Hilarious-Llama — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$95

Unrealized P&L

+$92

Hit rate

24.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,921

lifetime

Volume

$58.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-02-10

last 07-02 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

55% 10% $-10

Other

42% 20% $-85

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		-6,741	$-109	0¢	$-17	+$92	07-01 07:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?	72	$10.3K	27,000	27,000	+0	open	—	04-25 17:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	83	$5.2K	7,163	7,588	-425	open	—	06-12 09:29
atp blockx shelton 2026 04 15	9	$4.2K	3,639	3,639	+0	open	—	04-14 18:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	105	$3.5K	19,600	20,800	-1,200	open	—	06-15 08:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	144	$3.3K	13,628	21,220	-7,592	open	—	05-31 13:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	159	$3.2K	36,187	36,187	+0	open	—	07-01 07:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	38	$2.7K	6,000	8,874	-2,874	open	—	06-05 07:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	71	$2.4K	5,252	5,632	-380	open	—	06-11 09:28
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	45	$1.7K	5,500	5,000	+500	open	—	06-03 10:33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	2	$998	500	500	+0	open	—	05-24 05:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	34	$918	7,299	7,299	+0	open	—	05-26 14:20
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	8	$881	600	500	+100	open	—	05-13 14:03
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	10	$800	800	800	-0	open	—	03-02 23:14
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$722	800	500	+300	open	—	03-04 10:59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	50	$686	5,367	5,632	-266	open	—	05-26 18:25
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	9	$618	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	06-25 13:13
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$617	363	363	+0	open	—	04-22 09:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	12	$592	301	301	+0	open	—	04-29 13:42
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	12	$589	470	470	+0	open	—	06-17 09:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$565	800	800	+0	open	—	06-17 11:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	103	$557	15,881	15,881	+0	open	—	06-22 11:49
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	17	$525	3,500	2,682	+818	open	—	06-15 16:29
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	3	$448	400	1,200	-800	Yes	$-64	04-03 08:52
pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	7	$430	430	430	+0	open	—	03-03 04:57
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	9	$420	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-28 14:13
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	20	$408	732	655	+77	open	—	05-20 13:53
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	11	$400	400	400	+0	open	—	03-01 19:25
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	4	$400	400	400	+0	open	—	03-01 13:02
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$397	200	200	+0	open	—	02-24 00:58
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$388	200	200	+0	open	—	02-25 02:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 11:35:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	279	2¢	$4	0x87f70c…
07-02 11:22:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	495	2¢	$7	0x91a412…
07-02 07:47:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	126	2¢	$2	0xb0178d…
07-02 07:27:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$1	0x717059…
07-02 07:24:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	229	1¢	$3	0x140c2f…
07-02 07:24:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0xdd1fcf…
07-02 07:13:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x5a6186…
07-02 06:27:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$4	0x83f0ed…
07-01 08:24:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$7	0xca9242…
07-01 07:46:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xa2c13a…
07-01 07:41:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	459	1¢	$4	0x3cf622…
07-01 07:39:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	365	1¢	$3	0x2e6c11…
07-01 07:33:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	69	1¢	$1	0x2e2b11…
07-01 06:40:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0x60ebb3…
07-01 06:31:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	908	1¢	$7	0x1e3d13…
07-01 06:24:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,802	1¢	$11	0x1ac91a…
07-01 06:21:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x277cb2…
07-01 06:18:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	161	1¢	$1	0xb8f3c1…
07-01 06:02:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf88f06…
07-01 06:02:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5f5592…
07-01 06:02:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0b55e3…
07-01 06:02:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb2178b…
07-01 06:02:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x03009d…
07-01 06:00:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	173	1¢	$1	0x4d7e6d…
06-30 02:36:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3,737	1¢	$22	0xd13eb1…
06-30 02:17:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	7,263	1¢	$44	0x49458d…
06-30 01:28:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x05613a…
06-29 21:04:47	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x9e2447…
06-29 09:22:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	205	1¢	$2	0xde3db6…
