Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$146.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.51K

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$460.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10.2K

Open exposure

$36.6K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-23 18:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

80% 40% -$150,946

Other

20% 100% +$4,439

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No		+49,514	$39,154	74¢	$36.6K	-$2,514	10-23 18:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$91.2K	59,066	59,066	+0	Yes	+$19,113	04-05 23:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	5	$57.2K	97,038	0	+97,038	Yes	-$57,219	04-08 16:59
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$40.5K	23,549	23,549	+0	No	+$6,526	04-03 03:17
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	2	$39.2K	49,514	0	+49,514	open	—	10-23 18:15
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	3	$34.1K	81,775	0	+81,775	Yes	-$34,051	04-08 17:00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$25.0K	36,165	0	+36,165	Yes	-$25,000	04-03 23:07
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$23.5K	35,354	0	+35,354	Yes	-$23,500	04-02 09:30
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$22.8K	12,823	12,823	+0	No	+$2,810	04-01 00:54
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$20.9K	39,064	0	+39,064	Yes	-$20,875	04-02 09:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$20.2K	14,995	14,995	+0	No	+$232	04-08 16:56
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	3	$18.2K	64,500	0	+64,500	Yes	-$18,236	04-03 23:10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$15.0K	27,960	0	+27,960	No	+$12,960	04-03 03:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$10.9K	1,253,722	952,829	+300,893	Yes	-$1,655	04-08 16:56
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$10.0K	11,397	0	+11,397	No	+$1,397	03-16 03:57
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	1	$10.0K	11,194	0	+11,194	No	+$1,194	04-03 03:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$9.4K	10,612	0	+10,612	Yes	-$9,445	04-05 23:39
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	1	$5.3K	5,847	0	+5,847	No	+$581	03-20 10:18
will the us invade iran by march 31	1	$5.0K	6,015	0	+6,015	No	+$1,015	03-16 04:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$2.4K	4,357	0	+4,357	Yes	-$2,353	03-12 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 18:15:45	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	BUY	37,829	81¢	$30,766	0xf86516…
10-23 18:15:45	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	BUY	11,684	72¢	$8,389	0x42ccd9…
04-08 17:00:05	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	15,217	24¢	$3,577	0x64a634…
04-08 16:59:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	10,122	49¢	$5,000	0x0b336e…
04-08 16:56:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5,623	70¢	$3,963	0xd592f3…
04-08 16:56:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	952,829	0¢	$4,613	0xa0bcce…
04-08 16:07:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	743,172	0¢	$3,716	0x361333…
04-08 16:06:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5,623	66¢	$3,716	0xfbdebe…
04-08 16:05:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	510,550	0¢	$2,553	0x22ae99…
04-08 16:05:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3,749	68¢	$2,553	0x128d6b…
04-08 16:00:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	16,307	54¢	$8,830	0x325d23…
04-08 16:00:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	31,779	42¢	$13,389	0x135e4e…
04-05 23:39:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	10,612	89¢	$9,445	0x141a42…
04-05 23:35:37	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	24,125	41¢	$10,000	0xf07d5f…
04-05 23:34:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	29,533	100¢	$29,444	0xcacd24…
04-05 00:14:45	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	42,433	48¢	$20,474	0xd27c58…
04-03 23:10:43	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	19,063	30¢	$5,736	0x1d90af…
04-03 23:07:27	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	27,405	73¢	$20,000	0x72366d…
04-03 23:05:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	29,533	87¢	$25,737	0x83b2e2…
04-03 03:19:17	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	11,194	89¢	$10,000	0x426a7e…
04-03 03:18:59	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	8,333	60¢	$5,000	0xe429fe…
04-03 03:18:45	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	9,924	25¢	$2,500	0x151f05…
04-03 03:17:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	23,549	100¢	$23,526	0x4b046e…
04-02 09:35:39	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	1,169	58¢	$676	0x6a3529…
04-02 09:35:39	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	37,896	53¢	$20,199	0x0bc2c6…
04-02 09:32:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	48,228	62¢	$30,000	0x44c066…
04-02 09:32:23	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	8,759	57¢	$5,000	0x645682…
04-02 09:30:51	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	13,528	74¢	$10,000	0x0238c4…
04-01 14:23:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10,838	56¢	$6,069	0x123eeb…
04-01 14:23:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	23,838	84¢	$20,000	0x7165dc…
04-01 14:22:41	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	14,999	67¢	$10,000	0x384e64…
04-01 00:54:35	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	12,823	100¢	$12,810	0x2f7b41…
03-20 10:18:15	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	5,847	90¢	$5,267	0xc5f7f1…
03-19 09:09:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	13,514	74¢	$10,000	0xb0faf7…
03-16 04:01:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	14,995	67¢	$10,000	0x725e04…
03-16 04:00:15	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	6,015	83¢	$5,000	0xbaa521…
03-16 03:57:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	11,397	88¢	$10,000	0xe28a72…
03-16 03:57:19	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	35,512	28¢	$10,000	0x0a3d3a…
03-16 03:56:59	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	19,627	51¢	$10,000	0x3e67f9…
03-16 03:39:15	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	6,827	51¢	$3,500	0xf8a1e6…
03-16 03:38:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	14,992	67¢	$10,000	0xfcf0fa…
03-15 05:58:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	3,279	61¢	$2,000	0xb962e9…
03-12 13:59:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	4,357	54¢	$2,353	0xe4ceae…
03-12 13:58:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	6,757	74¢	$5,000	0x3f1fde…
03-02 05:42:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	12,823	78¢	$10,000	0x7fc9c6…