Insignificant-Compost — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

196

lifetime

Volume

$417

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

9 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 07-04 18:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

45% — —

Politics

33% 0% $-0

Crypto

20% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+6	$4	84¢	$5	+$0	07-01 03:38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$4	90¢	$4	+$0	06-30 09:13
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	+4	$4	94¢	$4	+$0	07-03 04:54
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	+4	$4	92¢	$4	+$0	07-02 17:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+10	$2	28¢	$3	+$1	07-04 14:29
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	+3	$2	74¢	$2	+$0	07-02 06:50
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	No	+2	$2	92¢	$2	+$0	07-02 06:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+10	$4	16¢	$2	$-2	06-29 01:05
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	+12	$2	0¢	$0	$-2	06-30 04:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	10	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	05-03 17:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	22	$49	54	54	+0	open	—	04-18 15:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	28	$48	53	37	+16	open	—	07-01 03:38
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	19	$35	40	38	+3	open	—	07-02 09:10
Will Solana reach $160 in May?	6	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	05-03 20:52
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	15	$26	46	34	+12	open	—	06-30 04:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	6	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	04-18 15:17
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	7	$12	17	14	+3	open	—	06-30 17:47
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	5	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	07-02 10:09
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	5	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	07-03 23:39
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	3	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	06-22 17:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 10:22
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	4	$7	18	18	+0	open	—	06-01 05:39
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	3	$6	5	2	+3	open	—	06-28 03:19
Lakers vs. Thunder	6	$6	9	9	+0	Thunder	$-0	05-05 23:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	04-18 15:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$5	16	11	+5	open	—	04-18 16:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	06-22 17:10
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	06-22 17:10
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	05-07 04:35
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	07-02 20:17
iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	06-30 10:36
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	07-02 17:08
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	2	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	06-27 06:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	06-30 09:13
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	07-03 04:54
us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	06-30 02:32
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	2	$3	48	48	+0	open	—	06-26 23:34
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 20:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	06-01 05:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 18:31:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x9fde59…
07-04 14:29:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0c41b7…
07-03 23:39:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xaee0a3…
07-03 23:38:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x34fced…
07-03 23:38:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x0043ba…
07-03 04:54:37	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xbcf036…
07-03 04:54:37	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x9ffb12…
07-03 02:14:11	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x897aa9…
07-02 20:17:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x92af4c…
07-02 20:17:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xbc836b…
07-02 20:03:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd0c89a…
07-02 20:03:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x5237e6…
07-02 17:08:32	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xfcccd1…
07-02 10:09:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x53e0cc…
07-02 09:57:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xc2fba6…
07-02 09:57:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xe8880e…
07-02 09:10:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	89¢	$0	0x797d85…
07-02 08:50:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xd1b891…
07-02 08:48:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x4d6ae7…
07-02 07:02:26	will saudi arabia recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x62758d…
07-02 06:52:46	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd35367…
07-02 06:50:11	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xbf322d…
07-02 06:47:52	Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x01c785…
07-01 03:38:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x778ad2…
06-30 20:30:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xae8864…
06-30 17:59:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xaf721f…
06-30 17:57:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x497688…
06-30 17:47:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x9cead5…
06-30 17:46:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xbc48dc…
06-30 10:36:29	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xeb6211…
06-30 09:18:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6fa49e…
06-30 09:13:59	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x0addb4…
06-30 09:05:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe36347…
06-30 04:25:29	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x47d438…
06-30 04:25:22	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x3d63a3…
06-30 03:37:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x674c24…
06-30 02:41:50	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x72a261…
06-30 02:32:59	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x8e1b07…
06-29 21:42:01	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x1ff948…
06-29 21:22:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xb6bf86…
06-29 19:36:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa7b412…
06-29 19:36:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa1882d…
06-29 14:51:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x0d2649…
06-29 14:49:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xe8300f…
06-29 06:40:50	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xb32d24…
06-29 01:56:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x581386…
06-29 01:42:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x03bea4…
06-29 01:39:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5939d1…
06-29 01:34:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x793069…
06-29 01:29:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x24a82b…
06-29 01:05:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd6c44b…
06-29 01:04:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x31786f…
06-29 00:56:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xef1476…
06-29 00:56:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x0469fc…
06-29 00:48:37	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x83ba0c…
06-29 00:48:35	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x4c7f21…
06-29 00:47:19	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x4e57f6…
06-28 20:49:56	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x677dd4…
06-28 20:49:55	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x1f44ef…
06-28 20:49:52	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x91bdef…
06-28 20:24:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x018e97…
06-28 05:35:55	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa8b843…
06-28 05:07:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xa4a8a0…
06-28 05:04:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xddae84…
06-28 05:04:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x147b68…
06-28 04:45:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xb96905…
06-28 04:32:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x00b63e…
06-28 04:31:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x17cc5d…
06-28 03:19:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xff04b7…
06-28 03:14:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x22dbed…
06-28 03:12:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x7db0de…
06-27 23:51:05	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xbe2666…
06-27 23:51:05	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x8bb28a…
06-27 23:50:44	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x7e3c9a…
06-27 23:30:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa81df7…
06-27 23:29:46	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa27279…
06-27 22:42:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xd3a746…
06-27 18:24:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1b4697…
06-27 17:45:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x65c9f9…
06-27 09:56:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x886180…
06-27 09:55:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xd8c8b2…
06-27 09:53:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xde600b…
06-27 06:12:59	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xf5ce42…
06-27 06:12:31	israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x83de38…
06-27 02:41:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x3f71a0…
06-26 23:34:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x6afc4d…
06-26 21:20:14	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xc2934a…
06-26 20:10:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x975f91…
06-26 20:08:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xa96132…
06-26 20:08:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x6925a4…
06-26 20:07:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x1723d8…
06-26 17:47:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x792e4d…
06-26 12:21:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xbc83f4…
06-26 12:20:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xcbdf7d…
06-26 05:40:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6c5560…
06-26 05:33:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9b4335…
06-26 04:44:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xc639b5…
06-26 04:44:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x729044…
06-26 02:25:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xb82154…
06-25 18:17:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xdce5c3…