Pastel-Vane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-15 09:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 100% +$0

Other

37% — —

Politics

9% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$109	109	+109	No	+$0	05-06 06:38
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$109	109	+109	open	—	04-28 03:26
bitcoin above 60k on april 11	1	$108	108	+108	open	—	04-10 07:45
ethereum above 2300 on april 3	1	$108	108	+108	open	—	04-03 02:50
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 140 159	1	$107	107	+107	open	—	03-28 11:18
ethereum above 1500 on february 28	1	$107	107	+107	open	—	02-28 08:35
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 190 214	1	$106	107	+107	open	—	02-08 08:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 3	1	$105	105	+105	open	—	03-03 05:52
bitcoin above 84k on january 29	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	01-29 08:39
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 0 19	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	01-20 03:36
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 280 299	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	01-13 06:22
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 200 219	1	$74	74	+74	open	—	01-04 01:58
bitcoin above 72k on march 8	1	$56	56	+56	open	—	03-08 06:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	1	$55	55	+55	Yes	+$0	05-10 09:03
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 24	1	$55	55	+55	open	—	04-24 02:56
ethereum above 2700 on april 20	1	$54	55	+55	open	—	04-19 08:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$54	54	+54	open	—	05-13 03:10
bitcoin above 66k on april 20	1	$54	54	+54	open	—	04-19 08:51
ethereum above 2100 on april 24	1	$54	54	+54	open	—	04-24 02:56
elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 240plus	1	$54	54	+54	open	—	03-23 02:24
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 520 539	1	$54	54	+54	open	—	03-14 06:56
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 240plus	1	$53	53	+53	open	—	03-14 06:55
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 520 539	1	$53	53	+53	open	—	03-23 02:24
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 8	1	$49	49	+49	open	—	03-08 06:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	1	$2	1,080	+1,080	open	—	05-15 09:43
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	01-04 01:47
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	1	$1	700	+700	open	—	03-03 05:51
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-04 01:30
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-04 01:30
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-04 01:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 09:43:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	1,080	0¢	$2	0xa12860…
05-13 03:10:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x1b8f42…
05-10 09:03:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x6c611d…
05-06 06:38:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x65b5bd…
04-28 03:26:32	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x9f4192…
04-24 02:56:26	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 24	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x9741ea…
04-24 02:56:14	ethereum above 2100 on april 24	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x073516…
04-19 08:52:12	ethereum above 2700 on april 20	No	BUY	55	100¢	$54	0x121e29…
04-19 08:51:54	bitcoin above 66k on april 20	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x8c5793…
04-10 07:45:59	bitcoin above 60k on april 11	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x518f6f…
04-03 02:50:39	ethereum above 2300 on april 3	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xab8f53…
03-28 11:18:05	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 140 159	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x070d6d…
03-23 02:24:19	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 240plus	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xd7bcd3…
03-23 02:24:05	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 520 539	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x95a722…
03-14 06:56:09	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 520 539	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x5d4708…
03-14 06:55:47	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 240plus	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x71d6bb…
03-08 06:19:13	bitcoin above 72k on march 8	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x4111f0…
03-08 06:18:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 8	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xd17f5e…
03-03 05:52:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 3	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x19fdcc…
03-03 05:51:09	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	No	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x6535c0…
02-28 08:35:53	ethereum above 1500 on february 28	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x90949f…
02-08 08:21:43	elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 190 214	No	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0x852002…
01-29 08:39:48	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xbb87bd…
01-20 03:36:06	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 0 19	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x7fef75…
01-13 06:22:29	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 280 299	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x91bdad…
01-04 01:58:51	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 200 219	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x33908e…
01-04 01:49:41	will googl reach 420 in january	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf593f0…
01-04 01:49:33	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x71f14b…
01-04 01:48:11	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf880ac…
01-04 01:47:57	nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3c4a27…
01-04 01:47:45	will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x246111…
01-04 01:46:39	will trump meet with kim jong un in january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa9006b…
01-04 01:46:23	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdfff2d…
01-04 01:45:07	will moonshot have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xec8088…
01-04 01:37:51	will baidu have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x774866…
01-04 01:37:45	will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x972599…
01-04 01:37:35	will meituan have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfb18e5…
01-04 01:31:37	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe59627…
01-04 01:31:27	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb97cba…
01-04 01:31:19	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa8ba8b…
01-04 01:31:11	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb7d98d…
01-04 01:30:59	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x58e3f1…
01-04 01:30:53	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1de583…
01-04 01:30:45	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x816d59…
01-04 01:30:27	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5403ec…
01-04 01:30:17	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xce4a7c…
01-04 01:30:11	will zai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc254c3…
01-04 01:30:03	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x347780…
01-04 01:29:57	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfe39dd…
01-04 01:29:39	will avatar fire and ash 3rd weekend box office be between 45m and 50m	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb2f918…
01-04 01:29:23	highest temperature in london on january 4 5corhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc9fb79…
01-04 01:29:15	highest temperature in london on january 4 0c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x747b48…
01-04 01:28:45	highest temperature in nyc on january 4 42 43f	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x650e67…
01-04 01:28:35	highest temperature in nyc on january 4 44forhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd59435…