47201a…
05-16 23:49:27	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	107	91¢	$97	0x1975b2…
05-16 22:31:50	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	60¢	$96	0x895c52…
05-16 20:54:34	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x851c9f…
05-16 20:53:45	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	71¢	$44	0xd07f4c…
05-16 20:41:09	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	71¢	$59	0x091ced…
05-14 18:00:54	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	227	76¢	$173	0x6bda13…
05-14 17:14:41	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	290	92¢	$267	0x20126d…
05-14 17:00:00	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	102	90¢	$92	0x27ff3f…
05-14 12:32:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	6¢	$58	0x6aa319…
05-13 17:55:45	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$33	0x1e600b…
05-12 15:39:56	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	681	90¢	$610	0xd7641e…
05-12 09:32:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	681	88¢	$603	0x9314ec…
05-11 21:02:41	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	420	65¢	$272	0x8e19fd…
05-10 16:26:47	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x4b1051…
05-10 16:01:07	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	79	89¢	$70	0x39aa51…
05-10 15:37:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	169	70¢	$118	0x2be78a…
05-08 10:35:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	65¢	$40	0x15bb1d…
05-08 10:28:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	108	65¢	$70	0xa79c92…
05-06 15:56:08	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	269	91¢	$245	0xc3ffc7…
05-06 15:12:14	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	124	92¢	$114	0x6d1672…
05-06 13:14:50	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa43a75…
05-06 12:51:12	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	271	92¢	$248	0xddfa0e…
05-06 12:00:56	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	202	92¢	$186	0x103df0…
05-05 19:46:50	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xd3351d…
05-05 17:17:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x972362…
04-29 11:49:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	342	92¢	$315	0x062093…
04-27 13:44:06	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	138	99¢	$137	0x0c4f9a…
04-27 13:03:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	300	84¢	$252	0xaa87a1…
04-27 11:25:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	435	92¢	$400	0x0325de…
04-27 11:06:16	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	813	99¢	$807	0xeddbf5…
04-22 11:06:34	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	138	94¢	$131	0x16d6d5…
04-15 20:27:18	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0x7087c8…
04-15 20:19:36	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	35	69¢	$24	0x784914…
04-15 20:01:00	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	75	70¢	$52	0xe1f21b…
04-15 12:56:28	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x126dc4…
04-15 12:24:08	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xb81b5d…
04-15 10:03:06	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	150	99¢	$148	0xf4a539…
04-14 20:56:18	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	73¢	$109	0x8b6359…
04-13 15:45:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0x35969f…
04-13 14:08:09	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0x58ee2a…
04-13 12:23:55	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	BUY	177	0¢	$1	0xff0f07…
04-13 12:23:51	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x912abb…
04-13 12:23:51	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x6fda5f…
04-13 12:23:51	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x2262c1…
04-13 12:23:51	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	BUY	269	0¢	$1	0x0c71a8…
04-13 12:23:11	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	BUY	269	0¢	$1	0x0eabc5…
04-13 12:23:07	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x32e8a3…
04-13 12:22:55	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xcf2e41…
04-13 12:22:55	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x7fc51d…
04-13 12:22:55	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x396c6d…
04-13 12:10:35	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9 12	Yes	BUY	131	0¢	$0	0xe9cb5e…
04-12 18:53:59	will tisza win at least 130 seats	Yes	SELL	150	87¢	$130	0xb4d1af…
04-12 17:16:43	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	128	16¢	$21	0x6c2fe8…
04-12 17:16:05	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	72	16¢	$12	0x182af6…
04-12 17:02:07	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xa23c89…
04-12 12:36:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0x37b568…
04-11 23:44:03	will tisza win at least 130 seats	Yes	BUY	150	31¢	$46	0xbc55d9…
04-11 18:00:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1,003	71¢	$712	0x53bfcc…
04-11 11:19:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xd69064…
04-11 06:58:51	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	300	75¢	$225	0x1ac30a…
04-11 04:31:47	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	148	99¢	$146	0x0b0c55…
04-11 00:39:11	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	522	99¢	$515	0xf66b94…
04-10 23:45:01	btc updown 5m 1775864400	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x09b463…
04-10 23:34:41	btc updown 5m 1775863800	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xab19af…
04-10 23:29:13	btc updown 5m 1775863500	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xe4e853…
04-10 23:19:25	btc updown 5m 1775862900	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x76bc3d…
04-10 23:16:31	btc updown 5m 1775862600	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x823706…
04-10 23:14:43	btc updown 5m 1775862600	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x64e5e5…
04-10 22:23:29	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0xf70b5f…
04-10 22:17:21	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	157	99¢	$155	0x4c41ef…
04-10 21:58:51	btc updown 5m 1775858100	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc15645…
04-09 21:34:11	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0xd61b05…
04-09 21:34:03	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xb06d5a…
04-09 21:34:03	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	169	96¢	$161	0xa90359…
04-09 20:44:09	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	95¢	$212	0xebfe2c…
04-08 19:38:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	7,408	1¢	$44	0x5bb2d0…
04-08 01:41:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$40	0x605089…
04-08 01:36:23	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	210	98¢	$207	0x882a4d…
04-07 20:31:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,660	86¢	$2,290	0xecb8d6…
04-05 15:44:41	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	488	28¢	$137	0x4dc699…
04-05 15:40:39	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x278fb1…
04-05 15:40:35	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x281dd4…
04-05 15:37:23	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xe34555…
04-05 15:35:59	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xef548b…
04-05 15:32:39	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x75679c…
04-05 15:31:09	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x3c88c5…
04-05 15:23:31	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x5bbbc2…
04-05 15:15:23	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xf3e3c4…
04-04 15:47:03	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	57	28¢	$16	0xaf4e25…
04-04 15:46:09	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	69	28¢	$19	0xaf28c1…
04-04 15:46:07	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9b9784…
04-04 15:29:45	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	329	28¢	$92	0xd08b65…
04-04 06:16:27	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	900	28¢	$252	0x49e7eb…
04-03 22:17:31	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xb817a0…