Self-Reliant-Cellar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.8%

Resolved

Trades

183

lifetime

Volume

$1.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-15 00:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 78% +$49

Sports

20% 74% +$2

Other

2% 67% $-0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$107	198	198	+0	Up	+$27	05-11 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$100	714	0	+714	open	—	05-14 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$87	148	148	+0	Down	+$7	05-10 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$73	157	157	+0	Down	+$51	05-08 03:13
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	5	$65	55	55	+0	Alexander Volkov	+$5	05-10 02:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$59	44	44	+0	Down	+$28	05-11 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$48	81	71	+10	Down	+$10	05-14 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$46	46	46	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 21:26
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$41	26	26	+0	Spurs	+$1	05-07 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$39	97	0	+97	Down	$-39	05-11 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	1	$35	49	0	+49	Down	$-35	05-08 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2PM ET	6	$33	40	40	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 18:55
76ers vs. Celtics	6	$27	23	23	+0	open	—	05-03 01:58
76ers vs. Knicks	2	$27	17	17	+0	Knicks	$-1	05-07 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$23	59	59	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$22	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$22	31	31	+0	open	—	05-14 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$22	17	17	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$22	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$21	62	62	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$20	18	18	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 19:48
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5	2	$20	15	15	+0	Over	+$0	05-07 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$17	176	0	+176	open	—	05-15 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	3	$12	36	3	+33	Up	$-10	05-14 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$12	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 01:16
76ers vs. Knicks	2	$10	7	7	+0	Knicks	+$1	05-05 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	05-14 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$10	33	0	+33	Up	$-10	05-14 02:20
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	2	$9	8	6	+1	Joshua Van	$-1	05-10 02:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	4	$7	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 01:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 00:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	135	9¢	$12	0x2a3194…
05-15 00:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	41	14¢	$6	0x037bb6…
05-14 23:58:57	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x69cab7…
05-14 23:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x488a06…
05-14 23:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x325697…
05-14 22:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1ae826…
05-14 20:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x794326…
05-14 18:32:28	Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x2e6066…
05-14 17:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	31	38¢	$12	0x666e26…
05-14 17:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xcc3833…
05-14 17:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x542a87…
05-14 17:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xe9ff7e…
05-14 17:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3bfad4…
05-14 16:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0x270ecd…
05-14 16:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x964b9a…
05-14 15:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0ef0db…
05-14 15:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc11ce5…
05-14 15:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x5f2ebc…
05-14 15:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x34a13f…
05-14 15:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0x91535d…
05-14 15:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x196e87…
05-14 15:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xb0e769…
05-14 15:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8683ad…
05-14 02:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x0a84f1…
05-14 02:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	27¢	$1	0xb745cc…
05-14 02:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0ba1bd…
05-14 02:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	62	18¢	$11	0x1c7a36…
05-14 02:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x98dcb6…
05-14 01:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x7e2127…
05-14 01:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x3e73f7…
05-14 01:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x43861a…
05-14 01:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0x3917f5…
05-14 01:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x7e944e…
05-14 01:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6638c8…
05-14 01:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	71	41¢	$29	0x3b042a…
05-14 01:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xcb2063…
05-14 01:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	26¢	$9	0x64d70d…
05-14 01:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x659e06…
05-14 01:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xe605e5…
05-14 01:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa34757…
05-14 01:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xcbd44b…
05-14 01:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x91d87a…
05-14 01:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x205813…
05-14 01:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x11f5a5…
05-14 01:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbbf4a0…
05-14 01:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0xa3f26c…
05-14 01:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdaa2d1…
05-14 01:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x127f67…
05-14 01:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5bae66…
05-14 01:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	59	22¢	$13	0xcd719c…
05-14 01:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x154157…
05-14 00:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x8dc312…
05-14 00:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xefc478…
05-14 00:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x43fa1f…
05-14 00:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa11eac…
05-14 00:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xdbad46…
05-14 00:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd4eeb1…
05-14 00:35:59	Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb29a9e…
05-13 21:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	46	58¢	$26	0x91aa3c…
05-13 21:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x112ade…
05-13 19:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0xbc7183…
05-13 19:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xf34383…
05-13 19:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xbf353e…
05-13 18:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x7bc94a…
05-13 18:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x74271a…
05-13 11:53:27	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x69987c…
05-13 00:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x6268bf…
05-13 00:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8d3964…
05-12 23:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x72e1ec…
05-12 23:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x890400…
05-12 15:54:59	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x55e4c7…
05-12 15:51:47	Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	B8	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x6b2f62…
05-12 15:39:28	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd8e0f6…
05-12 15:16:54	Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	B8	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x006e3c…
05-12 14:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x510910…
05-12 14:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5362fd…
05-12 14:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x31b477…
05-12 14:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb2b861…
05-12 14:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x3f49fb…
05-12 14:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8ba15c…
05-12 05:19:37	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x97134f…
05-12 05:12:13	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5eb672…
05-11 22:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	198	34¢	$67	0x7ed6c9…
05-11 22:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	198	20¢	$40	0x3cf458…
05-11 21:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xb2a968…
05-11 20:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	44	35¢	$15	0xa10afa…
05-11 20:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	97	40¢	$39	0x4e6dc6…
05-11 19:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	18	59¢	$10	0x2a4817…
05-11 19:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb1e85d…
05-11 19:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	69¢	$12	0x968412…
05-11 19:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x28a617…
05-10 05:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xcae108…
05-10 05:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb877f1…
05-10 05:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x75e75c…
05-10 05:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc2fda3…
05-10 05:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0xc2d4b5…
05-10 05:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xcace40…
05-10 04:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	148	32¢	$47	0x1c34d2…
05-10 04:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	148	27¢	$40	0x021c1c…
05-10 04:35:43	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xcf6567…