Exemplary-Popcorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-19 12:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

71% 100% +$3

Politics

17% 100% +$1

Crypto

11% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	1	$139	139	+139	No	+$0	04-21 02:33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 27?	1	$138	138	+138	Yes	+$0	04-26 07:04
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 140 159	1	$138	138	+138	No	+$0	04-09 08:07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 1?	1	$138	138	+138	Yes	+$0	05-31 09:25
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$138	138	+138	No	+$0	05-05 12:25
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 80 99	1	$138	139	+139	No	+$1	04-15 09:57
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	1	$135	135	+135	Yes	+$0	03-11 09:58
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 60 79	1	$135	135	+135	No	+$0	03-06 09:26
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	1	$135	135	+135	No	+$0	03-24 07:48
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 120 139	1	$135	135	+135	No	+$0	03-19 06:41
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 140 159	1	$135	135	+135	No	+$0	01-07 02:36
will the us next strike iran on february 13 2026 et	1	$133	133	+133	No	+$0	02-14 06:36
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 400 419	1	$133	133	+133	No	+$0	02-10 01:31
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 180 199	1	$133	133	+133	No	+$0	02-02 11:10
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 220 239	1	$117	117	+117	No	+$0	01-30 03:02
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 140 159	1	$117	117	+117	No	+$0	01-25 08:59
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	1	$117	117	+117	No	+$0	01-21 07:19
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 0 39	1	$115	116	+116	No	+$0	01-15 08:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	08-29 08:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	09-10 08:31
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	07-23 06:48
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	10-19 12:42
Florence: Franco Agamenone vs Max Houkes	1	$2	3	+3	Max Houkes	+$1	10-19 12:37
will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	01-15 08:16
si hit 25 low jan 2026 271 644 727	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	01-15 08:17
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	01-15 08:17
will israel strike lebanon on january 13 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	01-15 08:17
will googl reach 420 in january	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	01-15 08:17
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	01-15 08:15
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	01-15 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 12:42:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x96230e…
10-19 12:37:00	Florence: Franco Agamenone vs Max Houkes	Max Houkes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xb4aa95…
09-10 08:31:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x748d29…
08-29 08:27:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf5f86d…
07-23 06:48:39	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8887d5…
05-31 09:25:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x7edc50…
05-05 12:25:06	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x9ac728…
04-26 07:04:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0xb46c99…
04-21 02:33:22	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x41038e…
04-15 09:57:28	donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 80 99	No	BUY	139	100¢	$138	0x9510d7…
04-09 08:07:17	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 140 159	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0xd58cd1…
03-24 07:48:23	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x92be50…
03-19 06:41:47	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 120 139	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xadc9a1…
03-11 09:58:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x8962ff…
03-06 09:26:51	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x47e7af…
03-06 09:26:43	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 60 79	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x0f38da…
02-14 06:36:47	will the us next strike iran on february 13 2026 et	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xf10fb6…
02-10 01:31:21	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 400 419	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xd126e7…
02-02 11:10:00	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 180 199	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xac77d9…
01-30 03:02:54	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 220 239	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x2eed64…
01-25 08:59:00	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 140 159	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x601841…
01-21 07:19:56	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x6ac622…
01-15 08:30:58	elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 0 39	No	BUY	116	100¢	$115	0x9475af…
01-15 08:17:50	will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdc7bd5…
01-15 08:17:46	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa6570b…
01-15 08:17:34	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe66343…
01-15 08:17:20	will israel strike lebanon on january 13 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x47d823…
01-15 08:17:12	si hit 25 low jan 2026 271 644 727	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x484719…
01-15 08:17:02	will googl reach 420 in january	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x93092f…
01-15 08:16:54	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3d1f48…
01-15 08:16:34	will mistral have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9dc2e1…
01-15 08:16:28	will meituan have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdf0e0d…
01-15 08:16:22	will moonshot have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x22d8e1…
01-15 08:16:18	will zai have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbe80ce…
01-15 08:16:12	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb3bafe…
01-15 08:16:04	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xab66b2…
01-15 08:15:58	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x60d832…
01-15 08:15:52	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xecf66e…
01-15 08:15:46	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xffeb94…
01-07 02:36:09	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 140 159	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xdc8592…