Different-Mood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$86

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved

Trades

408

lifetime

Volume

$295.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$725

Open exposure

$757

1 position

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-20 12:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

86% 66% -$17,927

Crypto

10% 50% +$128

Other

3% 33% -$888

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No		+906	$671	84¢	$757	+$86	10-20 12:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$30.6K	30,760	0	+30,760	No	+$123	06-03 22:54
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	26	$29.8K	30,353	0	+30,353	Yes	+$550	05-26 15:27
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	19	$29.4K	15,069	15,069	+0	No	+$340	05-26 02:24
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	27	$28.9K	14,826	14,826	+0	No	+$364	05-25 23:50
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	4	$18.1K	11,208	11,208	+0	Yes	+$75	04-21 12:07
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	55	$17.0K	9,839	9,839	+0	No	+$2,128	05-25 02:25
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	21	$14.8K	7,761	7,252	+508	No	+$59	05-25 02:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	5	$14.8K	11,524	11,524	+0	Yes	+$277	05-16 03:06
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	1	$13.3K	13,313	0	+13,313	Yes	+$38	05-23 10:52
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$13.0K	13,275	0	+13,275	No	+$231	05-18 11:18
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	4	$12.3K	7,296	7,296	+0	Yes	+$1,475	04-21 11:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	20	$8.5K	10,948	11,015	-67	No	-$8,207	04-22 01:44
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	6	$7.8K	7,678	7,678	+0	Yes	-$198	04-21 20:43
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$7.5K	7,588	0	+7,588	Yes	+$41	05-16 03:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$7.2K	7,272	0	+7,272	No	+$48	05-09 01:26
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	15	$5.9K	7,350	7,350	+0	No	-$3,536	04-23 02:12
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	48	$5.8K	6,335	6,427	-92	No	-$949	05-25 22:30
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	37	$5.2K	26,362	0	+26,362	No	-$5,164	04-22 02:28
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$4.2K	9,810	9,810	+0	Yes	-$1,831	04-16 16:20
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	22	$4.1K	101,350	0	+101,350	Yes	-$4,059	04-19 12:27
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	2	$2.0K	2,010	0	+2,010	No	+$34	05-25 23:40
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	2	$2.0K	999	999	+0	No	-$5	05-25 23:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	8	$1.8K	1,636	730	+906	open	—	10-20 12:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$1.3K	851	851	+0	Yes	+$142	04-16 16:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	12	$1.3K	1,892	1,865	+27	No	-$22	05-24 13:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.3K	744	744	+0	open	—	10-14 02:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$1.3K	839	839	+0	No	+$55	05-08 00:02
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$1.2K	868	868	+0	Yes	+$9	04-24 01:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$1.2K	1,677	1,677	+0	No	-$817	04-22 01:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$1.1K	1,700	1,700	+0	No	+$104	05-24 13:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 12:05:05	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x248aec…
10-18 09:18:44	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x86eab3…
10-18 08:15:44	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	74¢	$296	0x70b77a…
10-17 17:50:33	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	390	74¢	$289	0x207484…
10-17 17:30:45	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x451fae…
10-15 22:28:48	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	SELL	80	17¢	$14	0x94d20e…
10-15 22:28:42	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	SELL	227	17¢	$39	0x30eaca…
10-15 22:26:41	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	SELL	117	17¢	$20	0x09a998…
10-15 21:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd88e46…
10-15 21:10:08	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	SELL	300	17¢	$51	0x6a2d1d…
10-15 20:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x15a845…
10-15 20:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xa134d4…
10-15 20:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x91b264…
10-15 20:05:17	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x86dc2a…
10-15 20:03:53	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x067b3e…
10-15 19:28:46	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	730	74¢	$540	0xc4822d…
10-14 22:45:31	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	739	17¢	$126	0x93e4f0…
10-14 22:44:49	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	No	SELL	181	70¢	$126	0xe05e37…
10-14 22:37:55	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	730	74¢	$540	0xbf4100…
10-14 20:41:52	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	No	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x1a6891…
10-14 03:00:43	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	No	BUY	141	72¢	$102	0x91a189…
10-14 02:58:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	744	90¢	$670	0xfd2495…
10-13 01:27:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	744	88¢	$655	0xa26809…
06-03 22:54:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11,350	100¢	$11,305	0xd31248…
06-03 22:54:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x35a1d5…
06-03 22:54:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	275	100¢	$274	0xd599fb…
06-03 22:54:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,400	100¢	$2,390	0xd797da…
06-03 22:53:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	275	100¢	$274	0xfb3707…
06-03 22:53:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xbb6ebd…
06-03 22:53:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	874	100¢	$871	0x5a93a0…
