Muffled-Woolens — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$13.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-15 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 51% $-344

Other

42% 50% +$360

Politics

7% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2	$1.7K	1,248	1,248	+0	open	—	05-28 13:55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landaluce	5	$1.7K	1,120	1,120	+0	Martin Landaluce	+$560	05-12 19:25
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	2	$953	667	667	+0	open	—	05-29 19:04
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$671	937	0	+937	open	—	05-15 07:09
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	2	$521	758	758	+0	open	—	05-29 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	4	$373	283	283	+0	Up	+$73	05-06 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	5	$350	728	0	+728	open	—	05-14 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$299	202	202	+0	open	—	05-14 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	3	$297	207	207	+0	Up	+$37	05-13 16:11
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$294	477	477	+0	open	—	05-13 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$286	612	0	+612	Down	$-286	05-06 14:00
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$284	387	387	+0	open	—	05-15 06:53
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	1	$219	521	0	+521	open	—	06-15 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	5	$211	290	290	+0	Down	$-89	05-12 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$207	163	163	+0	Up	+$7	05-13 15:31
Oeiras 4: Lautaro Midon vs Benjamin Hassan	1	$200	317	0	+317	Benjamin Hassan	$-200	05-13 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$200	381	0	+381	open	—	05-29 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$200	407	0	+407	open	—	05-14 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$190	369	0	+369	open	—	05-14 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$190	355	0	+355	open	—	05-14 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$182	225	225	+0	Up	+$82	05-05 15:04
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorer	2	$170	97	97	+0	open	—	05-14 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$164	131	131	+0	Down	+$65	05-05 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$162	132	132	+0	open	—	05-14 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$162	147	147	+0	open	—	05-29 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$144	9,526	0	+9,526	Down	$-144	05-05 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$141	305	0	+305	Down	$-141	05-06 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$125	218	0	+218	open	—	05-29 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$119	148	148	+0	Down	+$39	05-05 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$110	83	83	+0	Down	+$10	05-06 10:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 17:18:07	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	521	42¢	$219	0x08c5d8…
05-29 20:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0xb8a799…
05-29 20:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xc4e1fc…
05-29 19:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xa668d6…
05-29 19:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xb67a1b…
05-29 19:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x0c4064…
05-29 19:04:45	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	SELL	667	100¢	$666	0xa47a19…
05-29 16:50:54	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	667	43¢	$287	0x6b4111…
05-29 14:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x3a57c8…
05-29 14:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xbaf3ea…
05-29 14:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xd46524…
05-29 14:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x1fd14c…
05-29 14:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xd6b5cb…
05-29 14:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xf102e4…
05-29 13:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xbed663…
05-29 13:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xaf95e6…
05-29 13:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	147	93¢	$137	0x6b0454…
05-29 13:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xd381cc…
05-29 11:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xaed69b…
05-29 11:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	219	11¢	$25	0x048faf…
05-29 10:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc62635…
05-29 10:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2a7053…
05-29 10:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8102d7…
05-29 10:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xbe4d13…
05-29 10:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x870cb8…
05-29 09:54:09	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	758	32¢	$240	0x082f94…
05-28 14:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x4854ca…
05-28 14:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x75b522…
05-28 14:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	49	52¢	$25	0xca8690…
05-28 14:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x1487f8…
05-28 14:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xafba8f…
05-28 13:55:29	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	SELL	1,248	100¢	$1,247	0x94ed1c…
05-28 12:34:59	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	1,248	35¢	$435	0x9977c4…
05-28 11:37:40	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	758	37¢	$281	0xc3924a…
05-25 12:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	64	14¢	$9	0x1d6538…
05-25 12:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd319c0…
05-25 12:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc1f4ef…
05-25 12:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5836b5…
05-25 11:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x8676a7…
05-25 11:06:10	Will Cristhian Mosquera be included in Spain's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x24ab8d…
05-25 10:40:05	Will Cristhian Mosquera be included in Spain's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xad7016…
05-15 07:09:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	705	72¢	$508	0xf865d7…
05-15 07:05:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	71	73¢	$52	0x88216b…
05-15 06:54:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	161	69¢	$112	0xe62212…
05-15 06:53:42	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	387	30¢	$116	0xd4252a…
05-15 06:45:08	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	103	53¢	$55	0xc07365…
05-15 06:42:57	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	226	48¢	$110	0x393acf…
05-15 06:06:55	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0x472231…
05-14 23:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	167	54¢	$90	0x6e5589…
05-14 23:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x63807a…
05-14 23:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	202	99¢	$199	0x029ad3…
05-14 23:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	202	50¢	$100	0xc45a66…
05-14 22:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	173	52¢	$90	0xf43ce7…
05-14 22:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xa001ec…
05-14 22:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	183	49¢	$90	0x3c4108…
05-14 22:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x54805f…
05-14 22:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0x14c586…
05-14 22:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0xebe579…
05-14 22:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	80	31¢	$25	0xed4b96…
05-14 22:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x7d2095…
05-14 22:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x6ec28d…
05-14 21:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xe89d7f…
05-14 21:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x8bf3dc…
05-14 21:33:11	Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorer	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x002f74…
05-14 20:34:56	Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	97	75¢	$73	0xfbb83b…
05-14 16:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4b717f…
05-14 16:13:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x4b8b84…
05-14 15:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	211	47¢	$100	0x87daa1…
05-14 15:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xba5b41…
05-14 15:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0xa1f051…
05-14 15:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x2a969a…
05-14 15:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x60a838…
05-14 15:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xfadd0b…
05-14 15:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x0e19a0…
05-14 15:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	132	85¢	$112	0xe653d5…
05-14 15:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xdb98c6…
05-14 15:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x987b12…
05-13 19:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	296	34¢	$100	0xa26642…
05-13 19:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x250723…
05-13 18:08:34	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	477	26¢	$124	0xc47794…
05-13 16:13:12	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	477	36¢	$170	0xbe9a06…
05-13 16:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	207	81¢	$167	0x2c24b1…
05-13 16:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x5bad2b…
05-13 16:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x252263…
05-13 16:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	144	55¢	$79	0x23a276…
05-13 15:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xaf0564…
05-13 15:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	41	87¢	$36	0xb2a084…
05-13 15:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xdaea7d…
05-13 15:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	163	66¢	$107	0xc5f6e6…
05-13 15:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	163	62¢	$100	0xf4bee0…
05-13 15:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	103	49¢	$50	0x155ee4…
05-13 15:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	66	63¢	$41	0x0e633f…
05-13 15:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xd16aa1…
05-13 15:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x6d175e…
05-13 13:33:01	Oeiras 4: Lautaro Midon vs Benjamin Hassan	Lautaro Midon	BUY	317	63¢	$200	0xa5cdf1…
05-12 19:25:17	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	SELL	1,120	100¢	$1,119	0x424cd2…
05-12 11:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	142	48¢	$68	0x585279…
05-12 11:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	237	6¢	$13	0xa8b98c…
05-12 11:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	53	90¢	$48	0x33cd01…
05-12 11:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x20dbdb…