Flippant-Bookmark-Astrologer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.7%

Resolved

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$462

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-03 06:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

60% 100% +$0

Other

33% 0% $-0

Sports

4% 100% +$0

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	6	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	04-22 09:32
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	6	$24	190	130	+60	open	—	04-21 00:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	05-17 07:33
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	8	$21	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	04-27 10:20
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	4	$21	72	34	+39	open	—	05-29 17:25
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$21	69	69	+0	open	—	05-24 03:31
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	8	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	04-27 18:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	04-22 09:32
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	3	$11	16	29	-13	open	—	05-31 06:27
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	04-20 20:29
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	2	$9	58	0	+58	open	—	05-29 17:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$9	13	13	+0	open	—	05-24 06:03
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	2	$9	13	13	+0	open	—	04-15 16:54
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	2	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	05-31 00:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-25 16:15
will argentinas monthly inflation in march 2026 be between 3pt1 and 3pt3	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-14 19:33
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 09:32
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-22 09:32
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 18:39
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-18 15:13
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 11:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 18:55
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-13 20:41
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by April 30?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 18:54
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	2	$6	22	22	+0	open	—	05-23 15:08
will united left bsp win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	3	$6	5	5	-0	open	—	04-15 18:53
cz binance of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 0 19	2	$5	30	0	+30	open	—	04-08 05:59
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	1	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	05-28 17:32
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	1	$5	21	0	+21	open	—	05-28 19:44
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	1	$5	36	0	+36	open	—	05-31 13:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 06:35:34	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x3dbe0c…
06-01 00:07:22	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xb8e0d0…
05-31 13:39:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x1b18c8…
05-31 11:31:46	Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x8f326c…
05-31 06:28:12	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0xe22b55…
05-31 06:27:51	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0xe055f0…
05-31 05:53:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x258c51…
05-31 05:05:10	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x175a5a…
05-31 05:04:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0xe83736…
05-31 00:58:42	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	12	37¢	$5	0x77599b…
05-29 19:30:18	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x087bea…
05-29 17:27:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	21	21¢	$4	0xe2a1ad…
05-29 17:25:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	39	12¢	$5	0x41375f…
05-28 21:56:42	Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x3be4e8…
05-28 19:44:52	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x74c7c2…
05-28 17:38:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0xf98b01…
05-28 17:32:34	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc5da10…
05-28 07:20:43	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc71ab7…
05-28 07:02:46	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0x248d46…
05-24 21:47:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	No	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0xa9ff3f…
05-24 06:03:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0x0a9050…
05-24 03:31:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	36	9¢	$3	0xd00801…
05-24 03:29:01	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	36	10¢	$4	0x76c19d…
05-24 01:24:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x5bfaf9…
05-23 21:21:45	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	34	27¢	$9	0x872fa5…
05-23 21:19:39	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0xda1d37…
05-23 15:08:16	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	16¢	$4	0x292a26…
05-23 12:54:20	Will Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0xf65c97…
05-23 12:50:22	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0xef1b8b…
05-23 10:48:45	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xf8f9b3…
05-23 08:27:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0x343bdf…
05-23 08:27:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0x569ea5…
05-22 16:14:03	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	33	21¢	$7	0x010f32…
05-22 13:32:27	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0x8b417d…
05-22 09:12:46	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0xef9935…
05-22 09:12:46	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x9d61f8…
05-22 00:40:38	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0x2db804…
05-21 23:18:35	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xbf7539…
05-17 19:36:55	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x96a695…
05-17 19:36:51	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd69dff…
05-17 08:42:16	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x291e0c…
05-17 07:33:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x241c64…
05-11 12:32:32	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x861d55…
05-10 18:53:03	Will Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x010ecd…
05-10 01:42:21	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xfe7561…
05-09 20:12:48	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x6834bb…
05-09 19:25:42	UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbaeb5b…
05-09 19:21:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x11a0c0…
05-09 17:02:19	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2318ad…
05-09 16:58:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x509f61…
04-30 12:49:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x636c18…
04-27 18:35:46	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x8ebad6…
04-27 18:35:36	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x89110c…
04-27 18:35:18	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xc746e8…
04-27 12:46:18	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x82ef01…
04-27 10:20:34	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x95c9e3…
04-27 08:42:12	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4006c1…
04-27 06:45:10	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xd7fd21…
04-27 02:32:28	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1d74dd…
04-26 22:28:00	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x3908e2…
04-25 20:25:10	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8aa86f…
04-25 18:38:10	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x8cb699…
04-25 18:14:08	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x05390e…
04-25 18:13:50	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7f0871…
04-25 16:15:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x467b5a…
04-25 16:14:42	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x74681d…
04-25 16:14:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xf8ccbe…
04-25 16:14:20	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x3b7be9…
04-25 16:14:12	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	No	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x098e58…
04-25 16:14:02	Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x63028f…
04-25 16:13:52	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xf96781…
04-25 14:03:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb1007a…
04-25 05:55:40	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd7b59c…
04-25 01:53:04	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4fbd24…
04-24 23:51:12	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x83a857…
04-24 19:48:16	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x0f0e0e…
04-24 15:37:10	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x194b7a…
04-24 15:36:54	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0e8b8e…
04-24 15:23:46	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xb3e1a9…
04-24 15:23:36	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x5ba4c4…
04-24 13:35:08	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0b3ba3…
04-24 13:34:42	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x411596…
04-24 13:16:38	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x62f70d…
04-24 11:05:26	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xb21144…
04-24 11:05:14	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0xcded6e…
04-24 11:05:02	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x5331ef…
04-24 11:04:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xc431ae…
04-24 11:04:26	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0xccaf68…
04-24 11:04:14	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xa5ae8e…
04-24 10:22:08	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0e0ef9…
04-24 10:22:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xef0a5b…
04-23 13:27:54	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x160adb…
04-23 00:15:14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xb82109…
04-22 18:10:50	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdbbb54…
04-22 14:08:02	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x643bea…
04-22 10:05:08	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x31eb42…
04-22 10:04:56	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x975bb2…
04-22 10:04:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0e033a…
04-22 09:32:40	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xd4ef38…
04-22 09:32:30	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xa58170…