06-29 09:09:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x7d6e8d…
06-29 09:07:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xb94759…
06-29 08:57:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd9740d…
06-29 08:55:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x8f3c81…
06-29 08:50:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc6b84c…
06-29 08:40:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd066e2…
06-29 08:30:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xaa0af0…
06-28 17:46:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	479	1¢	$4	0x7d4ad9…
06-28 17:27:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0x15bd1b…
06-28 17:11:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	66	1¢	$1	0x375fa0…
06-28 17:07:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$0	0xb1cf04…
06-28 17:07:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	790	1¢	$7	0x8199b2…
06-28 17:03:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x8c48bc…
06-28 16:55:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xbc6730…
06-28 16:54:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x3a77f8…
06-28 16:52:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	847	1¢	$6	0x187ccc…
06-28 16:28:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	563	1¢	$4	0xc03f14…
06-28 16:14:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	123	1¢	$1	0x78e086…
06-28 15:57:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x957e20…
06-28 15:46:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb692cd…
06-28 15:46:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2a83bc…
06-28 15:46:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0x988c92…
06-28 15:45:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x6adf36…
06-28 15:41:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa4bde5…
06-28 15:41:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x59a243…
06-28 08:01:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	347	1¢	$3	0x2010ec…
06-28 07:56:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xabaf64…
06-28 07:44:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x0d0744…
06-28 07:43:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	492	1¢	$4	0xb5df84…
06-28 07:41:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	110	1¢	$1	0x31fb80…
06-28 07:33:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	547	1¢	$5	0x60b3e1…
06-28 07:22:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0xfdf904…
06-28 07:17:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$5	0xf2782f…
06-28 07:17:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$5	0x271168…
06-28 07:16:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3,000	1¢	$24	0x53ffb7…
06-28 06:51:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$6	0x273276…
06-28 06:40:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$6	0xf18efd…
06-28 06:39:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	494	1¢	$5	0x0d5528…
06-28 06:34:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xd66136…
06-28 06:34:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xa94f4b…
06-28 06:34:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x2e8358…
06-28 06:30:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x09ef25…
06-28 06:27:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	197	1¢	$2	0x993888…
06-28 06:22:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	175	1¢	$2	0xa16418…
06-28 06:22:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x0a2318…
06-28 06:22:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	304	1¢	$4	0x87272e…
06-28 06:20:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	303	2¢	$5	0xccb2a5…
06-28 06:19:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3,000	1¢	$27	0x004462…
06-26 10:09:28	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$25	0xebe7b9…
06-25 13:13:53	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,200	26¢	$312	0xc66932…
06-24 12:51:53	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	952	5¢	$48	0x795ec3…
06-24 12:48:52	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	300	5¢	$15	0x3f2653…
06-24 12:08:23	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xd63aea…
06-24 11:50:05	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x40336e…
06-24 11:38:19	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xf96487…
06-24 11:25:02	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x6584b5…
06-24 09:53:31	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	SELL	478	5¢	$24	0xd31f69…
06-23 19:40:11	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	900	1¢	$6	0x2674be…
06-23 17:48:22	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0xe40672…
06-23 16:49:38	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	264	1¢	$3	0xec148e…
06-23 14:42:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x854129…
06-23 13:53:25	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$3	0x918461…
06-23 12:52:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x978de5…
06-23 12:45:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	850	1¢	$6	0xea6ffa…
06-23 11:41:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,000	5¢	$46	0x1c263b…
06-23 11:31:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	64	4¢	$3	0xced42b…
06-23 11:30:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	37	4¢	$2	0x5b1d63…
06-23 11:26:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	115	4¢	$5	0x445597…
06-23 11:19:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2,000	4¢	$80	0xd383c4…
06-23 11:18:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0x58c651…
06-23 09:39:20	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	512	16¢	$82	0x686541…