Muted-Snowstorm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.1%

Resolved

Trades

401

lifetime

Volume

$7.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-08 09:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% 50% $-84

Politics

47% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will gas hit high 4pt00 by march 31	19	$825	731	536	+195	open	—	03-30 16:10
will iran strike israel on march 10	9	$801	486	486	+0	open	—	03-12 23:15
will iran strike israel on march 4	4	$777	477	477	+0	open	—	03-06 17:55
will iran strike israel on march 6	24	$387	19,246	503	+18,743	open	—	03-11 01:10
trump approval up or down this week 394	6	$344	250	191	+59	open	—	03-28 09:27
will trumps approval rating be less than 39pt0 on april 3 2026	44	$310	2,770	1,120	+1,651	open	—	04-03 07:01
will trumps approval rating be between 39pt0 and 39pt4 on april 3 2026	15	$245	764	0	+764	open	—	04-02 16:02
will trumps approval rating be between 38pt5 and 38pt9 on april 10 2026	41	$240	1,326	0	+1,326	open	—	04-07 14:56
Starmer approval Up or Down in April?	10	$207	400	0	+400	open	—	04-21 17:31
will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 10 2026	57	$185	1,630	0	+1,630	open	—	04-07 09:55
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	8	$152	635	0	+635	open	—	05-02 09:21
trump approval up or down this week 857	7	$151	226	0	+226	open	—	03-17 21:22
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	2	$149	196	0	+196	open	—	04-01 09:20
trump approval up or down this week 715	7	$142	230	0	+230	open	—	04-14 18:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	2	$131	139	0	+139	open	—	03-14 11:04
will iran strike israel on march 9	3	$130	229	0	+229	open	—	03-08 03:14
will trumps approval rating be between 39pt5 and 39pt9 on april 10 2026	3	$128	200	0	+200	open	—	04-07 10:20
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	7	$127	375	0	+375	open	—	05-02 09:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	6	$113	1,038	1,038	+0	open	—	03-26 10:39
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	15	$104	368	0	+368	open	—	05-24 06:52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	9	$102	336	0	+336	No	$-102	03-23 07:41
will iran strike israel on march 8	3	$99	170	0	+170	open	—	03-07 22:07
houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	12	$99	299	210	+88	open	—	03-26 13:58
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$92	100	0	+100	open	—	03-14 10:14
will iran strike israel on march 5	2	$87	129	0	+129	open	—	03-05 03:17
trump approval up or down this week 619	5	$86	89	18	+71	open	—	03-11 01:00
will trumps approval rating be between 39pt5 and 39pt9 on april 17 2026	3	$72	130	0	+130	open	—	04-14 16:43
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	2	$71	224	0	+224	open	—	05-14 02:07
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	3	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	05-14 02:05
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$63	40	40	+0	open	—	04-06 05:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 09:17:15	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x001c3b…
06-08 09:17:09	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x72d77d…
06-08 09:11:30	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x504667…
05-25 03:35:52	Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x7b7771…
05-25 03:35:48	Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xa1ba76…
05-24 06:52:01	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x5b5828…
05-24 06:51:49	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x7d91f5…
05-24 06:51:14	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xf81098…
05-24 06:47:26	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x819328…
05-24 06:47:26	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x0a6051…
05-24 06:47:14	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xac3cf2…
05-24 06:47:09	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0xe47837…
05-24 06:46:46	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x44c7cf…
05-23 22:18:38	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0x365d1b…
05-23 21:56:38	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0x8019d4…
05-23 21:14:33	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xd2bf20…
05-23 21:11:36	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0xa96f39…
05-23 21:09:00	Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?	No	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x4b2bc5…
05-23 21:00:22	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xdfe6ea…
05-23 20:54:13	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0xc2e780…
05-23 20:52:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x7588c3…
05-23 20:52:33	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	32	30¢	$10	0x1a38ce…
05-14 02:07:37	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	160	33¢	$53	0x6be2e2…
05-14 02:06:47	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	64	29¢	$19	0x90d5d9…
05-14 02:05:54	Will gas hit (Low) $4.00 by May 31?	No	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0xb03eed…
05-14 02:05:02	Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x8b9448…
05-02 09:22:02	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	64¢	$9	0x557cc5…
05-02 09:21:22	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x413fb5…
05-02 09:20:46	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0xf0146d…
05-02 09:15:48	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xd637ff…
05-01 07:38:10	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xe3f832…
05-01 07:37:38	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x986774…
05-01 07:35:24	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xde9d16…
05-01 07:35:18	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0xaa21f5…
05-01 07:34:36	Will gas hit (Low) $4.00 by May 31?	No	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x999ffc…
05-01 07:31:38	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x317ebb…
05-01 07:28:08	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xa0b786…
05-01 07:25:54	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0xf925f3…
