Watery-World — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$786

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 04-27 23:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

75% 0% $-30

Politics

15% — —

Sports

10% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	5	$152	106	106	+0	open	—	04-20 05:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$138	83	83	+0	open	—	04-26 02:52
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	2	$88	51	51	+0	open	—	03-31 08:17
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$63	34	34	+0	open	—	01-22 13:56
f1 chinese grand prix safety car 2026 03 15	2	$48	29	29	+0	open	—	03-15 07:28
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	3	$46	27	27	+0	open	—	04-26 02:53
f1 japanese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 29	4	$28	27	27	+0	open	—	03-29 05:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	3	$26	71	71	+0	No	$-14	04-08 00:51
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	01-05 01:19
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	01-22 14:50
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	2	$19	16	16	+0	open	—	03-24 10:18
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	04-21 20:20
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	1	$15	47	0	+47	No	$-15	04-20 06:15
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-27 23:04
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-26 02:52
will israel strike gaza on january 5 2026	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	01-05 22:45
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-03 10:14
cl up or down on january 5 2026	3	$10	13	13	+0	open	—	01-05 07:54
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	04-08 02:48
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-26 02:52
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	1	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	01-07 12:43
will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the february meeting	2	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	01-22 13:55
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt0 and 4pt5	2	$3	30	30	+0	open	—	04-08 00:52
will china gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 4pt0 and 4pt5	2	$2	66	66	+0	open	—	01-19 02:25
will annual inflation increase by 3pt3 in march	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-07 10:51
will annual inflation increase by 3pt2 in march	1	$2	15	0	+15	open	—	04-07 10:50
btc updown 5m 1775212800	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	04-03 10:41
Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$1	12	0	+12	No	$-1	04-20 06:41
will annual inflation increase by 3pt1 in march	1	$1	72	0	+72	open	—	04-07 10:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-27 23:04:08	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x583a6d…
04-26 02:53:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0x8693d2…
04-26 02:52:52	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x9cb97d…
04-26 02:52:42	Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x32e3aa…
04-26 02:52:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0x1c460f…
04-21 20:20:12	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	11	83¢	$10	0x350782…
04-20 06:41:30	Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdaa76e…
04-20 06:15:12	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x00945e…
04-20 05:58:28	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x12af98…
04-20 05:58:12	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9b2f8f…
04-20 05:54:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0xda2c47…
04-20 05:50:16	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x8cfe3a…
04-20 05:46:10	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0xb449c1…
04-20 00:15:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x3f59a0…
04-14 05:09:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xb69934…
04-08 02:48:01	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	37¢	$5	0x953d91…
04-08 00:52:27	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt0 and 4pt5	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x6109bc…
04-08 00:51:15	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	71	9¢	$6	0x039d6d…
04-07 20:56:15	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x42e92e…
04-07 11:07:35	Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x939769…
04-07 11:01:13	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1df081…
04-07 10:51:23	will annual inflation increase by 3pt3 in march	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x01a8dd…
04-07 10:51:03	will annual inflation increase by 3pt1 in march	Yes	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0xd43c78…
04-07 10:50:59	will annual inflation increase by 3pt2 in march	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x9c3f9c…
04-03 11:04:43	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	53	75¢	$40	0x2e1d44…
04-03 10:41:41	btc updown 5m 1775212800	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x9a58a1…
04-03 10:14:47	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x7f6300…
03-31 08:25:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xecf46e…
03-31 08:25:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x95906b…
03-31 08:17:13	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	51	95¢	$48	0xe17580…
03-31 08:16:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x378c10…
03-31 03:06:55	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x71b31d…
03-29 05:57:34	f1 japanese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 29	Yes	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x153af2…
03-29 05:55:46	f1 japanese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 29	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x15a938…
03-29 05:20:38	f1 japanese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x056faf…
03-29 05:20:00	f1 japanese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x2d783c…
03-24 10:18:45	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0xf5f842…
03-24 10:18:27	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	60¢	$9	0xe28ac0…
03-24 10:18:03	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x484ed9…
03-24 08:02:51	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0xd75b4e…
03-24 07:54:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xd68568…
03-24 07:44:21	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x0ca8ca…
03-15 07:28:23	f1 chinese grand prix safety car 2026 03 15	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$28	0x6dd256…
03-15 06:56:05	f1 chinese grand prix safety car 2026 03 15	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x2709ac…
01-22 14:50:18	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x43f180…
01-22 14:16:52	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 4pt0 and 4pt5	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x61ee1f…
01-22 13:56:06	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x887dd9…
01-22 13:55:46	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the february meeting	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x21e786…
01-19 02:25:58	will china gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 4pt0 and 4pt5	Yes	SELL	66	0¢	$0	0xad4a32…
01-19 01:51:22	will the reserve bank of australia increase the target for the cash rate after the february meeting	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8e5944…
01-19 01:42:18	will china gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 4pt0 and 4pt5	Yes	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x73f150…
01-07 12:43:21	will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	Yes	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x31da3f…
01-05 22:45:43	will israel strike gaza on january 5 2026	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x36fe7c…
01-05 07:54:01	cl up or down on january 5 2026	Up	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0xc6d438…
01-05 01:27:27	will israel strike gaza on january 5 2026	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x749e97…
01-05 01:19:55	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xa2bf0d…
01-05 01:17:29	cl up or down on january 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x70dde5…
01-05 01:14:39	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	34	90¢	$30	0xcb5f11…
01-05 00:51:47	cl up or down on january 5 2026	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x250fb2…