Merry-Rowing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$70

Unrealized P&L

+$517

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,404

lifetime

Volume

$111.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

$893

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 18:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$45

Other

25% 50% +$25

Sports

11% — —

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	+855	$211	80¢	$688	+$478	06-09 22:45
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	No	+80	$79	99¢	$79	$-0	07-21 18:46
Discord IPO before 2027?	No	+100	$36	68¢	$68	+$32	06-08 23:30
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	-71	$-65	81¢	$-58	+$7	06-10 15:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	5	$6.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-04 09:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	20	$5.4K	2,993	4,277	-1,284	open	—	06-13 18:36
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	22	$4.0K	5,500	0	+5,500	open	—	04-06 01:30
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	17	$3.9K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	02-08 23:34
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	9	$3.4K	5,611	0	+5,611	open	—	04-29 18:37
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	16	$2.7K	6,500	6,000	+500	open	—	03-07 08:33
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	33	$2.6K	1,800	3,300	-1,500	open	—	01-30 15:31
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	23	$2.5K	2,500	2,000	+500	open	—	01-15 03:09
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	15	$2.1K	2,450	2,450	+0	open	—	01-15 03:23
another us government shutdown by february 14	10	$2.1K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	02-12 04:10
nfl ne den 2026 01 25 spread away 3pt5	1	$2.0K	4,019	0	+4,019	open	—	01-25 16:55
will jensen huang say ai or artificial intelligence 10 times during nvidia keynote	4	$2.0K	2,114	0	+2,114	open	—	01-05 21:20
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	4	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	02-27 19:35
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	4	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-08 04:45
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	43	$1.7K	7,000	7,000	+0	open	—	03-21 21:55
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	24	$1.6K	1,610	1,494	+116	open	—	06-12 18:17
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	34	$1.5K	1,519	1,519	+0	open	—	02-24 07:33
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	4	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-30 00:24
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$1.4K	1,000	500	+500	open	—	02-28 19:59
will trump say invest or investment during oil executive meetings on friday	8	$1.4K	1,900	770	+1,130	open	—	01-09 20:25
will juliana stratton be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	23	$1.4K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	03-18 08:46
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	8	$1.2K	2,190	1,000	+1,190	open	—	06-12 18:17
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?	1	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	Yes	+$12	05-07 19:09
will the announcers say ronaldo during the portugal vs uzbekistan fifa world cup match 20260622180548690	2	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	06-22 22:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	17	$1.2K	1,341	0	+1,341	open	—	06-14 22:46
will trump say biden obama 7 times at the nrcc dinner on march 25	24	$1.1K	1,520	0	+1,520	open	—	03-26 00:22
Major US official out by May 31?	86	$978	3,526	240	+3,286	open	—	05-22 17:40
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	9	$977	700	700	+0	open	—	01-14 22:54
will raja krishnamoorthi be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	16	$956	1,702	1,371	+331	open	—	03-18 08:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$952	500	500	+0	open	—	02-28 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 18:46:10	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xf3b636…
07-21 08:44:10	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x25edaf…
07-10 06:39:58	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xb35870…
07-10 06:39:53	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	No	BUY	86	26¢	$22	0x102f8f…
07-10 06:39:49	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x3e3879…
07-10 06:39:46	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	No	BUY	147	26¢	$38	0xe3b2fa…
07-10 06:39:35	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	No	BUY	172	26¢	$45	0x1006e9…
07-10 06:39:26	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x746c20…
07-10 06:39:22	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xd014f9…
07-10 06:39:19	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	No	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xae8571…
07-10 06:39:14	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	No	BUY	66	26¢	$17	0xbd3d6c…
07-10 06:39:11	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	No	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x06de19…
07-10 06:39:05	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	No	BUY	98	26¢	$26	0x599cf5…
07-07 07:58:40	will the announcers say var during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260706213505716	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xd11c23…
07-07 07:57:23	will the announcers say var during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260706213505716	No	BUY	250	29¢	$72	0x572d61…
07-03 20:25:43	will the announcers say what a save during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236641	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x9325de…
07-03 20:20:49	will the announcers say what a save during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236641	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x919d53…
07-03 19:13:50	will the announcers say what a save during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236641	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x3e36ab…
07-03 17:58:32	will the announcers say what a save during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236641	No	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x47976e…
07-03 17:22:19	will the announcers say what a save during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236641	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x580300…
07-03 17:16:50	will the announcers say what a save during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236641	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x518450…
07-03 16:29:19	will the announcers say what a save during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236641	No	BUY	30	68¢	$21	0x868ac1…
07-03 08:58:08	will the announcers say crossbar during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032822	No	BUY	300	69¢	$207	0x2890dd…
07-03 08:57:59	will the announcers say crossbar during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032822	No	BUY	210	68¢	$143	0xaa6c15…
07-03 08:50:38	will the announcers say what a save during the argentina vs cape verde fifa world cup match 20260702193236641	No	BUY	70	69¢	$48	0xfdc27b…
07-02 21:06:11	will the announcers say what a save during the switzerland vs algeria fifa world cup match 20260701163844368	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xaf2cbe…
07-02 13:11:20	will the announcers say what a save during the spain vs austria fifa world cup match 20260701163439803 329	No	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xf24358…
