Outlandish-Debt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$50

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-07 19:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up		+5	$3	99¢	$5	+$2	05-07 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down		+6	$2	1¢	$0	$-2	05-07 19:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$8	15	+15	Down	$-8	05-05 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$7	12	+12	Up	+$6	05-05 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$6	10	+10	Up	+$4	05-05 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$5	11	+11	open	—	05-07 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$5	11	+11	open	—	05-07 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-06 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	05-07 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$4	7	+7	open	—	05-07 13:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	05-07 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	05-06 15:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 19:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xfb1964…
05-07 19:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x51d355…
05-07 19:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc13ed3…
05-07 18:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$5	0xb511e9…
05-07 16:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x9352ab…
05-07 13:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x997cf7…
05-06 16:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x83a5e3…
05-06 15:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x818b4a…
05-06 15:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x22306a…
05-05 18:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x54d446…
05-05 05:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$7	0xb44719…
05-05 04:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xf279af…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	11	$1.91K	87	05-07 19:56
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	11	$689	68	05-07 19:56
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	10	$2.52K	78	05-07 19:55
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	10	$1.05K	73	05-07 19:56
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	10	$907	79	05-07 19:56
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	9	$2.05K	34	05-07 19:56
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	8	$1.14K	62	05-07 19:56
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	7	$869	32	05-07 19:56