Pessimistic-Illustration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$341

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-13 01:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$8

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No		+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	06-02 02:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	1	$1.1K	1,081	0	+1,081	Yes	+$3	05-11 01:20
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 9?	1	$1.1K	1,077	0	+1,077	No	+$2	05-09 01:44
ethereum above 3600 on january 18	1	$1.1K	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	01-18 01:35
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 17	1	$1.1K	1,069	0	+1,069	open	—	01-17 01:39
bitcoin above 102k on january 16	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	01-16 02:04
will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 19	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	01-19 03:39
bitcoin above 86k on january 15	1	$1.1K	1,067	0	+1,067	open	—	01-15 01:51
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	1	$1.1K	1,067	0	+1,067	No	+$2	05-05 03:35
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	open	—	01-14 01:54
ethereum above 3500 on january 13	1	$1.1K	1,064	0	+1,064	open	—	01-13 01:22
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 12	1	$1.1K	1,063	0	+1,063	open	—	01-12 02:38
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	1	$1.1K	1,061	0	+1,061	open	—	01-11 03:17
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 3?	1	$1.1K	1,056	0	+1,056	open	—	05-03 02:42
will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 20	1	$664	665	0	+665	open	—	01-20 01:52
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	1	$408	409	0	+409	open	—	01-20 01:58
will israel nuke iran by january 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-20 01:29
ethereum above 3300 on january 1	4	$9	4,278	0	+4,278	open	—	01-01 03:27
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	1	$7	1,062	0	+1,062	open	—	02-11 02:21
ethereum above 2600 on february 5	1	$3	1,098	0	+1,098	open	—	02-05 00:25
will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on april 8	1	$3	1,089	0	+1,089	open	—	04-08 01:44
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$3	1,082	0	+1,082	open	—	02-18 02:32
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-21 09:36
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-14 02:22
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-06 11:27
ethereum above 1600 on february 25	1	$2	1,088	0	+1,088	open	—	02-25 02:36
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	1	$2	1,085	0	+1,085	open	—	04-17 01:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	1	$2	1,076	0	+1,076	open	—	04-28 01:16
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-02 02:45
ethereum above 1600 on march 30	1	$2	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	03-30 01:11
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 21	1	$2	1,056	0	+1,056	open	—	03-21 02:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 01:38:48	ethereum above 1800 on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,046	0¢	$2	0xc9bd3d…
06-04 06:38:49	ethereum above 1500 on june 4 2026	No	BUY	1,051	0¢	$2	0xb6b80f…
06-02 02:45:42	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8bbd4a…
05-21 09:36:30	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfb51c6…
05-11 01:20:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,081	100¢	$1,078	0x00b4f5…
05-09 01:44:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 9?	No	BUY	1,077	100¢	$1,075	0xf6b04b…
05-05 03:35:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	BUY	1,067	100¢	$1,065	0xba07ce…
05-03 02:42:06	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 3?	No	BUY	1,056	100¢	$1,054	0xeb4485…
04-28 01:16:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	1,076	0¢	$2	0x10c0c8…
04-17 01:01:36	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 17	Yes	BUY	1,085	0¢	$2	0x5e5ab4…
04-14 02:22:17	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x633d75…
04-08 01:44:57	will the price of xrp be between 1pt00 1pt10 on april 8	Yes	BUY	1,089	0¢	$3	0x7e2ad1…
04-06 11:27:13	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x652971…
03-30 01:11:36	ethereum above 1600 on march 30	No	BUY	1,070	0¢	$2	0x8352ae…
03-29 03:18:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xe9211a…
03-21 02:24:07	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 21	Yes	BUY	1,056	0¢	$2	0xd3b260…
02-25 02:36:32	ethereum above 1600 on february 25	No	BUY	1,088	0¢	$2	0x6534dd…
02-18 02:32:53	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	No	BUY	1,082	0¢	$3	0x9acee8…
02-11 02:21:01	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1,062	1¢	$7	0x5bf462…
02-06 06:51:25	xrp above 2pt1 on february 6	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x2d98ea…
02-06 05:04:37	xrp above 2pt1 on february 6	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x43fe0d…
02-05 00:25:27	ethereum above 2600 on february 5	Yes	BUY	1,098	0¢	$3	0xabe232…
02-02 03:58:04	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x60db9e…
01-30 07:21:26	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7b6505…
01-29 08:48:00	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfa8299…
01-29 00:50:00	ethereum above 2600 on january 29	No	BUY	1,081	0¢	$1	0x056696…
01-26 11:53:33	will googl dip to 215 in january	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa468b3…
01-20 01:58:12	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 20	No	BUY	409	100¢	$408	0xfdd387…
01-20 01:52:18	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 20	No	BUY	665	100¢	$664	0x5f8564…
01-20 01:29:00	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x988958…
01-19 03:39:12	will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 19	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,066	0xc09928…
01-19 03:17:36	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5f8197…
01-18 01:35:04	ethereum above 3600 on january 18	No	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,069	0xfb8d45…
01-17 01:39:24	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 17	No	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,068	0xe73237…
01-16 02:04:36	bitcoin above 102k on january 16	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,067	0xbae856…
01-15 01:51:16	bitcoin above 86k on january 15	Yes	BUY	1,067	100¢	$1,066	0xfd7398…
01-14 01:54:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 14	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,064	0x5677ac…
01-13 01:22:49	ethereum above 3500 on january 13	No	BUY	1,064	100¢	$1,063	0xd4f3b8…
01-12 02:38:28	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 12	No	BUY	1,063	100¢	$1,062	0xae1bb1…
01-11 03:17:14	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	No	BUY	1,061	100¢	$1,060	0x44395b…
01-01 03:27:45	ethereum above 3300 on january 1	Yes	BUY	1,069	0¢	$2	0x7f319c…
01-01 03:25:43	ethereum above 3300 on january 1	Yes	BUY	1,069	0¢	$2	0x28585d…
01-01 03:23:51	ethereum above 3300 on january 1	Yes	BUY	1,069	0¢	$2	0x091eea…
01-01 03:19:53	ethereum above 3300 on january 1	Yes	BUY	1,070	0¢	$2	0x160d3b…