Babyish-Yawl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$342

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$17.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$249

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-12 01:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

39% 64% -$48

Politics

22% 46% -$286

Crypto

19% 60% -$14

Sports

18% 60% -$7

Tech

1% 50% +$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$3.2K	1,610	1,610	+0	No	+$6	04-02 12:04
will tyrrell hatton win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$3.2K	1,617	1,617	+0	No	-$9	04-11 01:42
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.2K	1,608	1,608	+0	No	+$2	04-15 07:55
will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$3.2K	1,586	1,586	+0	No	+$0	04-08 05:37
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$3.2K	1,582	1,582	+0	No	+$5	04-01 06:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	2	$256	301	0	+301	Yes	-$256	06-12 01:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$203	260	30	+229	No	+$44	05-27 13:18
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	2	$200	143	143	+0	open	—	05-27 13:18
Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	2	$110	57	57	+0	Yes	+$3	04-29 08:23
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	03-04 01:12
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$60	47	47	+0	No	-$18	02-04 07:05
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$56	30	30	+0	Yes	-$1	01-08 07:03
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$45	24	24	+0	Yes	+$3	05-15 05:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	05-27 13:18
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	05-05 02:13
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$35	19	19	+0	Yes	+$3	01-10 06:12
will hikaru nakamura win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$1	04-08 05:37
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$32	22	22	+0	Yes	-$6	04-29 08:22
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$31	33	0	+33	Yes	+$2	01-24 01:58
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$29	20	20	+0	No	-$3	04-01 06:57
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$28	28	28	+0	Yes	-$12	04-01 06:57
over 30m committed to the ranger public sale 951	1	$28	29	0	+29	Yes	+$1	01-10 06:13
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	1	$27	0	27	-27	Yes	$0	06-12 01:13
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	1	$26	28	0	+28	Yes	+$2	01-28 09:40
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	2	$25	26	26	+0	No	-$21	05-27 13:18
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	1	$25	36	0	+36	No	-$25	05-05 02:13
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$22	15	15	+0	Yes	-$3	04-15 07:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$22	26	0	+26	No	+$4	05-15 05:11
lighter market cap fdv 1b one day after launch	1	$22	0	22	-22	Yes	$0	01-02 02:25
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	03-23 02:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 01:14:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	32	84¢	$27	0xcab127…
06-12 01:13:12	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x45fa54…
06-02 02:54:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	269	85¢	$229	0x8df270…
05-27 13:18:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	229	77¢	$176	0xf2fc0c…
05-27 13:18:29	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	143	70¢	$100	0xd8e6ff…
05-27 13:18:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xf4e3df…
05-27 13:18:11	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	8¢	$2	0x6c52be…
05-21 02:56:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xa4c211…
05-21 02:55:52	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xcc391b…
05-21 02:55:36	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x7b45a9…
05-21 02:55:24	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xef93c4…
05-15 05:11:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0xce5ed8…
05-15 05:10:22	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0xbc3876…
05-15 05:08:39	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x88e9bb…
05-15 05:07:46	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x432672…
05-05 02:13:24	Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x13da47…
05-05 02:13:00	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$19	0x11ed97…
04-29 08:25:16	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x28acdb…
04-29 08:25:14	Will Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xde4c56…
04-29 08:24:04	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x38602b…
04-29 08:23:48	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb5a4ac…
04-29 08:23:28	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	17¢	$19	0x6ce244…
04-29 08:23:02	Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x6b837c…
04-29 08:22:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0x370992…
04-29 08:22:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0x6bafeb…
04-21 07:19:02	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	22	83¢	$19	0xe3d8e9…
04-15 07:57:58	Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	94¢	$53	0xdcf0d6…
04-15 07:57:26	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x8db9e5…
04-15 07:55:58	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0xf1f27b…
04-15 07:55:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	59¢	$18	0xb49d3a…
04-15 07:55:26	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xda669a…
04-15 07:55:12	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,608	100¢	$1,602	0xcf0849…
04-11 01:43:35	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0xa2f904…
04-11 01:43:11	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,608	100¢	$1,600	0x5d8712…
04-11 01:42:41	will tyrrell hatton win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	1,617	99¢	$1,598	0x87d6da…
04-08 05:38:39	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x11a664…
04-08 05:38:13	will tyrrell hatton win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1,617	99¢	$1,607	0x599f52…
04-08 05:37:31	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	1,586	100¢	$1,580	0x99d961…
04-08 05:37:21	will hikaru nakamura win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x3884df…
04-02 12:05:59	will hikaru nakamura win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xa4f2c6…
04-02 12:05:25	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1,586	100¢	$1,580	0x75e6d8…
04-02 12:04:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	1,610	100¢	$1,608	0xceec60…
04-01 06:58:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1,610	100¢	$1,602	0x3cd6d7…
04-01 06:57:55	Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x76036b…
04-01 06:57:49	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	28	30¢	$8	0xcda8e4…
04-01 06:57:41	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	1,582	100¢	$1,581	0xbc3bf7…
03-25 11:45:21	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x252ec2…
03-25 11:45:01	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,582	100¢	$1,576	0x14cefe…
03-23 02:02:33	Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x10a181…
03-23 02:02:13	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xb15f3f…
03-13 02:51:43	highest temperature in shanghai on march 13 2026 12c	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x03f8d4…
03-13 02:51:25	highest temperature in seoul on march 13 2026 9c	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x84d79e…
03-04 01:12:47	highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 38 39f	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x460b47…
03-04 01:12:23	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x78b0b7…
03-02 02:45:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x681d5f…
02-19 05:56:12	will player 167 win beast games season 2 763	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xbcfdfd…
02-13 06:18:11	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x50e056…
02-04 07:06:50	will ja morant be traded this season	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x195ede…
02-04 07:06:10	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9ef7d9…
02-04 07:05:54	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	47	44¢	$21	0xbfad9b…
01-28 09:40:15	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0xfde3e3…
01-24 01:58:48	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0x55ed1f…
01-17 01:18:02	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0x4e6cf5…
01-10 06:13:18	over 30m committed to the ranger public sale 951	Yes	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x5cc494…
01-10 06:12:36	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xe5c4e9…
01-08 07:03:17	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	22	87¢	$19	0x9c87be…
01-08 07:03:11	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0x0e3784…
01-08 07:03:05	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x4a0e99…
01-07 11:29:41	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	BUY	19	82¢	$16	0x7cd67b…
01-02 02:25:37	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x0b20f2…
01-02 02:25:11	lighter market cap fdv 1b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xc4b6cd…