Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$160

Unrealized P&L

-$98

Hit rate

44.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$22

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-29

last 09-03 21:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

55% 30% -$73

Politics

36% 50% -$2

Crypto

5% 0% -$67

Sports

3% 50% +$1

Tech

1% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes		+213	$100	6¢	$14	-$86	07-10 11:59
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+100	$20	8¢	$8	-$12	09-03 21:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	3	$270	338	278	+60	No	-$53	07-11 12:27
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$209	147	147	+0	Yes	+$58	06-30 18:47
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	2	$189	100	100	+0	No	+$4	07-24 17:27
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	2	$181	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	07-10 12:03
starmer out by june 22 2026	3	$103	170	130	+40	Yes	+$81	06-20 22:52
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	1	$100	213	0	+213	open	—	07-10 11:59
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	3	$84	272	72	+200	Yes	-$57	06-21 04:42
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$67	100	0	+100	No	-$67	06-01 16:39
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	1	$46	50	0	+50	No	+$4	06-24 18:02
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$43	50	0	+50	No	+$7	07-11 16:12
starmer out by july 31 2026	2	$36	285	0	+285	Yes	-$36	06-20 22:56
starmer out by june 26 2026	2	$33	60	0	+60	Yes	-$33	06-19 20:15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 31?	3	$25	500	0	+500	No	-$25	05-31 08:49
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	1	$20	105	0	+105	No	-$20	06-27 18:56
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	100	0	+100	open	—	09-03 21:42
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	1	$10	100	0	+100	No	-$10	06-22 08:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$6	1,042	0	+1,042	No	-$6	07-27 14:05
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$6	100	0	+100	No	-$6	07-11 16:13
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-29 18:39
burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	2	$3	60	0	+60	Yes	-$3	06-24 18:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 21:42:27	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	20¢	$13	0x372ba6…
09-03 21:32:09	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	19¢	$7	0x6d2904…
07-27 14:05:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,042	1¢	$6	0x49785d…
07-24 17:27:21	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xf89ee5…
07-11 16:13:20	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x75b538…
07-11 16:12:58	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xe0aebc…
07-11 12:27:26	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	61¢	$37	0xb4a70c…
07-11 12:23:53	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	278	39¢	$108	0x488fa2…
07-10 12:04:04	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xf9afb2…
07-10 12:03:02	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xadfed6…
07-10 12:00:56	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xe2a0dc…
07-10 11:59:38	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xf2df94…
06-30 18:47:43	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	147	91¢	$134	0x518a53…
06-27 19:19:47	Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	278	45¢	$125	0xe8f4f4…
06-27 18:56:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xf68c61…
06-24 18:05:34	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xa98f00…
06-24 18:03:32	burnham unopposed in 2026 labour leadership contest 20260622161338971	No	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x595160…
06-24 18:02:46	Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x2ad8e5…
06-22 08:46:05	Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x040da8…
06-21 04:42:10	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	72	19¢	$14	0x1bb44d…
06-20 22:58:41	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	96	11¢	$11	0x0df79d…
06-20 22:56:35	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x1662f6…
06-20 22:55:11	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x5c91de…
06-20 22:52:34	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0x25bb65…
06-20 11:03:19	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	185	17¢	$31	0xfc5f9e…
06-20 11:02:29	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	47	67¢	$31	0xe0e13a…
06-19 21:10:47	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	30	23¢	$7	0xfabde6…
06-19 20:15:28	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	31	55¢	$17	0xbfec14…
06-19 20:11:26	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	29	54¢	$15	0x859561…
06-19 20:09:53	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	170	18¢	$31	0x35cf84…
06-19 20:08:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	176	34¢	$60	0xba07b9…
06-01 16:39:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x2d971b…
06-01 12:44:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x013598…
05-31 08:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x0ea583…
05-31 08:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x54012a…
05-31 08:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	450	5¢	$22	0x0949f8…
05-29 18:39:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa854cf…