Shameful-Flood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$61

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$1.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-30

last 09-11 12:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 18% +$101

Other

8% 20% +$20

Sports

3% 0% -$60

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes		+111	$15	8¢	$9	-$6	07-22 20:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	3	$494	475	475	+0	Yes	+$454	01-31 17:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	2	$125	194	0	+194	No	-$125	05-28 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$92	69	69	+0	Up	+$42	09-11 01:43
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$85	77	77	+0	No	+$65	02-14 05:32
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?	2	$72	62	62	+0	Yes	+$52	05-01 04:00
will bitcoin dip to 70k on march 19	3	$66	57	42	+16	Yes	+$2	03-19 05:41
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?	2	$60	56	56	+0	Yes	+$51	05-04 02:12
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	3	$50	345	0	+345	Seahawks	-$50	02-09 02:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	4	$44	71	71	+0	No	+$31	06-01 13:22
bitcoin up or down february 14 12am et	3	$44	160	100	+60	Down	+$14	02-14 05:57
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	2	$32	22	22	+0	Yes	+$12	05-28 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 23:25 UTC	2	$26	16	16	+0	Down	+$6	02-16 23:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	2	$25	208	208	+0	No	+$15	06-01 13:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?	3	$22	102	0	+102	Yes	-$22	09-11 12:05
bitcoin up or down february 8 5pm et	2	$20	375	0	+375	Up	-$20	02-08 22:48
bitcoin above 68k on february 10	2	$20	298	0	+298	Yes	-$20	02-10 16:06
bitcoin above 72k on february 15	2	$20	401	0	+401	No	-$20	02-15 01:56
bitcoin above 80k on february 2	2	$20	188	0	+188	No	-$20	02-02 16:13
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	3	$20	138	0	+138	No	-$20	03-17 03:58
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	3	$20	105	0	+105	No	-$20	03-19 12:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	4	$20	174	0	+174	No	-$20	05-29 05:22
bitcoin up or down february 14 1am et	3	$15	153	0	+153	Up	-$15	02-14 06:41
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	3	$15	111	0	+111	open	—	07-22 20:37
bitcoin up or down on february 7	6	$11	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	-$11	02-07 16:54
bitcoin up or down february 8 7pm et	6	$10	40	0	+40	Up	-$10	02-09 00:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 23:45 UTC	1	$10	125	0	+125	Up	-$10	02-07 23:58
bitcoin above 68k on february 15	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$10	02-15 16:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 22:00 UTC	1	$10	40	0	+40	Up	-$10	02-08 22:05
will the price of xrp be less than 1pt50 on january 31	17	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$10	01-31 17:31
bitcoin up or down february 16 1am et	1	$10	67	0	+67	Up	-$10	02-16 06:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 12:05:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x49b7af…
09-11 11:37:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x6283d9…
09-11 01:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	69	97¢	$67	0x39e324…
09-11 01:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x3897fe…
09-11 01:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x3ab793…
09-11 01:29:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x0e9164…
07-22 20:37:45	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x1120fe…
07-01 00:54:32	will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 30	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x612ee8…
07-01 00:50:05	bitcoin above 58k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x904f0d…
06-27 23:06:19	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 22 28 2026	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x99468d…
06-27 23:04:11	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 22 28 2026	Yes	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0x43be8c…
06-16 20:24:52	ethereum above 1900 on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	225	2¢	$5	0x912b94…
06-16 20:24:38	ethereum above 1700 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0xc5c4b0…
06-16 20:20:16	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0xbe6518…
06-16 20:20:02	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xa40b43…
06-16 20:18:56	bitcoin above 64k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0xd83809…
06-11 04:46:04	bitcoin above 62k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x074b8c…
06-11 04:39:57	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x78b395…
06-01 13:23:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	208	10¢	$20	0x4ac901…
06-01 13:22:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	61	54¢	$33	0x3bdafc…
06-01 13:21:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x291f96…
06-01 06:42:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0x1dfaa7…
06-01 06:39:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x19b9e0…
06-01 06:38:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x2c92ea…
05-29 05:22:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x2e54e7…
05-28 21:19:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xca7d2c…
05-28 16:58:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x4708ef…
05-28 04:29:21	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x8f562d…
05-28 01:13:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0xe81d89…
05-23 07:08:52	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xb7f371…
05-23 07:05:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x6fa896…
05-20 22:53:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf830c3…
05-17 05:30:09	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xf35fc2…
05-17 05:25:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x5d3658…
05-17 05:24:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xda4570…
