Realized P&L
-$1.75K
Unrealized P&L
+$77
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
302
lifetime
Volume
$349.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.16K
Open exposure
$2.14K
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 07-22 23:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
96% 0% $-1,749
Other
4%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +8,113 $1,300 22¢ $1.8K +$525 07-12 21:02
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes -1,099 $-67 22¢ $-238 $-172 05-29 08:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -114 $-18 30¢ $-34 $-15 06-07 23:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,818 $289 $22 $-267 07-17 15:36
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -86 $-28 25¢ $-21 +$7 05-29 13:44