Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
20
lifetime
Volume
$124
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$57
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 07-08 02:56
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
99%
Politics
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -21 $-14 84¢ $-18 $-4 06-15 22:25
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +16 $16 95¢ $15 $-0 06-20 06:06
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 91¢ $5 +$0 06-24 19:31
China coup attempt before 2027? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 +$0 07-04 14:21
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No -5 $-4 86¢ $-4 $-0 06-05 03:43
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $3 86¢ $3 $-0 07-08 02:56
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes -44 $-3 $-3 +$0 06-22 09:42
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -6 $-3 27¢ $-2 +$1 06-17 23:05
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -8 $-3 16¢ $-1 +$1 06-07 05:22
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +6 $2 14¢ $1 $-1 06-11 08:42
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -11 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-15 22:15