06-03 22:36:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15,060	100¢	$15,000	0x562cc5…
05-29 03:22:35	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	81¢	$112	0x770fca…
05-26 15:27:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	800	98¢	$780	0x3badc9…
05-26 15:26:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x85d8bb…
05-26 15:02:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	2,832	97¢	$2,758	0x03e16c…
05-26 14:59:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	304	97¢	$296	0x578242…
05-26 14:51:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	658	97¢	$640	0x39b190…
05-26 14:51:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	350	97¢	$341	0x33f66b…
05-26 14:50:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	273	98¢	$267	0x8b44da…
05-26 14:48:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	377	98¢	$367	0x1ec329…
05-26 14:43:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	400	98¢	$390	0x28e17c…
05-26 14:43:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,151	98¢	$1,122	0xc87567…
05-26 14:43:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0xffe2a4…
05-26 14:41:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	194	98¢	$189	0x94343c…
05-26 14:41:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x91a32b…
05-26 14:41:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	323	98¢	$315	0xdc959f…
05-26 14:39:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0xdcf786…
05-26 14:39:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xf91e11…
05-26 14:39:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x6cc325…
05-26 14:38:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,386	98¢	$1,352	0x072eb5…
05-26 14:37:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	800	98¢	$780	0x8355f8…
05-26 14:37:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	4,000	98¢	$3,900	0x6cad7b…
05-26 14:37:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x8e0b50…
05-26 14:36:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xa90cea…
05-26 02:29:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x0aa70a…
05-26 02:25:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	6,782	99¢	$6,700	0x70aa2c…
05-26 02:24:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	6,734	100¢	$6,707	0xd31e85…
05-26 02:20:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	6,802	99¢	$6,728	0xc8983c…
05-26 02:19:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	6,734	100¢	$6,707	0x78dba5…
05-26 01:55:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	2,022	99¢	$2,000	0x8dfdf4…
05-25 23:56:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	1,004	98¢	$981	0x3464d4…
05-25 23:56:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	SELL	999	98¢	$982	0xca1951…
05-25 23:50:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	5,856	98¢	$5,745	0xe85435…
05-25 23:50:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	5,826	99¢	$5,744	0x6f3a33…
05-25 23:48:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	1,004	98¢	$986	0x99cec8…
05-25 23:48:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$986	0xa61645…
05-25 23:42:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	BUY	999	99¢	$987	0x6077b1…
05-25 23:41:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$987	0x052232…
05-25 23:40:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	1,004	98¢	$988	0xe3fbca…
05-25 23:39:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$988	0x103d98…
05-25 23:39:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	1,006	98¢	$988	0xa7e105…
05-25 23:39:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$988	0xf03b29…
05-25 23:38:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	1,007	98¢	$988	0x7f45f7…
05-25 23:38:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$988	0xd1aa08…
05-25 23:27:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	89	97¢	$86	0x14a8ea…
05-25 23:26:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	942	96¢	$904	0x1ef185…
05-25 23:26:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0xd282c9…
05-25 23:26:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x29f442…
05-25 23:26:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	900	99¢	$891	0x5da796…
05-25 23:20:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	1,027	96¢	$990	0x15493b…
05-25 23:19:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$990	0xcdca30…
05-25 23:17:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	1,031	96¢	$991	0xdb0e4c…
05-25 23:17:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$991	0x144f3d…
05-25 23:14:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	1,508	97¢	$1,458	0x10d420…
05-25 22:50:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	561	92¢	$515	0x03ac80…
05-25 22:49:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	239	92¢	$220	0xd375d7…
05-25 22:49:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	29	90¢	$26	0x0e4a0c…
05-25 22:48:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	772	90¢	$697	0xb69e01…
05-25 22:37:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	1,129	87¢	$988	0x4fbc24…
05-25 22:37:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$988	0xd087f2…
05-25 22:33:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x659490…
05-25 22:32:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	448	4¢	$17	0xf3299c…
05-25 22:31:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	384	88¢	$339	0x5583e4…
05-25 22:30:18	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,112	31¢	$340	0x4f00b6…
05-25 22:30:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	69	85¢	$59	0x6e1cd7…
05-25 21:57:03	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	149	4¢	$6	0xd7b68e…
05-25 21:51:41	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	303	3¢	$10	0xf90dbd…
05-25 21:48:51	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	295	3¢	$10	0x3bd558…
05-25 21:43:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	2,024	99¢	$2,000	0xfa6dc9…
05-25 20:14:46	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	761	41¢	$312	0x723ec9…