Sturdy-Credit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$141

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-27 17:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 17% $-4

Politics

22% 0% $-11

Other

20% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$14	562	253	+308	open	—	05-27 17:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	3	$11	214	0	+214	No	$-11	05-06 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	5	$10	10	9	+0	open	—	04-27 22:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$7	146	0	+146	open	—	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	3	$6	7	5	+2	open	—	04-27 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	1	$5	163	0	+163	open	—	05-15 02:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	62	0	+62	open	—	05-01 01:14
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	45	0	+45	open	—	05-05 00:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	05-01 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$5	4	3	+0	open	—	04-28 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$3	4	1	+2	open	—	04-27 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$3	5	4	+1	open	—	05-02 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$3	9	2	+7	open	—	05-02 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 21:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2	450	0	+450	open	—	04-28 18:31
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	1	$2	101	0	+101	open	—	04-28 22:25
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	1	$2	12	0	+12	open	—	04-28 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$2	13	0	+13	Down	$-2	05-09 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-27 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$2	24	0	+24	open	—	04-28 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 04:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	3	$2	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$1	8	4	+4	Down	$-1	05-05 03:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 17:13:14	ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27	Brunno Ferreira	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x20d5f8…
06-13 18:31:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x5ead91…
05-27 17:42:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	308	1¢	$2	0x1c450f…
05-27 17:41:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	253	0¢	$1	0xe0ea66…
05-27 17:40:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x7edd9d…
05-23 21:28:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xb9850c…
05-15 02:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	163	3¢	$5	0xb7b092…
05-14 18:09:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x86eaac…
05-12 23:59:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x421033…
05-09 02:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf75c2f…
05-09 02:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb124ec…
05-06 12:46:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x65f38b…
05-05 03:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x81c6ab…
05-05 03:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x820a21…
05-05 03:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa73ac0…
05-05 02:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xf42415…
05-05 02:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xe99e16…
05-05 02:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc61c7f…
05-05 02:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xa69703…
05-05 02:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb99d8a…
05-05 02:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x2a2051…
05-05 02:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8ba612…
05-05 02:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3494c7…
05-05 00:00:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	4¢	$5	0x708896…
05-05 00:00:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb1d853…
05-04 23:59:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0xa06366…
05-02 20:42:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x8caeae…
05-02 06:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xdd5af0…
05-02 06:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb887ea…
05-02 05:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x634603…
05-02 05:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x5e50ea…
05-02 05:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7102dd…
05-02 05:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x523e10…
05-02 05:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x1f344f…
05-02 05:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe850a8…
05-02 00:43:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	484	0¢	$1	0xc0fa5b…
05-02 00:39:08	Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9adea1…
05-01 01:17:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x7c521d…
05-01 01:15:42	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb22440…
05-01 01:14:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xf1d277…
05-01 01:12:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf76b18…
04-29 04:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xfcea43…
04-29 04:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf01c98…
04-29 04:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xb6aefe…
04-29 04:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa9bfd7…
04-28 22:27:00	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x8db0e3…
04-28 22:25:12	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0x359b2f…
04-28 18:31:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x83f2d8…
04-28 03:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x05d716…
04-28 03:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x06346d…
04-28 03:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2970ff…
04-28 03:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x7c72e6…
04-28 03:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6f92fc…
04-28 03:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x9f0372…
04-28 03:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x93c140…
04-28 03:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3921c1…
04-28 03:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe89068…
04-28 02:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0e127c…
04-28 02:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd836f6…
04-28 02:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x01bfca…
04-28 02:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x5361d8…
04-28 02:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x87988f…
04-28 02:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcc7b24…
04-27 23:26:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x803c12…
04-27 23:17:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xe686bc…
04-27 23:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x58a536…
04-27 23:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xd2f433…
04-27 23:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x093579…
04-27 23:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0dc434…
04-27 22:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x611b9a…
04-27 22:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x87c4c3…
04-27 22:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf23285…
04-27 22:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x71da1d…
04-27 22:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x97ece8…
04-27 22:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x89f878…
04-27 22:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x01f967…
04-27 22:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x81e18a…
04-27 22:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5504f9…
04-27 22:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xd31dfc…
04-27 22:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x45e0bb…
04-27 22:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x3694c4…
04-27 22:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8ff1ff…
04-27 22:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x8d9e0b…
04-27 21:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x15e44b…
04-27 21:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x09c539…
04-27 21:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x45e1a3…
04-27 21:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x582fac…
04-27 21:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xdd7626…
04-27 21:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x66d7a0…
04-27 21:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x044983…
04-27 21:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe2d362…