Intrepid-Microphone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$90

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-12 14:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 0% $-1

Politics

21% 100% +$2

Sports

17% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes		-8	$-1	10¢	$-1	$-0	06-09 19:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba den mem 2026 01 25 rebounds jonas valanciunas 8pt5	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-10 00:14
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-20 12:44
nba dal mil 2026 01 25 total 218pt5	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	03-10 10:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	05-29 18:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	05-15 10:03
mlb bos nyy 2026 06 05	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	06-06 00:01
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	05-27 23:22
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 10:03
will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	2	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	03-10 09:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	06-01 13:49
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?	2	$2	7	7	+0	open	—	06-02 09:20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-30 03:13
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	03-10 19:57
will ryan gosling attend the oscars	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	03-10 10:38
will xagusd reach 82 in june 2026	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	06-07 22:16
will google have the 3 ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	03-11 01:00
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 10:03
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	03-13 12:55
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	3	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 10:03
Will G2 Esports qualify to MSI 2026?	2	$2	112	0	+112	open	—	05-25 19:15
will russia capture hryshyne by march 15 2026 338	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	03-12 07:32
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	2	$1	7	7	+0	open	—	06-05 09:32
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	2	$1	8	8	+0	open	—	05-29 11:31
Will Clavicular receive a Kick ban by June 1, 2026?	3	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	03-27 04:01
will jose massi be the next mayor of toulon	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	03-13 02:47
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	2	$1	6	6	+0	open	—	06-12 14:55
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	2	$1	1	1	+0	open	—	05-15 10:03
will bitcoin outperform silver in march 2026	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	03-10 12:23
bitcoin above 74k on march 14	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	03-10 10:16
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	05-06 07:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 14:55:21	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x238c41…
06-09 19:10:42	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x04ed1d…
06-07 22:16:31	will xagusd reach 82 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x854bc9…
06-06 00:14:06	will xagusd reach 82 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4867e5…
06-06 00:01:40	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 05	Boston Red Sox	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xc63011…
06-05 09:32:28	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xc7fb9c…
06-04 21:53:43	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 05	Boston Red Sox	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x9019af…
06-02 09:20:38	Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0xf51fed…
06-02 00:15:10	Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x7f280f…
06-01 21:56:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x57dd6e…
06-01 13:49:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0xb273bc…
05-30 18:14:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xfba38f…
05-30 09:59:18	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x01f2f9…
05-30 03:13:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x83fbb8…
05-30 00:02:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x34b1b8…
05-29 18:02:41	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xa3d6c6…
05-29 15:40:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x62ca6e…
05-29 14:06:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x4793bd…
05-29 11:31:21	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	No	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xa83684…
05-29 04:01:01	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xea1713…
05-27 23:22:12	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x15e01e…
05-27 22:55:08	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb06501…
05-26 22:24:23	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x228942…
05-25 19:15:21	Will G2 Esports qualify to MSI 2026?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x8faae6…
05-20 12:44:17	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x26382e…
05-15 10:03:42	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xf03fa4…
05-15 10:03:28	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0xe61410…
05-15 10:03:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x9a0774…
05-15 10:03:23	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x664030…
05-15 10:03:21	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x18462c…
05-10 21:13:54	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa36b84…
05-08 06:48:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xf8fe0b…
05-08 02:34:12	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in May?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2a6f44…
05-07 09:09:53	NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5	Under 5.5	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6cbcb3…
05-07 09:07:40	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x45749f…
05-06 19:18:57	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7951c2…
05-06 13:45:44	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc31178…
05-06 13:16:40	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x9eaf10…
05-06 09:32:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4de2f7…
05-06 07:55:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x0cfbff…
04-27 11:45:02	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0x113951…
04-27 10:37:12	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xd8a542…
04-25 23:45:14	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x2a3b82…
04-23 02:16:02	Will G2 Esports qualify to MSI 2026?	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x946a61…
04-23 02:15:44	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x5c7a50…
04-20 22:25:16	Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xb4c3cb…
04-18 23:10:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x4f869d…
04-16 07:44:16	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xe00709…
04-12 13:28:07	Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x279819…
04-12 13:23:49	Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x6b3b1d…
04-12 13:19:25	Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xd31fb6…
04-10 23:33:09	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x581857…
04-10 03:21:27	fisa section 702 reauthorized before it expires	No	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xfdb7bb…
04-10 03:21:07	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xfdfb58…
04-08 19:57:35	will the columbus blue jackets make the nhl playoffs	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xf33df0…
04-08 19:04:53	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x190aef…
04-08 05:32:35	Will Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xd72def…
04-08 05:21:51	Will Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x81a335…
04-07 23:12:01	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x814b1b…
04-07 13:02:17	chi hai qin 2026 04 17 hai	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xc407f7…
04-04 03:48:01	chi hai qin 2026 04 17 hai	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x7f1a22…
04-04 00:04:45	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-03?	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x741008…
04-03 22:05:13	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xf00502…
04-03 15:39:49	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x94a9ab…
04-03 15:39:37	will voter turnout be 7174 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x107c91…
04-03 12:04:39	will voter turnout be 7174 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0xb89c86…
04-02 19:40:23	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xa34fd0…
04-02 00:37:03	Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x069203…
04-01 23:39:17	Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xa0dfef…
04-01 07:48:37	Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x927a5b…
04-01 07:48:21	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x917b12…
03-31 00:04:57	Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x73c8b2…
03-31 00:04:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x240565…
03-28 13:21:17	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x76c4bb…
03-28 13:16:43	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x5d0df7…
03-28 13:12:01	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x834032…
03-27 12:23:27	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x12dc5a…
03-27 05:06:11	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xad2542…
03-27 05:03:03	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xbdd17b…
03-27 04:01:33	Will Clavicular receive a Kick ban by June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x12c06f…
03-27 03:53:09	Will Clavicular receive a Kick ban by June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xacb0f1…
03-27 03:49:57	Will Clavicular receive a Kick ban by June 1, 2026?	No	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x180c79…
03-27 00:06:05	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x9646e7…
03-27 00:02:55	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x5772a5…
03-26 09:13:51	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x91f74f…
03-26 05:10:43	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x7c8c2e…
03-25 10:03:29	Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xce2e87…
03-25 03:43:05	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	1	42¢	$1	0x96b0f1…
03-22 19:49:51	nvda above 180 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xf460bf…
03-22 19:49:37	will seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in march	No	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x077e98…
03-20 21:41:33	will the maximum arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14pt2m 14pt4m square kilometers	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xd23643…
03-19 20:14:49	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x909878…
03-19 15:11:25	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xb61f56…
03-19 15:11:11	will sp 500 spx hit 6200 low in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xd4d814…
03-18 03:04:23	will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xd275a3…
03-18 03:04:03	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xa5dd8c…
03-17 21:19:11	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x922c99…
03-17 21:18:57	will sp 500 spx hit 7000 high in march 2026	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xb7b468…
03-13 13:08:07	nba 2025 26 southeast division winner atlanta hawks	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe2eabc…
03-13 13:08:05	nba 2025 26 3pm leader lamelo ball	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x2f29da…