Hilarious-Llama — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$95

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.5%

Resolved

Trades

2,114

lifetime

Volume

$60.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 08-09 11:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

54% 10% $-10

Other

42% 20% $-85

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?	72	$10.3K	27,000	27,000	+0	open	—	04-25 17:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	83	$5.2K	7,163	7,588	-425	open	—	06-12 09:29
atp blockx shelton 2026 04 15	9	$4.2K	3,639	3,639	+0	open	—	04-14 18:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	105	$3.5K	19,600	20,800	-1,200	open	—	06-15 08:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	144	$3.3K	13,628	21,220	-7,592	open	—	05-31 13:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	159	$3.2K	36,187	36,187	+0	open	—	07-01 07:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	38	$2.7K	6,000	8,874	-2,874	open	—	06-05 07:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	71	$2.4K	5,252	5,632	-380	open	—	06-11 09:28
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	45	$1.7K	5,500	5,000	+500	open	—	06-03 10:33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	2	$998	500	500	+0	open	—	05-24 05:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	34	$918	7,299	7,299	+0	open	—	05-26 14:20
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	8	$881	600	500	+100	open	—	05-13 14:03
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	10	$800	800	800	-0	open	—	03-02 23:14
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$722	800	500	+300	open	—	03-04 10:59
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	35	$693	1,135	1,135	+0	open	—	08-07 12:18
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	50	$686	5,367	5,632	-266	open	—	05-26 18:25
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	9	$618	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	06-25 13:13
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$617	363	363	+0	open	—	04-22 09:09
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	119	$614	22,025	22,025	+0	open	—	08-09 11:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	12	$592	301	301	+0	open	—	04-29 13:42
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	12	$589	470	470	+0	open	—	06-17 09:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$565	800	800	+0	open	—	06-17 11:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	103	$557	15,881	15,881	+0	open	—	06-22 11:49
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	17	$525	3,500	2,682	+818	open	—	06-15 16:29
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	4	$520	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	08-07 12:54
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	3	$448	400	1,200	-800	Yes	$-64	04-03 08:52
pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	7	$430	430	430	+0	open	—	03-03 04:57
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	9	$420	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-28 14:13
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	20	$408	732	655	+77	open	—	05-20 13:53
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	11	$400	400	400	+0	open	—	03-01 19:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 11:37:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	6,203	0¢	$25	0x2bf4c6…
08-08 18:29:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	460	1¢	$3	0x08add7…
08-08 18:21:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x9784f2…
08-08 17:53:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	5,538	1¢	$33	0xd98dc0…
08-08 12:47:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$14	0x16704c…
08-07 17:27:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$16	0xf221c4…
08-07 13:44:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	1,199	1¢	$10	0x0b3105…
08-07 13:35:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x9c6b8e…
08-07 12:54:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,000	13¢	$130	0xc45a47…
08-07 12:43:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	790	1¢	$6	0x11f418…
08-07 12:18:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	138	17¢	$23	0x673fa7…
08-07 12:16:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0xb304be…
08-07 11:46:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	362	17¢	$62	0x7e29a1…
08-07 11:32:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	500	17¢	$85	0xb40d29…
08-07 11:22:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,000	13¢	$130	0xd411ea…
08-07 10:46:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0x3f9525…
08-06 18:58:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x9f689d…
08-06 18:35:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	1,654	1¢	$18	0x7db102…
08-06 18:31:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	346	1¢	$4	0x1de5f0…
08-06 17:47:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	1,197	2¢	$19	0x785ff1…
08-06 17:25:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$13	0x951368…
08-06 16:29:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0xfc0cd9…
08-06 16:26:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$7	0x49a244…
08-06 16:23:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	203	2¢	$3	0x3c3961…
08-06 16:11:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x1b3192…
08-06 16:11:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	203	2¢	$3	0x53e2ce…
08-06 16:08:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	92	2¢	$1	0x71ff20…
08-06 15:04:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	72	2¢	$1	0xba9482…
08-06 14:57:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	188	2¢	$4	0x2470b9…
