Wary-Plaster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$119

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 07-13 14:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

38% — —

Politics

32% — —

Crypto

30% 50% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	2	$18	56	54	+2	open	—	04-15 03:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$17	28	28	+0	open	—	05-09 16:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$15	53	0	+53	open	—	04-19 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-17 14:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$10	56	0	+56	open	—	04-03 22:42
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$6	154	0	+154	open	—	03-14 19:18
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	2	$6	56	56	+0	open	—	03-29 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	$-5	05-12 20:35
btc updown 5m 1783952400	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	07-13 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	05-17 14:04
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	86	0	+86	open	—	04-15 04:17
israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-15 02:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-14 19:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-30 09:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$0	0	5	-5	open	—	07-09 16:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 14:26:22	btc updown 5m 1783952400	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2933cf…
07-09 16:20:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x67fe0a…
05-17 14:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9356f9…
05-17 14:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf460af…
05-17 14:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x240048…
05-12 20:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x73df9e…
05-09 16:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x20d91f…
05-09 16:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdaa04a…
05-09 16:16:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	24¢	$7	0xf03655…
04-19 15:18:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xb534ff…
04-15 04:17:10	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x3fc3af…
04-15 04:07:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x21a4a6…
04-15 03:59:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	SELL	54	11¢	$6	0xccc89e…
04-09 22:38:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x0c0bc1…
04-08 00:56:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	56	22¢	$12	0x7b88b1…
04-03 22:42:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x0c1273…
03-30 09:45:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd0b0fd…
03-29 19:58:08	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$1	0xe011bd…
03-15 02:17:15	israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb5cb50…
03-14 22:26:05	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xcdc8c4…
03-14 19:27:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x47e037…
03-14 19:18:45	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	154	4¢	$6	0x675f47…