06-27 20:31:16	will the announcers say what a save during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716825	No	BUY	105	79¢	$83	0xdf5800…
06-25 19:42:10	will the announcers say what a save during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809456	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x7d14ac…
06-25 19:36:01	will the announcers say what a save during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809456	No	BUY	97	67¢	$65	0x4dda53…
06-25 19:19:40	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809463	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xaad294…
06-25 14:08:14	will the announcers say header during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809444	No	BUY	2,712	2¢	$65	0x0105bc…
06-25 07:05:20	will the announcers say header during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809444	No	BUY	288	3¢	$9	0xb1ddf3…
06-24 21:59:14	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947277	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x9c84a9…
06-24 04:04:28	will trump say dumocrat or dumbocrat or dumacrat during june 24 rally 20260616194255615	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x38e763…
06-24 04:04:11	will trump say dumocrat or dumbocrat or dumacrat during june 24 rally 20260616194255615	Yes	BUY	400	72¢	$288	0x23b9a0…
06-23 02:12:16	will the announcers say adidas during the portugal vs uzbekistan fifa world cup match 20260622180548677	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x2d376c…
06-23 01:01:53	will the announcers say what a save during the portugal vs uzbekistan fifa world cup match 20260622180548681	Yes	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0xe28349…
06-23 00:44:32	will the announcers say what a save during the portugal vs uzbekistan fifa world cup match 20260622180548681	Yes	BUY	19	24¢	$5	0xd48724…
06-23 00:23:58	will the announcers say assist during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023969	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x45971f…
06-23 00:23:50	will the announcers say assist during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023969	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb60b91…
06-23 00:16:31	will the announcers say golden boot during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023974	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x69b0a5…
06-23 00:15:19	will the announcers say verizon during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023973	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xf9d6a4…
06-23 00:13:47	will the announcers say what a save during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023972	No	SELL	70	2¢	$1	0x5d1e2d…
06-23 00:13:22	will the announcers say golden boot during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023974	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xf24e42…
06-22 22:43:11	will the announcers say what a save during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023972	No	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0x6cd74e…
06-22 22:42:25	will the match not air 20260622180548691	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x62c728…
06-22 22:42:10	will the announcers say ronaldo during the portugal vs uzbekistan fifa world cup match 20260622180548690	Yes	BUY	230	99¢	$227	0x16ca19…
06-22 22:41:46	will the announcers say ronaldo during the portugal vs uzbekistan fifa world cup match 20260622180548690	Yes	BUY	970	98¢	$955	0x3bdf71…
06-22 22:38:35	will the announcers say verizon during the portugal vs uzbekistan fifa world cup match 20260622180548682	No	BUY	170	95¢	$162	0x12db2f…
06-22 21:51:44	will the announcers say what a save during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023972	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x137d16…
06-20 09:45:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xeabfc3…
06-20 09:43:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	165	36¢	$59	0x3e18f6…
06-20 09:31:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xe2568d…
06-20 09:04:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x9d846a…
06-20 08:53:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa6a4a3…
06-20 08:53:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xd143fc…
06-20 08:50:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x1ea784…
06-20 08:45:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0xa0ae29…
06-20 08:43:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x310f02…
06-20 08:32:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe48441…
06-20 08:30:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	138	36¢	$50	0x61f74c…
06-20 08:22:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5bec13…
06-20 08:22:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xc345fc…
06-20 08:22:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x838f95…
06-20 08:22:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x5a839d…
06-20 08:22:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe6a052…
06-20 08:22:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	54	36¢	$19	0xd46e42…
06-20 08:22:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0xa3253a…
06-20 08:22:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x8c7993…
06-20 08:22:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x82424e…
06-14 22:46:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	87¢	$15	0xa27050…
06-14 22:46:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf0a6d5…
06-14 22:46:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	87¢	$80	0xea94f4…
06-14 22:46:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	87¢	$99	0x9fb396…
06-14 22:46:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x942c41…
06-14 22:46:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x8586b4…
06-14 22:46:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0x790820…
06-14 22:46:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x717480…
06-14 22:46:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0x700cee…
06-14 22:46:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x6c5a56…
06-14 22:46:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x5322d0…
06-14 22:46:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	87¢	$44	0x282534…
06-14 22:46:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x188a9f…
06-14 22:46:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x130541…
06-14 22:46:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x0ff7dd…
06-14 22:46:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x0fe354…
06-14 22:37:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0x038741…
06-13 18:36:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1,000	71¢	$714	0xd6bd2e…
06-13 18:32:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	500	71¢	$353	0x6d6d10…
06-13 18:24:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	117	71¢	$83	0x2121ed…
06-13 18:24:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	383	71¢	$271	0xd811d2…
06-13 18:21:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	725	70¢	$505	0x7d7159…
06-13 18:21:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	52	70¢	$36	0x21b8cf…
06-13 18:18:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	494	70¢	$345	0x01553b…
06-13 18:18:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x080fc5…
06-13 18:17:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x24462b…
06-13 18:12:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	500	71¢	$356	0xa13f00…
06-13 18:12:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	500	71¢	$356	0x532278…
06-13 07:25:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	500	81¢	$405	0xfd287b…