08-06 14:48:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x9cab08…
08-06 14:48:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x7fb43b…
08-06 14:48:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0x2b131c…
08-06 14:48:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0xefc196…
08-06 14:48:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xedf5f9…
08-06 14:48:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0xd4ac3e…
08-06 14:48:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x9ac578…
08-06 14:48:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x878e5b…
08-06 14:48:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x419616…
08-06 14:48:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x2f94c9…
08-06 14:48:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0xf8759f…
08-06 14:48:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x477788…
08-06 14:48:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$7	0x28cfb0…
08-06 14:45:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x06a547…
08-06 14:34:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x16eda2…
08-06 14:27:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xf4066b…
08-06 14:27:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xd3ada4…
08-06 13:36:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$1	0x8a70da…
08-06 12:45:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xff48cb…
08-06 12:44:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x517da4…
08-06 12:17:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x42c337…
08-06 12:04:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	189	2¢	$3	0xb8eec9…
08-06 11:52:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xd53c28…
08-06 11:31:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	99	3¢	$3	0x8d118f…
08-06 11:04:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	189	1¢	$3	0xada4c7…
08-06 11:01:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	311	1¢	$4	0x07e9a5…
08-06 11:00:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xeba2a4…
08-06 11:00:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xb72b76…
08-06 10:59:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x65aaad…
08-06 10:58:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x970fab…
08-06 10:56:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x9bd255…
08-06 10:56:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x404949…
08-06 10:55:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	76	2¢	$1	0x09e2ca…
08-06 10:54:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x5f8a49…
08-06 10:51:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x949764…
08-06 10:34:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x6bff48…
08-06 10:33:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x53577c…
08-06 10:33:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	171	2¢	$3	0x670805…
08-05 12:50:21	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	SELL	81	2¢	$2	0xf6b78f…
08-05 08:20:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	16¢	$80	0xcd6ecd…
08-05 07:45:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	210	22¢	$46	0x2b519b…
08-05 07:41:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	22¢	$110	0x3e5eef…
08-05 07:15:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	210	22¢	$46	0x2d1d44…
08-05 05:17:20	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0xfc81fc…
08-05 05:07:21	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0xacf2bb…
08-04 12:07:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	1,001	3¢	$30	0x16f928…
08-04 11:55:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x59eb9a…
08-04 11:52:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	189	4¢	$7	0xef53b0…
08-04 11:51:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	110	3¢	$4	0xfe38a9…
08-04 11:50:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	186	3¢	$6	0x83ad0f…
08-04 11:50:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	114	3¢	$3	0x57625c…
08-04 11:47:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	400	3¢	$14	0xc1d878…
08-04 11:47:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$11	0x4c0850…
08-04 10:38:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	503	3¢	$13	0x29bb7f…
08-04 10:38:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	292	3¢	$8	0xfb1d3c…
08-04 10:38:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0xd837b5…
08-04 10:37:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	77	3¢	$2	0xc2c6bc…
08-04 10:37:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	145	2¢	$4	0xcea609…
08-04 10:23:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	76	2¢	$2	0x49e1b6…
08-04 10:23:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	166	2¢	$4	0x00e43d…
08-04 10:23:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	170	2¢	$4	0x5273d1…
08-04 10:23:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	169	2¢	$4	0xdf13cb…
08-04 10:23:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	154	2¢	$4	0xc4a962…
08-04 10:23:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xb55535…
08-04 10:20:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	183	2¢	$4	0xf38092…
08-04 10:20:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x91cbec…
08-04 09:54:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	145	2¢	$3	0x9fdf04…
08-04 09:50:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	205	2¢	$5	0x412d7c…
08-04 09:44:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	416	2¢	$10	0xeed2bb…
08-04 09:37:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	355	2¢	$8	0xf0c212…
08-04 09:34:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	220	11¢	$24	0x5146c0…