Waterlogged-Possibility 0x92b040…c07582
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Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
38.4%
Resolved
7
Trades
502
lifetime
Volume
$1.16K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$24
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 06-13 18:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
68% 33% $-2
Other
29% 25% $-3
Crypto
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +13 $6 64¢ $8 +$2 06-12 11:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 05-29 19:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 06-11 22:56
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 87¢ $2 +$0 05-28 21:11
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 05-31 11:59
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No -2 $-2 97¢ $-2 +$0 06-13 04:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +8 $2 24¢ $2 $-0 06-13 16:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -2 $-2 98¢ $-2 +$0 06-13 08:14
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -2 $-2 97¢ $-2 $-0 06-13 19:45
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -0 $-0 98¢ $-0 $-0 06-12 20:37