Sturdy-Credit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.2%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$230

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 07-23 23:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 17% $-4

Other

18% — —

Politics

13% 0% $-11

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$14	562	253	+308	open	—	05-27 17:42
btc updown 5m 1784319900	3	$13	116	16	+100	open	—	07-17 20:30
btc updown 5m 1784315400	3	$12	110	10	+100	open	—	07-17 19:15
btc updown 5m 1784315100	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	07-17 19:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	3	$11	214	0	+214	No	$-11	05-06 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	5	$10	10	9	+0	open	—	04-27 22:35
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	07-19 20:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$7	146	0	+146	open	—	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$6	7	5	+2	open	—	04-27 23:08
btc updown 5m 1783234800	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	07-05 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$5	163	0	+163	open	—	05-15 02:12
btc updown 5m 1783105200	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	07-03 19:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	62	0	+62	open	—	05-01 01:14
btc updown 5m 1784849400	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	07-23 23:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	45	0	+45	open	—	05-05 00:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	05-01 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$5	4	3	+0	open	—	04-28 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 02:53
btc updown 5m 1783191300	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	07-04 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$3	4	1	+2	open	—	04-27 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$3	5	4	+1	open	—	05-02 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$3	9	2	+7	open	—	05-02 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 21:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2	450	0	+450	open	—	04-28 18:31
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	1	$2	101	0	+101	open	—	04-28 22:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 23:33:24	btc updown 5m 1784849400	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xfe8215…
07-19 20:36:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x97dd69…
07-17 20:30:06	btc updown 5m 1784319900	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x88add9…
07-17 20:28:40	btc updown 5m 1784319900	Up	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0x0a0088…
07-17 20:27:16	btc updown 5m 1784319900	Up	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xc80ced…
07-17 19:15:01	btc updown 5m 1784315400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2be991…
07-17 19:11:42	btc updown 5m 1784315400	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xe92399…
07-17 19:10:22	btc updown 5m 1784315400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9965cb…
07-17 19:06:54	btc updown 5m 1784315100	Down	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x80f1dd…
07-17 19:06:18	btc updown 5m 1784315100	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x7402a0…
07-11 23:00:19	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2f3a31…
07-11 23:00:08	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xe38364…
07-08 13:14:28	btc updown 5m 1783516200	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x793536…
07-06 21:02:20	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x911bba…
07-06 03:23:17	btc updown 5m 1783308000	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x65aecb…
07-06 03:22:41	btc updown 5m 1783308000	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcf4ff1…
07-06 03:19:58	btc updown 5m 1783307700	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd68ea9…
07-06 03:14:29	btc updown 5m 1783307400	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa0f6ed…
07-06 02:54:59	btc updown 5m 1783306200	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf375e5…
07-05 15:47:40	btc updown 5m 1783266300	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xcf18ba…
07-05 15:34:35	btc updown 5m 1783265400	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x70cde0…
07-05 15:33:37	btc updown 5m 1783265400	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xae9c89…
07-05 07:44:32	btc updown 5m 1783237200	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfcc73c…
07-05 07:38:58	btc updown 5m 1783236900	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1aee90…
07-05 07:33:25	btc updown 5m 1783236600	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0a59a0…
07-05 07:24:28	btc updown 5m 1783236000	Down	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xd5829e…
07-05 07:22:40	btc updown 5m 1783236000	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xff06d0…
07-05 07:15:02	btc updown 5m 1783235400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfa4a8e…
07-05 07:10:05	btc updown 5m 1783235100	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd8be0e…
07-05 07:04:29	btc updown 5m 1783234800	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x658c4a…
07-05 07:02:38	btc updown 5m 1783234800	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0f258f…
07-05 04:03:17	btc updown 5m 1783224000	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x38f606…
07-05 03:46:26	btc updown 5m 1783223100	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x973efd…
07-04 19:01:38	btc updown 5m 1783191600	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x298db8…
07-04 19:00:22	btc updown 5m 1783191300	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd000fd…
07-04 18:59:07	btc updown 5m 1783191300	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x30b0f6…
07-04 18:54:46	btc updown 5m 1783191000	Down	BUY	234	0¢	$1	0x1d434b…
07-04 00:06:07	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals julian alvarez gte1	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x9da4b7…
07-03 19:04:34	btc updown 5m 1783105200	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xbf185d…
06-27 17:13:14	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27	Brunno Ferreira	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x20d5f8…
06-13 18:31:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x5ead91…
05-27 17:42:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	308	1¢	$2	0x1c450f…
05-27 17:41:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	253	0¢	$1	0xe0ea66…
05-27 17:40:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x7edd9d…
05-23 21:28:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xb9850c…
05-15 02:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	163	3¢	$5	0xb7b092…
05-14 18:09:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x86eaac…
05-12 23:59:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x421033…
05-09 02:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf75c2f…
05-09 02:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb124ec…
05-06 12:46:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x65f38b…
05-05 03:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x81c6ab…
05-05 03:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x820a21…
05-05 03:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa73ac0…
05-05 02:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xf42415…
05-05 02:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xe99e16…
05-05 02:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc61c7f…
05-05 02:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xa69703…
05-05 02:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb99d8a…
05-05 02:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x2a2051…
05-05 02:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8ba612…
05-05 02:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3494c7…
05-05 00:00:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	4¢	$5	0x708896…
05-05 00:00:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb1d853…
05-04 23:59:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0xa06366…
05-02 20:42:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x8caeae…
05-02 06:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xdd5af0…
05-02 06:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb887ea…
05-02 05:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x634603…
05-02 05:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x5e50ea…
05-02 05:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7102dd…
05-02 05:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x523e10…
05-02 05:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x1f344f…
05-02 05:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe850a8…
05-02 00:43:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	484	0¢	$1	0xc0fa5b…
05-02 00:39:08	Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9adea1…
05-01 01:17:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x7c521d…
05-01 01:15:42	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb22440…
05-01 01:14:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xf1d277…
05-01 01:12:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf76b18…
04-29 04:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xfcea43…
04-29 04:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf01c98…
04-29 04:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xb6aefe…
04-29 04:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa9bfd7…
04-28 22:27:00	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x8db0e3…
04-28 22:25:12	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0x359b2f…
04-28 18:31:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x83f2d8…
04-28 03:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x05d716…
04-28 03:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x06346d…
04-28 03:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2970ff…
04-28 03:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x7c72e6…
04-28 03:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6f92fc…
04-28 03:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x9f0372…
04-28 03:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x93c140…
04-28 03:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3921c1…
04-28 03:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe89068…
04-28 02:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0e127c…
04-28 02:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd836f6…
04-28 02:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x01bfca…
04-28 02:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x5361d8…