Winding-Prevalence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$663

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-26 12:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

66% — —

Other

18% 0% $-1

Crypto

16% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	04-01 22:27
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	8	$76	60	60	+0	open	—	04-12 18:39
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$68	102	102	+0	open	—	03-08 05:58
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	8	$59	65	65	+0	open	—	03-30 16:54
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	7	$45	102	72	+30	open	—	04-19 13:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$43	28	28	+0	open	—	04-19 05:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	6	$33	195	195	+0	open	—	05-21 13:48
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$31	30	30	+0	open	—	04-15 06:47
will iran strike uae again in march	5	$25	120	80	+40	open	—	04-01 22:23
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$24	50	50	+0	open	—	05-21 05:45
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	3	$19	41	0	+41	open	—	03-03 14:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$19	30	0	+30	open	—	03-31 11:19
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	03-23 12:42
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	03-08 10:23
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	1	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	05-21 07:40
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	3	$12	30	30	+0	open	—	04-19 12:20
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of April?	2	$10	70	70	+0	open	—	04-11 02:27
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	1	$10	67	0	+67	open	—	01-13 22:11
will iran strike ghawar field by march 31	4	$9	22	22	+0	open	—	03-23 11:42
will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	1	$9	30	0	+30	open	—	02-22 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	4	$7	20	20	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 11:20
tulsi gabbard out by march 31	2	$6	30	30	+0	open	—	03-23 11:42
will ivanka trump attend the 2026 state of the union address	7	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	02-23 08:08
solana up or down on january 6	2	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	01-06 11:21
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	3	$4	30	30	+0	open	—	03-23 11:10
will alexandria ocasio cortez attend the 2026 state of the union address	2	$2	40	0	+40	open	—	02-22 00:11
will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026	1	$2	60	0	+60	open	—	03-20 13:54
Netanyahu out by May 31?	2	$2	143	143	+0	open	—	05-21 00:56
ethereum up or down on january 21	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	01-21 14:25
bitcoin up or down on january 15	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	01-15 14:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 12:45:31	XMAQUINA FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x7fd343…
05-21 15:47:53	XMAQUINA FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x8cbf5a…
05-21 15:47:35	XMAQUINA FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xee8d2a…
05-21 13:48:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	195	3¢	$6	0x3d1806…
05-21 07:40:14	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x128846…
05-21 05:45:23	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x5e48de…
05-21 00:56:54	Netanyahu out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x8aecba…
05-18 16:05:32	Netanyahu out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xb2c93c…
05-13 19:43:19	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x2b4a9b…
05-13 19:15:47	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0x753a8c…
05-13 19:10:32	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x436924…
05-05 11:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xb7aac9…
05-05 10:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0x89cb61…
05-05 10:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x3e7f7d…
05-05 10:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xacc2a0…
05-05 04:12:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	90	12¢	$11	0xa608f7…
05-05 02:37:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x453e64…
05-01 15:41:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x718e9c…
05-01 15:41:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x7cb072…
05-01 15:15:16	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xfa8d8a…
04-19 13:12:20	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xa024ce…
04-19 13:07:56	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x47d7df…
04-19 13:06:58	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x12d82d…
04-19 13:06:50	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x94490f…
04-19 12:57:24	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	72	21¢	$15	0x68444c…
04-19 12:20:48	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x1647dc…
04-19 08:13:20	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	17	32¢	$5	0xb76b72…
04-19 08:03:30	Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x0b7ef3…
04-19 05:28:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	28	80¢	$23	0x64389a…
04-18 18:25:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	18¢	$4	0x3f7bec…
04-18 18:24:50	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x67e8ca…
04-18 13:04:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xe047e3…
04-18 13:02:50	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x0d7143…
04-15 12:11:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x96d56c…
04-15 06:47:30	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0xffb1c7…
04-12 18:39:59	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	17	55¢	$9	0xa00f13…
04-12 12:54:45	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x305157…
04-12 12:53:57	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	28	55¢	$15	0x19ada5…
04-12 12:53:29	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xf3db1e…
04-11 03:55:33	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	26	72¢	$19	0xf3a527…
04-11 03:46:11	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x4e1853…
04-11 03:45:15	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	13	72¢	$10	0xa6be73…
04-11 02:58:05	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x5b7e8b…
04-11 02:27:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of April?	No	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0xb4c571…
04-06 05:56:47	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of April?	No	BUY	70	11¢	$8	0x8bc870…
04-01 22:27:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd84381…
04-01 22:23:15	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0xd0443f…
04-01 22:01:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xac4650…
04-01 15:36:43	will iran strike uae again in march	No	SELL	80	12¢	$10	0x059f98…
03-31 11:45:53	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xbfc30f…
03-31 11:19:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	24	64¢	$15	0xdf1439…
03-31 11:17:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x704ec7…
03-30 16:54:25	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	SELL	65	84¢	$55	0x583c09…
03-26 15:41:05	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x354985…
03-26 14:23:33	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	67	7¢	$4	0xdd13cf…
03-24 13:47:29	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf188f0…
03-24 11:41:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xbfedad…
03-23 12:42:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x6cc82d…
03-23 11:42:53	tulsi gabbard out by march 31	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x7ed88d…
03-23 11:42:37	will iran strike ghawar field by march 31	Yes	SELL	22	18¢	$4	0x5e0c1b…
03-23 11:41:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x0e574a…
03-23 11:10:53	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x93ca3b…
03-20 13:54:05	will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026	No	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x829fb5…
03-20 05:53:43	tulsi gabbard out by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xf93295…
03-19 19:47:45	will iran strike ghawar field by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5719a3…
03-19 19:37:37	will iran strike ghawar field by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x52f5aa…
03-19 15:46:29	will iran strike ghawar field by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x28634c…
03-16 00:50:49	will frankenstein win best production design at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc99051…
03-15 16:21:37	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	BUY	28	8¢	$2	0x20d33c…
03-15 16:21:17	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xa897db…
03-09 16:00:59	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xc9499a…
03-09 16:00:53	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x7df027…
03-09 16:00:51	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x02d736…
03-09 16:00:43	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc09a10…
03-09 16:00:43	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x99cfc1…
03-09 16:00:43	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x2e98f7…
03-09 12:55:59	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	No	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x94ce32…
03-09 05:14:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x77ec50…
03-08 10:38:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xe12986…
03-08 10:23:55	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x93cc8c…
03-08 05:58:11	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	102	38¢	$38	0x93e638…
03-04 06:28:35	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	82	31¢	$25	0x5f590b…
03-03 23:25:43	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x4f433e…
03-03 14:25:39	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x683c69…
03-03 10:32:15	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x818385…
03-03 10:31:11	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2e0023…
02-23 08:08:58	will ivanka trump attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xecb3ea…
02-23 06:06:58	will ivanka trump attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x738451…
02-23 05:59:34	will ivanka trump attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x142193…
02-22 23:22:14	will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	Yes	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x79e5d1…
02-22 19:37:10	will ivanka trump attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xbf48c7…
02-22 12:51:12	will ivanka trump attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x1aab2f…
02-22 07:03:18	will ivanka trump attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x172430…
02-22 05:21:56	will ivanka trump attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x40d9f9…
02-22 00:11:56	will alexandria ocasio cortez attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x8eb83a…
02-22 00:01:30	will alexandria ocasio cortez attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xd85f9d…
01-21 14:25:34	ethereum up or down on january 21	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x365b31…
01-21 03:52:56	will trump say expert or genius during wef address on january 21	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0b6db8…
01-15 14:32:54	bitcoin up or down on january 15	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x35f278…
01-13 22:11:12	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x987113…