Untried-Ballot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-09 06:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 100% +$0

Other

33% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 160 179	1	$120	120	+120	open	—	03-09 03:30
bitcoin above 100k on january 10	1	$118	118	+118	open	—	01-09 10:42
ethereum above 3300 on january 27	1	$118	118	+118	open	—	01-26 10:58
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 460 479	1	$117	117	+117	open	—	03-03 09:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 23	1	$116	116	+116	open	—	01-22 08:20
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 220 239	1	$116	116	+116	open	—	01-04 09:44
bitcoin above 84k on january 19	1	$115	115	+115	open	—	01-19 01:55
bitcoin above 60k on february 27	1	$115	115	+115	open	—	02-27 06:34
will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	1	$115	115	+115	open	—	02-12 01:31
bitcoin above 70k on april 15	1	$114	114	+114	open	—	04-15 09:35
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 320 339	1	$114	114	+114	open	—	04-20 11:08
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 460 479	1	$114	114	+114	open	—	02-04 07:26
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$113	113	+113	open	—	03-28 08:27
bitcoin above 78k on april 11	1	$112	112	+112	open	—	04-11 06:25
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$112	112	+112	open	—	03-24 06:33
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 360 379	1	$112	112	+112	open	—	04-02 01:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	03-18 10:48
bitcoin above 90k on january 15	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	01-15 01:48
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 215 239	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	04-06 06:48
bitcoin above 92k on february 1	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	01-31 08:12
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 215 239	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	03-14 08:19
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	1	$110	110	+110	No	+$0	05-13 02:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	1	$110	110	+110	open	—	04-25 10:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	1	$109	109	+109	Yes	+$0	05-07 02:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	1	$109	109	+109	Yes	+$0	05-10 08:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	1	$104	104	+104	open	—	05-15 06:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	05-20 01:18
bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	1	$96	96	+96	open	—	06-09 06:40
bitcoin above 60k on march 16	1	$4	2,100	+2,100	open	—	03-14 08:19
bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	1	$4	1,990	+1,990	open	—	06-05 10:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 06:40:04	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x730807…
06-05 10:38:49	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1,990	0¢	$4	0x44d41f…
05-20 01:18:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8a8ee5…
05-15 06:38:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x627904…
05-13 02:43:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x85c211…
05-10 08:43:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x5e4285…
05-07 02:29:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x8d3352…
04-25 10:41:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x496016…
04-25 10:41:42	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x89e502…
04-25 10:38:20	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,900	0¢	$4	0x69e50f…
04-20 11:08:40	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 320 339	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x2fa782…
04-15 09:35:08	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x8fd553…
04-11 06:25:27	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xbe088d…
04-11 06:25:17	highest temperature in nyc on april 11 2026 70 71f	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3de61a…
04-11 06:25:03	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x34311b…
04-11 06:24:51	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa870d0…
04-06 06:48:33	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 215 239	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xee8323…
04-06 06:48:13	Military action against Iran ends on April 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x18142d…
04-06 06:48:03	will threads be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 7	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26630f…
04-02 01:56:29	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 360 379	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x6b397e…
04-02 01:56:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x256c4f…
04-02 01:55:55	bitcoin above 74k on april 2	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa67856…
04-02 01:55:21	cz binance of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 60 79	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc5d4a7…
03-28 08:27:19	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x80abbe…
03-28 08:27:07	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9d82b4…
03-28 08:26:59	highest temperature in london on march 28 2026 8c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x66be5d…
03-28 08:26:47	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xea0b5c…
03-24 06:33:15	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x041b71…
03-24 06:32:59	will tonalenergy tuner metronome be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 24	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x41dafc…
03-24 06:32:47	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on march 24	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf14a4b…
03-18 10:48:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x15f1ae…
03-14 08:19:31	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 215 239	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe78cd6…
03-14 08:19:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1689fd…
03-14 08:19:09	bitcoin above 60k on march 16	No	BUY	2,100	0¢	$4	0xe999a4…
03-09 03:30:01	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 160 179	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xa61fc3…
03-03 09:56:19	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 460 479	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xdb702f…
03-03 09:56:09	elon musk of tweets march 2026 200 219	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f3f74…
03-03 09:55:55	will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on march 3	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x15be5c…
02-27 06:34:36	bitcoin above 60k on february 27	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xb2f779…
02-12 01:31:09	will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x895750…
02-12 01:30:57	will israel strike lebanon on february 10 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x188f80…
02-12 01:30:47	us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8296e0…
02-04 07:26:40	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 460 479	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x7ebab3…
02-04 07:26:28	will capcut photo video editor be the 2 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe1c08a…
02-04 07:26:16	will zai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0fe559…
02-04 07:26:08	highest temperature in london on february 4 2026 13corhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x05fd48…
01-31 08:13:12	elon musk of tweets march 2026 0 19	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdbabe2…
01-31 08:12:50	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0724be…
01-31 08:12:28	bitcoin above 92k on february 1	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xc342d4…
01-26 10:58:17	ethereum above 3300 on january 27	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x97bab2…
01-22 08:20:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 98000 100000 on january 23	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xa20cf0…
01-19 01:55:52	bitcoin above 84k on january 19	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xecd4c4…
01-19 01:55:44	will skyview be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 23	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa64138…
01-19 01:55:34	will 28 years later bone temple opening weekend box office be greater than 21m	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe8fc43…
01-15 01:48:38	bitcoin above 90k on january 15	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x748ca8…
01-15 01:48:28	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1280 1319	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2f3ad9…
01-15 01:48:20	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x669ff8…
01-09 10:42:30	bitcoin above 100k on january 10	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x73bbfa…
01-04 09:44:05	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 220 239	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x5026ee…
01-04 09:43:49	elon musk of tweets january 2026 280 299	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xee1a85…
01-04 09:43:35	highest temperature in london on january 4 5corhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x42eba7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	41	$7.86K	4,886	04-17 13:58
Frightened-Kitsch 0x58fd…43a6	36	$598	1,640	06-09 10:11
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	33	$46.1K	879	06-02 06:14
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	33	$1.75K	714	06-08 12:17
Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502	32	$661	1,895	06-09 08:37
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	30	$602	660	05-14 15:47
Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345	24	$2.86K	2,054	04-24 04:03
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	23	$66.7K	977	04-23 14:02