Considerate-Peninsula — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$412

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-10 09:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 29% +$2

Politics

30% — —

Other

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$92	88	88	+0	open	—	05-10 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	4	$60	56	56	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 07:48
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 26?	3	$34	88	16	+72	open	—	04-26 05:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	04-27 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	04-27 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	4	$17	36	33	+2	open	—	04-27 16:34
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$13	13	12	+1	open	—	04-24 14:32
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-10 09:42
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	2	$10	72	72	+0	open	—	04-27 16:27
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-26?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-26 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-25 08:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	1	$10	67	0	+67	open	—	04-25 07:14
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 26?	1	$10	77	0	+77	open	—	04-26 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	04-25 07:15
eth updown 5m 1777041000	2	$7	21	20	+1	open	—	04-24 14:32
btc updown 5m 1777031400	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-24 11:51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 27?	1	$5	723	0	+723	open	—	04-26 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$5	24	0	+24	open	—	04-25 07:09
eth updown 5m 1777040400	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-24 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	04-25 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-06 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-25 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	3	$4	102	2	+100	Up	$-0	05-06 08:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?	2	$4	9	9	+1	open	—	04-27 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$3	100	0	+100	open	—	04-27 16:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-26 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-27 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$2	11	0	+11	Up	$-2	05-07 07:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 09:42:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xa3ff8a…
05-10 09:42:33	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0xdec962…
05-10 09:19:17	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	86	60¢	$51	0xbd9372…
05-08 14:58:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x07e4fc…
05-08 14:58:24	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x6a9186…
05-07 07:47:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	46¢	$40	0x9aa7cd…
05-07 07:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x842efc…
05-06 10:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xdf3821…
05-06 09:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5e110a…
05-06 09:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbd1c82…
05-06 09:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x207551…
05-06 09:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf460cd…
05-06 09:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfc6fba…
05-06 08:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe2b857…
05-06 08:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x27504d…
05-06 08:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1cd279…
05-06 08:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7fa829…
05-06 08:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8b1d8f…
05-06 07:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcd5ab7…
05-06 07:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x326aa8…
05-06 07:54:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x9fcfda…
05-06 07:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x642d6d…
05-06 07:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x51603a…
05-06 07:50:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4a4701…
05-06 07:50:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x5a0240…
05-06 07:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	46	52¢	$24	0x98d1d4…
05-06 07:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x1901f0…
05-06 07:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xd407d1…
05-06 07:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9797a5…
04-27 16:34:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x402ce1…
04-27 16:34:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x5c05a8…
04-27 16:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	33	33¢	$11	0x80cf14…
04-27 16:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x227968…
04-27 16:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x104650…
04-27 16:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x3ee2bc…
04-27 16:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x0ff322…
04-27 16:27:50	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	72	7¢	$5	0xcaafd0…
04-27 16:25:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0xbbbf30…
04-27 16:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x604864…
04-27 16:05:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x25f554…
04-27 16:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x8b585e…
04-27 07:55:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x73057a…
04-27 07:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x55df17…
04-26 13:29:38	Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x6624b0…
04-26 10:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	723	1¢	$5	0xb74fea…
04-26 09:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x31eb28…
04-26 05:32:08	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xf5af4b…
04-26 05:31:50	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 26?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x605439…
04-26 05:29:16	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 26?	Yes	SELL	16	86¢	$14	0xf1e65e…
04-25 16:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfbbc71…
04-25 16:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa43e79…
04-25 12:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x059a7f…
04-25 08:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x5bf4bf…
04-25 08:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3bdb5b…
04-25 07:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2dcfac…
04-25 07:33:40	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x9f7603…
04-25 07:15:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8722b6…
04-25 07:14:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xc2ebc7…
04-25 07:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x8d69e1…
04-25 07:07:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x7d2367…
04-24 14:32:50	eth updown 5m 1777041000	Down	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x4c3c40…
04-24 14:32:44	bitcoin above 78k on april 24	No	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0x7c26f3…
04-24 14:31:50	eth updown 5m 1777041000	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x8b3495…
04-24 14:21:02	eth updown 5m 1777040400	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7ab078…
04-24 13:27:54	bitcoin above 78k on april 24	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf09401…
04-24 11:51:06	btc updown 5m 1777031400	Down	BUY	12	47¢	$5	0x7df1df…
04-24 11:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2ffd06…
04-24 11:09:54	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x15c5cb…