Realized P&L
-$1.75K
Unrealized P&L
-$219
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
249
lifetime
Volume
$342.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.37K
Open exposure
$485
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-01
last 06-30 13:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
97% 0% $-1,749
Other
2%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +769 $300 26¢ $196 $-104 06-29 12:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +1,538 $200 $131 $-69 06-21 16:20
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes -1,099 $-67 11¢ $-120 $-54 05-29 08:52
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -86 $-28 26¢ $-23 +$5 05-29 13:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -114 $-18 14¢ $-15 +$3 06-07 23:07