05-17 05:24:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x9e2a75…
05-09 06:10:26	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0x11fc85…
05-09 06:08:26	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x94764e…
05-09 06:08:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb9dd06…
05-05 14:11:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x951a7e…
05-05 03:57:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xd2f25c…
05-04 14:54:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	173	3¢	$5	0x66dcbd…
05-04 02:18:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	91	5¢	$5	0x1ba7c1…
05-04 02:12:22	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x880e71…
05-03 06:41:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x96fe05…
05-03 06:40:34	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xf0c36f…
05-01 04:00:46	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x5f4d2a…
05-01 00:09:16	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x2d188a…
03-19 21:15:25	will ethereum dip to 1900 march 16 22	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x123d16…
03-19 21:14:45	will ethereum dip to 2000 march 16 22	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xde4065…
03-19 21:13:51	will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x8c13ec…
03-19 14:04:53	will ethereum dip to 1900 march 16 22	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xd7772f…
03-19 14:04:41	will ethereum dip to 2000 march 16 22	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x198b1d…
03-19 14:03:13	will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x403f5e…
03-19 12:35:29	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xeff44c…
03-19 05:41:47	will bitcoin dip to 70k on march 19	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x494684…
03-19 05:41:29	will bitcoin dip to 70k on march 19	Yes	SELL	42	63¢	$26	0x71c239…
03-19 05:32:17	will bitcoin dip to 68k on march 19	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xc9e4f8…
03-19 05:31:03	will bitcoin dip to 70k on march 19	Yes	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xebb5ba…
03-17 03:59:31	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xcd605e…
03-17 03:59:11	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x59cf5e…
03-17 03:58:25	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x3ae300…
03-15 04:30:53	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x9e76ba…
03-14 06:18:17	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x011ffc…
03-14 06:18:01	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x66619a…
03-12 00:10:37	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x548468…
03-12 00:10:19	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x826bb1…
03-05 06:47:39	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xb327b8…
02-16 23:49:55	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x403a01…
02-16 23:49:19	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x760abc…
02-16 23:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xecbdeb…
02-16 23:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 23:25 UTC	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x4ab243…
02-16 23:26:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x3ce745…
02-16 16:44:57	bitcoin above 68k on february 16	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xa6934b…
02-16 06:46:13	bitcoin up or down february 16 1am et	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xc27511…
02-15 16:22:27	bitcoin above 68k on february 15	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xfff950…
02-15 05:54:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	136	7¢	$10	0xe7a2f6…
02-15 01:56:09	bitcoin above 72k on february 15	Yes	BUY	258	4¢	$10	0x5a501a…
02-14 23:36:01	bitcoin above 72k on february 15	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x1582e6…
02-14 06:41:47	bitcoin up or down february 14 1am et	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x361cee…
02-14 06:25:17	bitcoin up or down february 14 1am et	Down	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0xf8482f…
02-14 06:25:17	bitcoin up or down february 14 1am et	Down	BUY	59	15¢	$9	0xd88956…
02-14 05:57:41	bitcoin up or down february 14 12am et	Up	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x726870…
02-14 05:53:35	bitcoin up or down february 14 12am et	Down	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0xdefce4…
02-14 05:52:01	bitcoin up or down february 14 12am et	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x403c51…
02-14 05:32:07	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	77	98¢	$75	0xd542ac…
02-13 05:03:49	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xfa280b…
02-10 16:06:15	bitcoin above 68k on february 10	No	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xd9fdf2…
02-10 06:11:49	bitcoin above 68k on february 10	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xf2ce29…
02-10 06:11:01	bitcoin above 66k on february 10	No	BUY	220	5¢	$10	0xdace8f…
02-09 16:55:57	bitcoin above 70k on february 9	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x65c96c…
02-09 06:18:29	bitcoin above 68k on february 9	No	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x45504d…
02-09 02:03:17	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x9bf68d…
02-09 01:50:35	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xa1c263…
02-09 00:56:01	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x020156…
02-09 00:22:17	bitcoin up or down february 8 7pm et	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x71c6d1…
02-09 00:22:17	bitcoin up or down february 8 7pm et	Down	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x68ce2f…
02-09 00:22:15	bitcoin up or down february 8 7pm et	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xce32a4…
02-09 00:22:15	bitcoin up or down february 8 7pm et	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xb1344b…
02-09 00:22:15	bitcoin up or down february 8 7pm et	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x5e25eb…