Ultimate-Reaction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$131

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$645

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 07-05 17:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

67% 60% +$4

Sports

21% 50% +$127

Politics

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes		+30	$15	34¢	$10	$-5	05-30 20:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$36	193	0	+193	Sean Strickland	+$157	05-08 11:26
r6siege nip intz 2026 07 04	2	$32	40	0	+40	open	—	07-03 11:25
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$30	125	0	+125	Thunder	$-30	05-08 10:02
nba lal cle 2026 01 28	1	$30	71	0	+71	open	—	01-28 09:06
r6siege furia faze 2026 07 04	1	$30	49	0	+49	open	—	07-03 11:27
Call of Duty: Carolina Royal Ravens vs Miami Heretics (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Group B	1	$26	41	0	+41	open	—	05-14 08:41
Rainbow Six Siege: ENTERPRISE Esports vs Falcons Esport (BO1) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	1	$25	29	0	+29	ENTERPRISE Esports	$-25	05-11 09:20
Rainbow Six Siege: Twisted Minds vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs	1	$25	41	0	+41	open	—	05-16 14:34
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	73	0	+73	open	—	05-14 08:30
codmw tor riyf 2026 03 07	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	03-05 16:22
nba lal den 2026 03 05	1	$25	68	0	+68	open	—	03-05 16:28
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs DarkZero Esports (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	1	$25	35	0	+35	DarkZero Esports	+$10	05-12 08:11
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$25	32	0	+32	open	—	03-08 18:10
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$21	50	50	+0	open	—	05-19 05:30
r6siege bd los 2026 06 20	1	$20	49	0	+49	open	—	06-19 05:54
r6siege tm secret 2026 06 22	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	06-19 06:36
Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$20	85	0	+85	open	—	05-14 08:45
Ryukyu Golden Kings vs. Diamond Dolphins	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	05-15 20:29
r6siege cag knt 2026 07 01	1	$15	22	0	+22	open	—	06-29 22:35
Rainbow Six Siege: FURIA Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	1	$15	42	0	+42	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$27	05-11 09:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	1	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	05-30 20:06
Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Wildcard Gaming (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs	1	$13	19	0	+19	open	—	05-14 12:42
codmw mh g2m 2026 03 06	1	$11	21	0	+21	open	—	03-05 16:35
r6siege sz cag 2026 06 26	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	06-22 06:22
ow zsg cb 2026 06 19	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	06-19 07:50
Rainbow Six Siege: ENTERPRISE Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO1) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Play-In	1	$10	32	0	+32	ENTERPRISE Esports	$-10	05-08 11:12
r6siege fx cag 2026 06 19	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	06-19 07:41
r6siege faze nip 2026 06 20	1	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	06-19 06:38
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	05-14 08:48
nba nop sac 2026 03 05	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	03-05 16:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 17:15:04	r6siege nip liquid 2026 07 05	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xe75537…
07-03 11:27:20	r6siege furia faze 2026 07 04	FaZe Clan	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xdc0603…
07-03 11:25:50	r6siege nip intz 2026 07 04	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xa75a1a…
07-03 11:24:34	r6siege loud bd 2026 07 04	Black Dragons e-Sports	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0d65c7…
06-29 22:36:17	r6siege nip intz 2026 07 04	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x796b16…
06-29 22:35:32	r6siege cag knt 2026 07 01	CAG Osaka	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xd9f314…
06-22 06:22:56	r6siege sz cag 2026 06 26	CAG Osaka	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x91c405…
06-19 07:50:04	ow zsg cb 2026 06 19	Cheeseburger	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xa1b541…
06-19 07:41:05	r6siege fx cag 2026 06 19	CAG Osaka	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb03e9e…
06-19 06:38:53	r6siege faze nip 2026 06 20	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x420a52…
06-19 06:36:08	r6siege tm secret 2026 06 22	Twisted Minds	BUY	31	66¢	$20	0xce5bd7…
06-19 05:54:28	r6siege bd los 2026 06 20	Black Dragons e-Sports	BUY	49	40¢	$20	0xafdd77…
05-30 20:06:47	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xf6c9a7…
05-19 05:30:16	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xbc2c97…
05-16 14:34:51	Rainbow Six Siege: Twisted Minds vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs	Shopify Rebellion	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xa83853…
05-15 20:29:39	Ryukyu Golden Kings vs. Diamond Dolphins	Ryukyu Golden Kings	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x8292ea…
05-14 12:42:26	Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Wildcard Gaming (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Playoffs	DarkZero Esports	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x4523c0…
05-14 08:48:33	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xf64f9d…
05-14 08:45:06	Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	85	23¢	$20	0xba1509…
05-14 08:41:31	Call of Duty: Carolina Royal Ravens vs Miami Heretics (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Group B	Miami Heretics	BUY	41	63¢	$26	0x4f50ad…
05-14 08:31:59	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x760eac…
05-14 08:30:33	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	73	34¢	$25	0xa86f04…
05-12 08:11:00	Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs DarkZero Esports (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	DarkZero Esports	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xc3c770…
05-11 09:21:36	Rainbow Six Siege: FURIA Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x84e1ab…
05-11 09:20:17	Rainbow Six Siege: ENTERPRISE Esports vs Falcons Esport (BO1) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage	Falcons Esport	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xf81c5e…
05-08 11:27:29	SeaHorses Mikawa vs. Ryukyu Golden Kings	Ryukyu Golden Kings	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xc8a6ca…
05-08 11:26:17	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0xed5b13…
05-08 11:15:57	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	61	18¢	$11	0x60873e…
05-08 11:12:20	Rainbow Six Siege: ENTERPRISE Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO1) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Play-In	EDward Gaming	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x764289…
05-08 10:02:06	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0xae4a38…
03-30 22:04:17	r6siege liquid bd 2026 03 31	Team Liquid	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x5527a8…
03-30 12:43:34	nhl tor ana 2026 03 30	Ducks	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x86f240…
03-08 18:10:31	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x29694a…
03-05 16:35:27	codmw mh g2m 2026 03 06	Miami Heretics	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x7e5f89…
03-05 16:28:39	nba lal den 2026 03 05	Lakers	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xdeb71d…
03-05 16:22:19	codmw tor riyf 2026 03 07	Toronto KOI	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xb5b8aa…
03-05 16:18:01	nba nop sac 2026 03 05	Kings	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x598f5e…
01-28 09:09:53	r6siege dk bd 2026 02 02	Black Dragons e-Sports	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x6a0398…
01-28 09:06:23	nba lal cle 2026 01 28	Lakers	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0xae34cf…