05-01 07:25:36	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x31b8cf…
05-01 07:24:06	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	86	33¢	$29	0x616f3d…
05-01 07:23:40	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x061709…
05-01 07:23:32	Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xc31254…
05-01 07:22:54	Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x32c33a…
05-01 07:22:40	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0x89ca01…
05-01 07:22:02	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xb4fd07…
05-01 07:21:44	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	400	24¢	$96	0x3e7ed4…
04-21 17:31:58	Starmer approval Up or Down in April?	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2463b6…
04-21 17:31:42	Starmer approval Up or Down in April?	Down	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x832ee6…
04-16 13:05:34	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	199	1¢	$2	0xe19bdf…
04-16 13:03:00	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7f5266…
04-16 13:02:34	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xa5d0f9…
04-16 13:02:22	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x98cce1…
04-16 13:02:18	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x019465…
04-16 13:02:12	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xea5231…
04-16 13:01:48	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xedb78c…
04-16 13:01:48	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0x7e620c…
04-16 13:01:48	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x654325…
04-16 13:01:48	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2f2399…
04-16 13:00:46	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x3c3ee5…
04-16 11:53:56	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xcf5856…
04-16 11:53:56	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x2d4f25…
04-16 11:50:46	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xb450db…
04-16 11:50:38	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeff604…
04-16 11:50:38	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x20286a…
04-16 11:50:10	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xba674d…
04-15 23:19:10	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x370fbf…
04-15 22:57:12	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xd89a1b…
04-15 19:57:24	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4b6319…
04-15 19:57:24	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x32ca55…
04-15 19:57:18	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xb3872a…
04-15 19:57:18	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x45c4e0…
04-15 15:03:06	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0xe3c6dd…
04-14 18:31:54	trump approval up or down this week 715	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x3462ef…
04-14 16:43:40	will trumps approval rating be between 39pt5 and 39pt9 on april 17 2026	No	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0x537116…
04-14 16:07:53	trump approval up or down this week 715	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd8246c…
04-14 16:07:13	will trumps approval rating be between 39pt5 and 39pt9 on april 17 2026	No	BUY	65	55¢	$36	0x55205f…
04-14 16:05:17	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	62	1¢	$1	0x649860…
04-14 16:04:37	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x2f4250…
04-14 16:04:11	will trumps approval rating be between 39pt5 and 39pt9 on april 17 2026	No	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x3c0246…
04-14 16:02:37	trump approval up or down this week 715	Down	BUY	88	62¢	$55	0xac350e…
04-14 12:53:41	trump approval up or down this week 715	Down	BUY	77	61¢	$47	0x8b847b…
04-14 12:08:43	trump approval up or down this week 715	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd773c8…
04-14 12:07:21	trump approval up or down this week 715	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x527c10…
04-14 12:07:05	trump approval up or down this week 715	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x0473c6…
04-07 14:56:27	will trumps approval rating be between 38pt5 and 38pt9 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x8c46e1…
04-07 10:20:33	will trumps approval rating be between 39pt5 and 39pt9 on april 10 2026	No	BUY	160	63¢	$101	0x95ca4b…
04-07 10:16:17	will trumps approval rating be between 39pt5 and 39pt9 on april 10 2026	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xca7b52…
04-07 10:07:13	will trumps approval rating be between 39pt5 and 39pt9 on april 10 2026	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x51ff8a…
04-07 09:57:33	will trumps approval rating be between 38pt5 and 38pt9 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xffd0fd…
04-07 09:57:33	will trumps approval rating be between 38pt5 and 38pt9 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0xc2750a…
04-07 09:57:33	will trumps approval rating be between 38pt5 and 38pt9 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x9f0919…
04-07 09:57:33	will trumps approval rating be between 38pt5 and 38pt9 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x8993ed…
04-07 09:57:33	will trumps approval rating be between 38pt5 and 38pt9 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x403690…
04-07 09:57:17	will trumps approval rating be between 38pt5 and 38pt9 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xda71df…
04-07 09:55:53	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0x545b65…
04-07 09:54:49	will trumps approval rating be between 38pt5 and 38pt9 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0xff3b26…
04-07 09:45:59	will trumps approval rating be between 38pt5 and 38pt9 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x585ac4…
04-07 09:44:27	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x9553b4…
04-07 09:43:39	will trumps approval rating be between 38pt5 and 38pt9 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xbdbe90…
04-07 06:06:23	will trumps approval rating be less than 38pt5 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	67	10¢	$7	0x6294e1…